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Mt Gambier vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jul 2015
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 101-85
34-19 27-26 21-18 19-22
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaSEABLRound 14
Other2015
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres
02 Jun 2017
MT G85
SOUT70
22 Jul 2016
MT G106
SOUT57
17 Jul 2015
MT G101
SOUT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H22/05
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A23/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H29/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A12/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A13/06
SEABL
Geelong
#3
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A20/06
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A21/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
98-90 OT
98
90
+8
H03/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
109-71
109
71
+38
H10/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-15
23-12
26-16
30-22
18-27
23-20
16-17
23-17
26-14
32-9
22-19
29-21
18-19
14-10
26-19
24-17
17-19
16-20
32-19
25-15
29-17
25-17
15-24
23-24
21-21
27-14
20-14
21-19
21-16
26-24
18-13
25-28
27-16
11-24
21-16
28-13
32-13
17-19
32-26
165.8Avg total
92.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.073.4162.4+15.688%
Season at home (9)88.069.8157.8+18.289%
Season away (8)90.177.4167.5+12.888%
Last 10 (10)92.972.9165.8+20.0100%
Last 5 (5)95.675.8171.4+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.073.4162.4+15.688%
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H23/05
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A31/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A13/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H14/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A18/06
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H20/06
SEABL
Frankston
#15
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A27/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H04/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A05/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A10/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
20-23
15-13
14-27
24-28
23-10
22-28
16-20
29-19
21-20
19-19
24-22
26-21
37-25
28-16
18-20
27-17
15-17
25-23
21-28
23-14
20-23
14-32
22-21
23-25
10-13
20-21
13-20
15-23
25-23
21-16
24-28
13-18
18-15
16-18
17-15
26-19
15-19
15-36
27-18
165.9Avg total
83.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.382.6163.8-1.339%
Season at home (8)83.286.9170.1-3.625%
Season away (10)79.779.1158.8+0.650%
Last 10 (10)83.382.6165.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)75.483.4158.8-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.488.2173.6-2.840%
vs Similar (10)80.278.6158.8+1.650%
vs Weaker (3)78.086.3164.3-8.30%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
Mt GambierSouthern Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/05
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A23/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H29/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A12/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A13/06
SEABL
Geelong
#3
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A20/06
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H03/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H10/07
SEABL
84.4Avg total
47.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)44.938.183.1+6.871%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.135.378.4+7.878%-
Last 30 away (8)47.041.288.2+5.862%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.184.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.436.486.8+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.938.183.1+6.871%-
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/05
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A31/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H14/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/06
SEABL
Frankston
#15
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A05/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/07
SEABL
81.0Avg total
43.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)42.439.281.6+3.256%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.842.486.1+1.450%-
Last 30 away (10)41.336.778.0+4.660%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.981.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.643.490.0+3.260%-
vs Similar (10)41.437.679.0+3.850%-
vs Weaker (3)38.737.776.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mt Gambier wins
0
Southern Sabres wins
DateGameScore
03/05/15Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier75-104
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/15HBrisbane Spartans109-71
03/07/15HDandenong98-90 OT
26/06/15HBendigo86-72
21/06/15ABallarat91-73
20/06/15AGeelong94-73
13/06/15AKilsyth89-75
12/06/15AFrankston87-69
29/05/15HFrankston103-59
23/05/15ABendigo87-86
22/05/15HKilsyth85-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/15ACanberra83-92
05/07/15AKilsyth64-66
04/07/15HBendigo85-90
27/06/15AFrankston66-79
20/06/15HBallarat79-90
18/06/15ADandenong88-85
14/06/15HNW Tasmania109-82
13/06/15ANunawading93-80
31/05/15ABA CoE85-86
23/05/15HBrisbane Spartans81-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
SEABL 2015
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%89%88%
Points / game89.088.090.1
Allowed / game73.469.877.4
Point differential+15.6+18.2+12.8
Avg total162.4157.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Southern Sabres
SEABL 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%25%50%
Points / game81.383.279.7
Allowed / game82.686.979.1
Point differential-1.3-3.6+0.6
Avg total163.8170.1158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %17%25%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1715288%89.073.4+15.6
2 Geelong1711665%85.180.9+4.2
3 Albury1811761%86.782.4+4.3
4 BA CoE106460%86.886.0+0.8
5 Bendigo1710759%83.881.6+2.1
6 Dandenong1710759%83.884.2-0.5
7 Nunawading1911858%86.785.8+0.9
8 NW Tasmania1810856%81.481.4+0.1
9 Kilsyth178947%78.077.6+0.4
10 Hobart Chargers1981142%70.071.5-1.5
11 Ballarat1771041%86.887.4-0.6
12 Southern Sabres1871139%81.382.6-1.3
13 Canberra1871139%77.884.5-6.7
14 Brisbane Spartans1851328%78.784.7-6.0
15 Frankston1831517%77.387.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier34272119101
Southern Sabres1926182285
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