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Southern Sabres vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 May 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 77-109
26-34 15-23 20-28 16-24
Position#11
Record4-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.4
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier
06 May 2017
SOUT81
MT G89
15 May 2016
SOUT77
MT G109
03 May 2015
SOUT75
MT G104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury
#2
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A08/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H16/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A01/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A02/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
H08/04
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A16/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H17/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A24/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
H30/04
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A08/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
9-26
24-13
17-20
21-23
23-12
19-16
11-26
10-20
15-23
17-25
11-13
25-20
13-22
21-21
14-20
18-25
20-19
31-18
15-22
24-27
30-18
16-25
20-17
17-13
24-25
32-21
18-10
31-27
12-16
20-16
13-14
21-22
16-30
18-40
16-22
25-17
16-16
22-21
28-23
162.4Avg total
77.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.184.8163.9-5.650%
Season at home (3)83.392.3175.7-9.033%
Season away (5)76.680.2156.8-3.660%
Last 10 (10)77.884.6162.4-6.840%
Last 5 (5)83.884.0167.8-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.392.7173.0-12.518%
vs Similar (13)81.080.5161.5+0.538%
vs Weaker (6)83.579.7163.2+3.850%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H04/09
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A12/09
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H01/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H08/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H15/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A22/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A23/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H29/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A14/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
19-16
26-16
21-21
24-17
20-24
22-20
21-15
28-25
14-12
22-19
17-15
34-17
12-22
29-22
20-25
25-25
24-22
18-18
17-29
20-21
22-14
25-23
30-16
19-16
25-15
29-19
20-30
10-10
28-11
18-21
27-16
25-19
10-16
30-19
10-21
21-18
17-29
16-19
24-18
163.8Avg total
86.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.079.4166.4+7.662%
Season at home (4)85.877.2163.0+8.575%
Season away (4)88.281.5169.8+6.850%
Last 10 (10)86.277.6163.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)87.276.8164.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)89.590.0179.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.973.4160.2+13.586%
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Southern SabresMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury
#2
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A08/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A01/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/04
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H30/04
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/05
SEABL
82.4Avg total
39.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.583.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.285.3-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.882.5-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.382.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.285.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.548.990.4-7.527%-
vs Similar (13)41.839.180.9+2.854%-
vs Weaker (6)40.338.278.5+2.267%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#4
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H04/09
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/09
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H15/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A22/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A23/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H29/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/05
SEABL
77.1Avg total
41.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.880.4+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.135.178.2+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.138.582.6+5.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.177.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.873.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.543.090.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.336.479.7+7.068%-
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Sabres wins
2
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
17/07/15Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres101-85
03/05/15Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier75-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/16ABA CoE91-77
30/04/16HBrisbane Spartans71-114
24/04/16AMelbourne Tigers76-73
17/04/16HFrankston91-69
16/04/16ABallarat90-87
08/04/16HNunawading88-94 OT
02/04/16ANW Tasmania73-83
01/04/16AHobart Chargers53-81
16/08/15HDandenong74-77
08/08/15AAlbury71-91
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/16ANunawading78-84
07/05/16ABrisbane Spartans85-88 OT
29/04/16HKilsyth83-58
23/04/16ADandenong93-80
22/04/16AGeelong97-74
15/04/16HHobart Chargers84-94
08/04/16HBendigo95-86
01/04/16HCanberra81-71
12/09/15AAlbury87-76
04/09/15HBendigo79-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres
SEABL 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game79.183.376.6
Allowed / game84.892.380.2
Point differential-5.6-9.0-3.6
Avg total163.9175.7156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Mt Gambier
SEABL 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game87.085.888.2
Allowed / game79.477.281.5
Point differential+7.6+8.5+6.8
Avg total166.4163.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo97278%84.868.7+16.1
2 Hobart Chargers86275%86.974.5+12.4
3 Brisbane Spartans107370%85.581.9+3.6
4 Geelong96367%85.979.9+6.0
5 NW Tasmania96367%87.485.6+1.9
6 Mt Gambier85362%87.079.4+7.6
7 Kilsyth85362%75.675.9-0.2
8 Nunawading106460%86.980.6+6.3
9 Ballarat84450%90.890.6+0.1
10 Southern Sabres84450%79.184.8-5.6
11 Albury94544%88.183.7+4.4
12 Canberra94544%77.081.0-4.0
13 Dandenong93633%82.785.2-2.6
14 Frankston92722%71.782.0-10.3
15 Melbourne Tigers101910%67.083.8-16.8
16 BA CoE7070%72.093.3-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Sabres2615201677
Mt Gambier34232824109
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