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Spain vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 59-52
11-11 11-14 20-15 17-12
Position#22
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game72.6
Spain 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Palacio de los Deportes de León
Other2023
Meetings · Spain v Belgium
23 Feb 2025
SPAI59
BELG52
04 Sep 2022
SPAI73
BELG83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
51avg 64
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
63avg 64
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 64
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
59avg 64
A20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
29-17
20-13
21-17
21-22
29-20
14-17
32-19
16-17
27-17
21-18
21-13
16-17
16-12
26-18
11-27
21-21
27-17
25-23
12-27
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
17-20
17-21
16-22
16-20
151.5Avg total
78.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.872.6143.4-1.840%
Season at home (2)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
Season away (3)65.071.0136.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.373.2151.5+5.150%
Last 5 (5)70.872.6143.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.877.0146.8-7.20%
vs Similar (5)79.675.6155.2+4.060%
vs Weaker (21)87.072.0159.0+15.090%
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
no box
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
50avg 72
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 72
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 72
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 72
H20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-20
19-19
12-25
13-23
14-20
13-17
12-26
19-19
15-12
21-27
15-14
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
144.0Avg total
71.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.267.2143.4+9.060%
Season at home (3)78.067.0145.0+11.067%
Season away (2)73.567.5141.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)71.772.3144.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)76.267.2143.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.869.0137.8-0.250%
vs Similar (12)73.977.7151.6-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.366.6147.9+14.679%
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
SpainBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
EuroBasket
74.2Avg total
40.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.876.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.635.178.6+8.569%-
Last 30 away (14)39.934.474.3+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)40.833.474.2+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.467.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.234.570.8+1.850%-
vs Similar (5)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (21)43.335.578.8+7.971%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
73.1Avg total
36.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.674.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.334.971.2+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.476.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.673.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.240.271.5-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)37.838.876.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.833.772.5+5.171%-
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.2
43.7%
50.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.6
28.9%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.215.4
69.4%
71.4%15.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.8
49.4%
50.6%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
71.4%13.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
LWWLLLLWWW
Belgium
WLLWWLWLLL
#22
League position
#18
-3.0
Net rating
+14.1
94.5
Offensive rating
108.9
97.5
Defensive rating
94.8
43.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.9%
3-point %
35.2%
71.4%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 108.9Defence97.5 · 94.8Shooting43.6% · 51.0%3-point %28.9% · 35.2%Ball care20.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Spain   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spain wins
2
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Belgium v Spain58-53
04/09/22Spain v Belgium73-83
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ALatvia66-83
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
03/09/23HCanada85-88
01/09/23HLatvia69-74
30/08/23AIran85-65
28/08/23ABrazil96-78
26/08/23HIvory Coast94-64
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59
14/11/22HGreece70-72
11/11/22ATurkey52-86
10/09/22ASlovenia72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game70.879.565.0
Allowed / game72.675.071.0
Point differential-1.8+4.5-6.0
Avg total143.4154.5136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Belgium
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game76.278.073.5
Allowed / game67.267.067.5
Point differential+9.0+11.0+6.0
Avg total143.4145.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France550100%78.066.8+11.2
3 Latvia550100%77.269.6+7.6
4 Lithuania54180%80.063.2+16.8
5 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
6 Estonia54180%78.271.8+6.4
7 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
8 Israel54180%81.876.8+5.0
9 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
10 Croatia1511473%84.571.3+13.2
11 Bulgaria1510567%78.874.6+4.2
12 Portugal117464%82.374.0+8.3
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%91.476.2+15.2
14 Germany53260%78.867.6+11.2
15 Belgium53260%76.267.2+9.0
16 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
17 Montenegro53260%81.479.6+1.8
18 Georgia53260%73.071.6+1.4
19 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 North Macedonia116555%73.270.9+2.3
22 Poland116555%76.576.5+0.1
23 Slovakia158753%72.371.9+0.4
24 Denmark1991047%73.673.0+0.6
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
27 Spain52340%70.872.6-1.8
28 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
29 Sweden52340%73.079.6-6.6
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
35 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus171166%63.582.4-18.9
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain1111201759
Belgium1114151252
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