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Southside W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-81
22-27 15-20 17-12 20-22
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.0
Southside W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game90.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 3· State Basketball Centre
Women2026-27
Meetings · Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W
30 Jan 2027
SOUT v ADEL
upcoming
01 Nov 2026
SOUT74
ADEL81
31 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL77
17 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL58
28 Dec 2025
SOUT85
ADEL72
09 Feb 2025
SOUT84
ADEL78
06 Dec 2024
SOUT71
ADEL97
24 Feb 2024
SOUT60
ADEL74
05 Nov 2022
SOUT99
ADEL91
19 Feb 2022
SOUT72
ADEL85
02 Dec 2020
SOUT111
ADEL72
18 Feb 2020
SOUT68
ADEL65
25 Jan 2020
SOUT81
ADEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southside W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-111
79
111
-32
72avg 78
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 78
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 78
A03/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
82avg 78
A08/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 78
A15/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
109-89
109
89
+20
116avg 78
H18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 78
A22/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H16/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H22/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
A24/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-34
16-33
31-22
17-20
25-18
13-24
27-15
20-26
24-18
20-16
18-15
25-19
23-16
12-15
17-14
6-23
13-20
25-21
16-24
26-20
23-23
33-22
27-24
25-21
21-32
15-17
13-14
25-26
21-11
14-19
13-21
17-28
28-18
29-16
17-15
18-13
19-34
15-16
17-11
161.2Avg total
79.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.776.0153.7+1.733%
Season at home (2)82.077.0159.0+5.050%
Season away (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)79.681.6161.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)83.280.2163.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.586.5166.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.476.8150.2-3.420%
vs Weaker (13)82.472.7155.1+9.777%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 63
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 63
H13/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
A17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
61-67
61
67
-6
54avg 63
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
90avg 63
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 63
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
64-77
64
77
-13
44avg 63
H08/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
no box
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H20/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
H24/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
18-18
15-21
20-21
23-23
23-13
12-13
18-16
20-22
21-22
9-19
8-19
11-15
13-21
17-16
20-15
24-16
22-32
16-21
23-9
20-17
18-25
24-13
15-27
19-25
16-23
15-12
14-17
16-17
25-31
15-22
12-25
24-17
19-23
15-19
10-27
17-26
17-15
26-18
22-31
150.6Avg total
70.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.790.3163.0-17.70%
Season at home (2)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Season away (1)68.095.0163.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)70.480.2150.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)71.886.0157.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.685.1155.7-14.55%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.178.4158.5+1.760%
vs Weaker (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
Southside WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A08/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A15/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A22/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A24/10
NBL W
85.0Avg total
40.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.682.1-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.380.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.883.7-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.285.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.289.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.245.884.0-7.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker (13)44.738.583.2+6.262%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H08/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H20/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H24/10
NBL W
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.983.4-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.643.482.1-4.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.484.9-4.014%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.882.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.845.082.8-7.216%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.441.684.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (1)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.2
55.0%
47.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.3
35.6%
32.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.310.8
66.3%
73.3%10.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.2
46.0%
47.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
32.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws11.89.3
78.8%
73.3%9.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Southside W
LWLLWLWWWL
Adelaide Lightning W
LLLLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
-5.9
Net rating
-10.8
92.4
Offensive rating
87.2
98.3
Defensive rating
98.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.6%
3-point %
33.6%
74.8%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 87.2Defence98.3 · 98.0Shooting54.4% · 47.9%3-point %35.6% · 33.6%Ball care17.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds- · 24.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Southside W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Southside W wins
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W64-77
31/01/26Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W82-77
17/01/26Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W82-58
28/12/25Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W85-72
09/02/25Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W84-78
20/12/24Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W82-72
06/12/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W71-97
24/02/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W60-74
30/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W62-87
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGeelong Venom W69-74
22/10/26HTasmania Jewels W91-77
16/10/26HSydney W73-77
22/02/26ATownsville W74-84
18/02/26HTownsville W109-89
15/02/26ATownsville W60-88
08/02/26AAdelaide Lightning W77-64
03/02/26ACanberra Capitals W82-75
31/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W82-77
27/01/26HPerth Lynx W79-111
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPerth Lynx W82-90
20/10/26HTownsville W68-86
18/10/26ASydney W68-95
08/02/26HSouthside W64-77
31/01/26ASouthside W77-82
24/01/26AGeelong Venom W85-78
20/01/26HCanberra Capitals W61-67
17/01/26ASouthside W58-82
13/01/26HSydney W76-65
10/01/26APerth Lynx W65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southside W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.782.069.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.0
Point differential+1.7+5.0-5.0
Avg total153.7159.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.775.068.0
Allowed / game90.388.095.0
Point differential-17.7-13.0-27.0
Avg total163.0163.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W220100%88.082.5+5.5
2 Sydney W54180%85.876.2+9.6
3 Tasmania Jewels W32167%91.088.7+2.3
4 Canberra Capitals W32167%80.380.7-0.3
5 Townsville W42250%84.278.0+6.2
6 Southside W31233%77.776.0+1.7
7 Geelong Venom W31233%77.383.0-5.7
8 Bendigo W2020%80.092.5-12.5
9 Adelaide Lightning W3030%72.790.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southside W2215172074
Adelaide Lightning W2720122281
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