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Spain vs Denmark Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 109-81
24-19 27-22 31-14 27-26
Position#27
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game63.8
Spain 🏆
vs
Position#79
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· La Caja Magica
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
59avg 74
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 74
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
91-47
91
47
+44
97avg 74
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 74
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 74
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
11-14
20-15
17-12
17-20
18-17
14-20
20-26
24-16
20-14
28-17
16-20
19-9
22-8
29-12
21-18
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
25-23
20-10
15-14
14-17
19-22
28-11
23-13
20-15
17-21
15-12
33-14
21-19
16-9
12-12
24-22
26-21
144.5Avg total
78.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.063.8145.8+18.2100%
Season at home (2)84.062.5146.5+21.5100%
Season away (2)80.065.0145.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.466.1144.5+12.370%
Last 5 (5)82.869.0151.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (6)79.075.3154.3+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.071.3156.3+13.789%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
no box
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
4-18
20-11
15-14
25-24
22-17
23-18
7-24
25-15
20-21
20-17
24-18
14-24
29-32
16-21
12-23
15-12
22-15
18-22
24-21
21-12
17-24
19-24
19-19
23-25
10-20
14-15
17-14
20-18
16-28
10-27
25-15
12-12
20-27
15-38
24-12
17-21
14-22
18-30
11-16
152.3Avg total
71.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.682.5155.1-9.925%
Season at home (4)75.078.2153.2-3.225%
Season away (4)70.286.8157.0-16.525%
Last 10 (10)71.880.5152.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)68.483.8152.2-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.685.7151.3-20.10%
vs Similar (8)73.170.6143.8+2.538%
vs Weaker (12)79.773.0152.7+6.767%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
SpainDenmark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H02/03
World Cup
67.4Avg total
36.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.574.2+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.834.974.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.634.073.6+5.671%-
Last 10 (10)36.530.967.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.071.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (6)39.734.774.3+5.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.434.976.3+6.463%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/02
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
World Cup
77.3Avg total
36.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.274.9-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.874.9-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.677.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.875.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.644.477.0-11.810%-
vs Similar (8)33.934.468.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)42.135.677.7+6.583%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.6
27.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
-12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
WWWWLLWWLW
Denmark
LLLLLWLWLL
#27
League position
#79
+5.9
Net rating
-2.5
99.0
Offensive rating
98.9
93.1
Defensive rating
101.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.9%
3-point %
27.3%
74.0%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Spain   ■ Denmark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain wins
0
Denmark wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Denmark v Spain64-74
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26HUkraine78-64
27/02/26AUkraine86-66
30/11/25HGeorgia90-61
27/11/25ADenmark74-64
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
31/08/25HCyprus91-47
30/08/25HBosnia & Herzegovina88-67
28/08/25AGeorgia69-83
23/02/25HBelgium59-52
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26AGeorgia60-89
27/02/26HGeorgia71-89
30/11/25AUkraine71-88
27/11/25HSpain64-74
20/08/25HCroatia76-79
13/08/25ANorway79-70
09/08/25ACroatia71-100
02/08/25HNorway89-71
24/02/25HFinland77-83
21/02/25AGeorgia60-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.084.080.0
Allowed / game63.862.565.0
Point differential+18.2+21.5+15.0
Avg total145.8146.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game72.675.070.2
Allowed / game82.578.286.8
Point differential-9.9-3.2-16.5
Avg total155.1153.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
3 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
4 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
5 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
8 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
11 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
12 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
13 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
14 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
15 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
16 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
17 Lebanon43175%87.870.0+17.8
18 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
19 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
20 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
21 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
22 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
23 Saudi Arabia43175%76.570.5+6.0
24 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
25 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
26 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
31 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
32 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
33 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
34 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
35 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
36 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
37 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
40 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
41 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
43 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
44 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
45 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
46 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
47 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
48 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
49 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
50 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
51 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
54 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
58 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
59 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
60 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
61 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
62 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
65 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
66 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
70 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
71 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain24273127109
Denmark1922142681
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