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SP Basket vs Liberecko Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-83
18-24 26-17 18-17 26-25
Position#17
Record4-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#10
Record10-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.8
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 18· Sokol Prazsky
Other2023-24
Meetings · SP Basket v Liberecko
26 Jan 2024
SP B88
LIBE83
11 Nov 2022
SP B61
LIBE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SP Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberecko winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SP BasketCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
53avg 57
A10/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
64avg 57
A15/11
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 57
H24/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
57avg 57
A01/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
77-56
77
56
+21
68avg 57
H08/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
75-108
75
108
-33
65avg 57
A17/12
1. Liga
Nymburk
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 57
H18/12
Czech Cup
USK Prague B
#13
W
69-67
69
67
+2
60avg 57
A05/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
W
62-61
62
61
+1
49avg 57
H12/01
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 57
A19/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
17-24
22-15
9-14
26-16
13-25
17-22
22-31
21-18
21-29
17-21
25-20
13-24
20-30
27-21
18-14
20-19
25-15
18-15
14-7
24-24
16-26
14-37
21-21
14-31
24-17
20-27
22-23
14-17
18-13
17-19
20-18
10-12
19-15
15-15
18-19
15-19
24-15
12-25
17-17
156.1Avg total
74.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.878.4146.2-10.624%
Season at home (8)65.868.1133.9-2.438%
Season away (9)69.787.6157.2-17.911%
Last 10 (10)74.281.9156.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)70.882.0152.8-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.782.5152.2-12.822%
vs Similar (8)75.074.4149.4+0.638%
vs Weaker (2)99.068.0167.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
SP Basket
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
80avg 66
H10/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 66
H17/11
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 66
A24/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 66
H01/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
80avg 66
H08/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
97-83
97
83
+14
89avg 66
A15/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
81avg 66
H05/01
1. Liga
Decin
#1
L
63-100
63
100
-37
45avg 66
H10/01
Czech Cup
Litomerice
#4
L
60-72
60
72
-12
35avg 66
A12/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
64avg 66
H19/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
24-17
15-22
14-9
23-15
16-19
21-26
25-21
12-22
25-20
15-16
19-22
19-23
24-15
16-17
22-18
19-18
19-12
20-15
20-12
26-20
25-21
23-17
23-25
27-18
12-22
26-25
20-16
20-20
13-27
12-33
18-20
11-16
23-21
13-18
13-17
21-18
18-16
15-20
17-18
154.3Avg total
77.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.976.8154.8+1.159%
Season at home (9)77.773.9151.6+3.878%
Season away (8)78.280.1158.4-1.938%
Last 10 (10)77.377.0154.3+0.360%
Last 5 (5)75.281.6156.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.274.8143.0-6.640%
vs Similar (9)83.382.3165.7+1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.962.6145.5+20.387%
This opponent (SP Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
SP BasketLiberecko
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SP BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/11
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A01/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A17/12
1. Liga
Nymburk
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Czech Cup
USK Prague B
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A05/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H12/01
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/01
1. Liga
79.5Avg total
37.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.980.1-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.579.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.480.5-6.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.879.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.873.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.643.779.2-8.117%-
vs Similar (8)41.136.577.6+4.688%-
vs Weaker (2)53.033.586.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SP Basket
#17
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/11
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A24/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/01
1. Liga
Decin
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H10/01
Czech Cup
Litomerice
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/01
1. Liga
78.9Avg total
40.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.074.6+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.934.474.3+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)39.435.675.0+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.378.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.836.870.6-3.020%-
vs Similar (9)39.238.277.4+1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.331.673.9+10.793%-
This opponent (SP Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SP Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SP Basket: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.9
48.6%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.1
27.0%
29.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.010.9
57.4%
64.9%10.9
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.8
51.6%
50.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
29.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.715.8
64.0%
64.9%15.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SP Basket
LWWLLWLLLL
Liberecko
LLLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#10
-10.6
Net rating
+2.1
90.6
Offensive rating
100.0
101.2
Defensive rating
97.9
45.1%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.0%
3-point %
31.1%
50.4%
Assist %
48.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 100.0Defence101.2 · 97.9Shooting45.1% · 49.7%3-point %27.0% · 31.1%Ball care20.7% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ SP Basket   ■ Liberecko
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SP Basket wins
3
Liberecko wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Liberecko v SP Basket82-71
27/01/23Liberecko v SP Basket74-46
11/11/22SP Basket v Liberecko61-80
SP Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AChomutov68-76
12/01/24HPlzen62-61
05/01/24AUSK Prague B69-67
18/12/23HNymburk80-98
17/12/23APolabi75-108
08/12/23HRadotin77-56
01/12/23ALitomerice78-89
24/11/23HJindrichuv Hradec84-88
15/11/23ASokol Prazsky78-94
10/11/23ALiberecko71-82
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HRadotin71-72
12/01/24ALitomerice60-72
10/01/24HDecin63-100
05/01/24HJindrichuv Hradec85-81
15/12/23ASokol Prazsky97-83
08/12/23HPolabi78-57
01/12/23HChomutov81-73
24/11/23APlzen71-80
17/11/23HUSK Prague B85-81
10/11/23HSP Basket82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SP Basket
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL24%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game67.865.869.7
Allowed / game78.468.187.6
Point differential-10.6-2.4-17.9
Avg total146.2133.9157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberecko
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game77.977.778.2
Allowed / game76.873.980.1
Point differential+1.1+3.8-1.9
Avg total154.8151.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jindrichuv Hradec1815383%93.175.7+17.4
2 Svitavy1815383%90.677.0+13.6
3 Hradec Kralove1714382%96.475.8+20.5
4 Brno U231712571%85.970.2+15.7
5 Opava 21712571%82.977.2+5.7
6 Sokol Prazsky1712571%84.482.1+2.3
7 Litomerice1812667%81.375.3+6.0
8 Plzen1811761%78.771.1+7.6
9 Liberecko1710759%77.976.8+1.1
10 Radotin179853%70.276.4-6.1
11 Novy Jicin189950%84.682.6+2.0
12 Pardubice 21881044%77.779.8-2.1
13 USK Prague B1761135%72.674.2-1.6
14 Chomutov1751229%77.283.9-6.7
15 Snakes Ostrava1751229%73.587.6-14.1
16 Zlin1851328%85.092.1-7.1
17 Basketbal Olomouc1851328%77.393.8-16.4
18 SP Basket1741324%67.878.4-10.6
19 Polabi1831517%81.792.3-10.6
20 Prostejov1831517%73.189.4-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SP Basket1826182688
Liberecko2417172583
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