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Southern Miss vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 68-66
39-34 29-32
Position#324
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#124
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Southern Miss v Marshall
21 Dec 2024
SOUT68
MARS66
21 Feb 2022
SOUT60
MARS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#91
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
104-65
104
65
+39
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A21/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H05/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
L
58-86
58
86
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
46-77
46
77
-31
H14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-56
44-42
52-32
52-33
32-55
44-46
26-41
33-38
40-49
34-33
31-32
35-33
30-33
51-31
23-38
35-48
28-38
18-39
31-36
34-33
149.9Avg total
71.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.877.6149.5-5.836%
Season at home (6)73.268.0141.2+5.267%
Season away (5)70.289.2159.4-19.00%
Last 10 (10)71.378.6149.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)63.272.2135.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.776.9145.5-8.240%
vs Similar (13)69.869.8139.6-0.146%
vs Weaker (2)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A23/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H28/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A01/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H05/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A12/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H14/12
NCAA
West Virginia Wesleyan
#470
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-19
39-44
34-34
49-28
24-39
21-41
46-21
36-32
40-36
42-54
45-35
35-42
34-44
35-34
26-37
53-51
41-33
38-37
41-24
52-39
149.3Avg total
76.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.272.6150.8+5.758%
Season at home (8)83.066.9149.9+16.188%
Season away (4)68.884.0152.8-15.20%
Last 10 (10)76.972.4149.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)80.075.2155.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.173.4141.5-5.327%
vs Similar (13)75.780.3156.0-4.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.073.0153.0+7.075%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.2-0.2
Southern MissMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#91
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A21/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
33.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.369.1-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.934.067.9-0.135%-
Last 30 away (13)31.339.470.7-8.115%-
Last 10 (10)33.341.074.3-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)28.635.464.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.738.970.6-7.120%-
vs Similar (13)32.533.966.4-1.531%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/12
NCAA
West Virginia Wesleyan
#470
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H17/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.471.4+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.871.0+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)33.438.471.8-4.921%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.269.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.635.167.7-2.527%-
vs Similar (13)37.337.875.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.533.873.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
4
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Marshall v Southern Miss83-67
13/01/23Marshall v Southern Miss89-67
22/02/22Southern Miss v Marshall60-74
07/02/20Marshall v Southern Miss72-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HLamar65-69
14/12/24HOle Miss46-77
11/12/24ATulane58-86
05/12/24HAlabama State81-64
30/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee66-65
26/11/24AAbilene Christian74-82
25/11/24AMontana State59-79
21/11/24ASouth Dakota St.76-101
13/11/24HLoyola NO104-65
08/11/24AUAB84-98
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HWest Virginia Wesleyan93-63
14/12/24HOhio79-70
12/12/24AWright State79-88
07/12/24ANC Wilmington69-78
05/12/24HMorehead State80-77
01/12/24AWestern Kentucky82-90
28/11/24HSouth Carolina St82-53
23/11/24APurdue45-80
17/11/24HBellarmine83-62
12/11/24HSouthern Indiana77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game71.873.270.2
Allowed / game77.668.089.2
Point differential-5.8+5.2-19.0
Avg total149.5141.2159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marshall
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%88%0%
Points / game78.283.068.8
Allowed / game72.666.984.0
Point differential+5.7+16.1-15.2
Avg total150.8149.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State129375%79.371.9+7.4
2 Troy128467%75.466.4+9.0
3 South Alabama128467%72.364.5+7.8
4 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
5 Marshall127558%78.272.6+5.7
6 Georgia Southern127558%75.578.6-3.1
7 Coastal Carolina116555%68.966.8+2.1
8 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
9 James Madison126650%72.869.9+2.9
10 Southern Miss114736%71.877.6-5.8
11 Georgia State124833%71.679.8-8.2
12 Louisiana Monroe134931%72.671.8+0.8
13 Old Dominion113827%67.977.8-9.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette123925%66.476.8-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss392968
Marshall343266
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