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Croatia vs Denmark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-71
24-14 32-29 21-16 23-12
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game68.0
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#79
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeWorld Cup· Marino Cvetkovic
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 85
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 85
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
112avg 85
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
164.3Avg total
90.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.068.0169.0+33.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)101.068.0169.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.174.2164.3+15.970%
Last 5 (5)92.880.8173.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.983.6160.4-6.714%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.567.9153.4+17.682%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
88-63
88
63
+25
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
52-72
52
72
-20
40avg 49
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
34avg 49
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 49
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
77-83
77
83
-6
73avg 49
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
17-27
25-22
13-10
18-25
26-9
27-21
23-26
24-17
23-11
21-17
20-18
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
6-29
13-14
16-19
17-10
17-25
11-25
11-20
12-28
21-19
4-18
20-11
15-14
25-24
22-17
23-18
7-24
25-15
20-21
20-17
24-18
151.6Avg total
75.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.071.0160.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)89.071.0160.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.376.3151.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)65.877.2143.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)63.584.7148.2-21.20%
vs Similar (11)72.674.9147.5-2.327%
vs Weaker (13)80.574.3154.8+6.269%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
CroatiaDenmark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
82.4Avg total
46.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.178.0+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.835.177.9+7.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.138.978.0+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.136.382.4+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.886.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.441.677.0-6.114%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.632.475.0+10.376%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/08
World Cup
77.6Avg total
38.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.176.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.439.878.2-1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)36.438.374.7-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.177.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.474.2-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.244.775.8-13.50%-
vs Similar (11)34.739.173.8-4.427%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.579.3+6.285%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.6
27.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
-12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWLLWWLWWW
Denmark
WLLLLLWWWW
#5
League position
#79
+22.7
Net rating
-2.5
120.4
Offensive rating
98.9
97.6
Defensive rating
101.4
57.9%
Effective FG%
46.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.6%
3-point %
27.3%
74.0%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Croatia   ■ Denmark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Denmark wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25ANorway101-68
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HNorway89-71
24/02/25HFinland77-83
21/02/25AGeorgia60-62
24/11/24ASerbia51-98
21/11/24HSerbia52-72
26/02/24AFinland85-89
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
05/08/23AKosovo88-63
02/08/23HSwitzerland94-81
26/07/23HKosovo82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game101.0-101.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+33.0-+33.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denmark
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia110100%101.068.0+33.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Denmark110100%89.071.0+18.0
4 Netherlands220100%73.067.0+6.0
5 Switzerland87188%76.259.8+16.5
6 Romania65183%78.770.5+8.2
7 Austria64267%92.275.5+16.7
8 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
9 Hungary21150%80.067.0+13.0
10 Ukraine21150%72.068.5+3.5
11 Slovakia21150%72.070.0+2.0
12 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
13 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
14 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
15 Norway62433%68.777.8-9.2
16 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
17 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
18 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
19 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
20 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
21 Bulgaria2020%73.084.5-11.5
22 North Macedonia2020%65.088.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia24322123100
Denmark1429161271
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