Southside W will host Perth Lynx W on 15 November 2026 in the NBL W, with the model favouring Perth Lynx W at 81% versus 19% for Southside W, reflecting Perth's 4-1 record and 90.2 points per game against Southside's 1-5 record and 75.8 points per game. Southside W has struggled all season, allowing 82.3 points per game and winning only one of six games, including a 79-99 loss to Tasmania Jewels W in their most recent outing. Perth Lynx W, positioned first in the league, has been strong on the road, winning two of three away games and scoring 90.3 points per game while conceding 85.7. Their last five games feature four victories, including a 95-76 win over Geelong Venom W. In head-to-head history, Perth has won seven of ten meetings, most recently defeating Southside W 111-79 on 27 January 2026. The model projects a 78-88 score, a total of 166.2 points, and a 10.0-point spread that Perth Lynx W covers with a 51% probability; the over on 168.25 points is 44% likely, with a 4% chance of overtime. Perth Lynx W's recent success and Southside W's struggles suggest the Lynx will extend their winning streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 75.8 | 82.3 | 158.2 | -6.5 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 79.3 | 78.3 | 157.7 | +1.0 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 72.3 | 86.3 | 158.7 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.5 | 81.9 | 159.4 | -4.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 83.4 | 159.8 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 78.4 | 86.9 | 165.3 | -8.5 | 20% |
| vs Similar (4) | 71.0 | 79.2 | 150.2 | -8.2 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 83.5 | 71.7 | 155.3 | +11.8 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 90.2 | 84.8 | 175.0 | +5.4 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 90.0 | 83.5 | 173.5 | +6.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 90.3 | 85.7 | 176.0 | +4.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.0 | 86.4 | 177.4 | +4.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.2 | 84.8 | 175.0 | +5.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (7) | 85.6 | 88.6 | 174.1 | -3.0 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 87.0 | 75.3 | 162.3 | +11.7 | 87% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 41.9 | 82.0 | -1.8 | 37% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.0 | 39.3 | 80.3 | +1.7 | 53% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.1 | 44.5 | 83.7 | -5.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.8 | 44.3 | 84.1 | -4.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.0 | 46.4 | 84.4 | -8.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 37.7 | 45.9 | 83.7 | -8.2 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Similar (4) | 34.0 | 39.5 | 73.5 | -5.5 | 0% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 45.5 | 37.3 | 82.7 | +8.2 | 73% | 36% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.0 | 40.6 | 85.7 | +4.4 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.1 | 41.6 | 87.7 | +4.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 44.0 | 39.7 | 83.7 | +4.3 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.4 | 42.9 | 89.3 | +3.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 44.6 | 90.8 | +1.6 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (7) | 45.1 | 47.9 | 93.0 | -2.7 | 14% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 45.0 | 38.4 | 83.4 | +6.6 | 74% | 39% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Lynx W under 98.5 | 85.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W under 108.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Lost |
| Under 176 | 73.3% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Under 175 | 71.2% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Under 175.5 | 71.8% | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Under 183.5 | 85.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W under 93.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.37 | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Under 176.5 | 73.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Southside W under 90.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Southside W under 86.5 | 79.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Southside W under 84.5 | 73.4% | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Southside W under 89.5 | 86.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 94.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W over 67.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 77.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Under 188.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Southside W under 88.5 | 84.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Southside W under 99.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 71.5 | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +10.5 | 95.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +15.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Southside W under 96.5 | 95.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Southside W under 83.5 | 70.2% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 69.5 | 96.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Southside W under 94.5 | 93.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 70.5 | 95.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 68.5 | 97.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Southside W +16 | 71.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Southside W +20.5 | 82.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Lost |
| Southside W +29.5 | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Southside W under 92.5 | 91.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Southside W +18.5 | 78.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Southside W +16.5 | 72.5% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Southside W +18 | 77.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W over 72.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Southside W over 59.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Southside W +17.5 | 75.3% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Southside W over 60.5 | 95.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Southside W +17 | 74.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W over 73.5 | 92.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +9.5 | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Southside W +34.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +14.5 | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +6.5 | 91.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 77.5 | 85.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -2 | 77.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 75.5 | 89.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -1.5 | 78.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Southside W over 58.5 | 97.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Southside W over 62.5 | 93.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 74.5 | 91.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Southside W +24.5 | 89.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Lost |
| Southside W +19.5 | 80.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Perth Lynx W (regulation) | 78.5% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.19 | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 76.5 | 87.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 78.5 | 82.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Southside W over 64.5 | 91.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 91.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W win | 80.7% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +2.0pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 81.5 | 74.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W +4.5 | 88.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 79.5 | 80.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -3.5 | 72.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Southside W over 68.5 | 82.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 80.5 | 77.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Southside W over 66.5 | 87.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -3 | 74.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Southside W over 69.5 | 80.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -4 | 71.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W -2.5 | 75.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Perth Lynx W over 82.5 | 71.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Southside W over 70.5 | 77.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 85.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Southside W over 72.5 | 70.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 77.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.4 | 22.2 | 47.8% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.3 | 8.3 | 32.8% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.3 | 10.8 | 73.3% | 10.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.1 | 20.9 | 47.8% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.0 | 10.4 | 32.8% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.3 | 15.3 | 73.3% | 15.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 | Southside W v Perth Lynx W | 79-111 |
| 05/12/25 | Perth Lynx W v Southside W | 98-81 |
| 09/11/25 | Perth Lynx W v Southside W | 79-76 |
| 18/01/25 | Perth Lynx W v Southside W | 86-78 |
| 01/12/24 | Southside W v Perth Lynx W | 82-89 |
| 02/11/24 | Perth Lynx W v Southside W | 94-79 |
| 17/03/24 | Southside W v Perth Lynx W | 115-81 |
| 14/03/24 | Perth Lynx W v Southside W | 95-97 |
| 10/03/24 | Southside W v Perth Lynx W | 79-101 |
| 31/01/24 | Southside W v Perth Lynx W | 91-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Tasmania Jewels W | 79-99 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Sydney W | 69-86 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Adelaide Lightning W | 74-81 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Geelong Venom W | 69-74 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Tasmania Jewels W | 91-77 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Sydney W | 73-77 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Townsville W | 74-84 |
| 18/02/26 | H | Townsville W | 109-89 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Townsville W | 60-88 |
| 08/02/26 | A | Adelaide Lightning W | 77-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Geelong Venom W | 95-76 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Bendigo W | 94-84 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Townsville W | 86-99 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Adelaide Lightning W | 90-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Townsville W | 86-83 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Townsville W | 105-108 OT |
| 26/02/26 | A | Townsville W | 79-88 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Bendigo W | 81-75 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Bendigo W | 86-76 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Sydney W | 108-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 17% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 79.3 | 72.3 |
| Allowed / game | 82.3 | 78.3 | 86.3 |
| Point differential | -6.5 | +1.0 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 158.2 | 157.7 | 158.7 |
| Over 168 | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 80% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 90.2 | 90.0 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 84.8 | 83.5 | 85.7 |
| Point differential | +5.4 | +6.5 | +4.7 |
| Avg total | 175.0 | 173.5 | 176.0 |
| Over 168 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 90.2 | 84.8 | +5.4 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.5 | 81.2 | +3.2 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 83.6 | 78.1 | +5.4 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.0 | 77.5 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | Tasmania Jewels W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 88.0 | 89.0 | -1.0 |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.8 | 82.6 | -2.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.3 | 82.3 | -7.0 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 82.3 | 87.2 | -4.8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 75.8 | 82.3 | -6.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 15 | 15 | 29 | 80 | |
| 30 | 20 | 33 | 31 | 114 |
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