PythiaBasketballBETA
Segunda FEBRound 7
The Spanish Basketball Academy will host Melilla on 15 November 2026 in the Segunda FEB, and the contrast is stark: the Academy has slipped to 2-4 while Melilla remains unbeaten at 6-0. Across all games this season the Academy averages 78.0 points and allows 78.8, whereas Melilla scores 84.3 and concedes 70.0, a difference that places the Academy at 20th and Melilla at 1st in the league. At home the Academy has a 2-1 record, 80.3 points for and 76.7 against, and its last five games include a win over Toledo 85-77, a loss to Moron 71-74 away and a win over Estudiantes B 79-69; Melilla's last five have been all victories, including wins over Moron 85-61, Estudiantes B 92-75 and Tres Cantos 81-64. The two teams have met twice before, with Melilla winning the most recent encounter. Pythia rates Melilla as the favourite with a 62% chance of winning versus 38% for the Academy, projecting a 76-79 score and 154.6 total points; the Academy must cover the 8.5-point spread with a 67% probability, while the over on 153.5 carries a 52% chance. The game carries a 5% chance of overtime, and the Academy's home record of 2-1 suggests a modest edge in familiar surroundings.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 78.0 | 78.8 | 156.8 | -0.8 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 80.3 | 76.7 | 157.0 | +3.7 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 75.7 | 81.0 | 156.7 | -5.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.0 | 76.1 | 153.1 | +0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 75.8 | 152.2 | +0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 70.0 | 77.0 | 147.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 80.8 | 78.6 | 159.5 | +2.2 | 54% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 82.3 | 73.6 | 155.9 | +8.7 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.3 | 70.0 | 154.3 | +14.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.7 | 64.7 | 147.3 | +18.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 86.0 | 75.3 | 161.3 | +10.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.6 | 79.7 | 161.3 | +1.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.2 | 72.2 | 159.4 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 75.0 | 88.3 | 163.3 | -13.3 | 16% |
| vs Similar (5) | 81.4 | 80.2 | 161.6 | +1.2 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 84.3 | 70.0 | 154.3 | +14.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.8 | 35.3 | 73.1 | +2.5 | 57% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.6 | 37.0 | 78.6 | +4.6 | 67% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.0 | 33.5 | 67.5 | +0.5 | 47% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.1 | 35.9 | 73.0 | +1.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 32.2 | 68.6 | +4.2 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 33.0 | 30.5 | 63.5 | +2.5 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 37.3 | 36.8 | 74.2 | +0.5 | 46% | 46% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 38.9 | 34.5 | 73.4 | +4.3 | 67% | 27% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 41.6 | 80.6 | -2.6 | 33% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.8 | 41.5 | 82.2 | -0.8 | 44% | 81% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 37.0 | 41.8 | 78.8 | -4.8 | 21% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.8 | 37.2 | 79.0 | +4.6 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.2 | 36.0 | 81.2 | +9.2 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 38.4 | 43.9 | 82.3 | -5.5 | 26% | 79% |
| vs Similar (5) | 37.4 | 41.6 | 79.0 | -4.2 | 0% | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 42.3 | 34.5 | 76.8 | +7.8 | 83% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish Basketball Academy +10.5 | 73.0% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp |
| Spanish Basketball Academy +11.5 | 75.9% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +16.1pp |
| Spanish Basketball Academy over 69.5 | 71.7% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp |
| Spanish Basketball Academy over 68.5 | 74.9% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp |
| Melilla under 85.5 | 73.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.4 | 13.9 | 45.7% | - | 27.8 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.6 | 11.3 | 31.7% | - | 33.9 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 15.6 | 78.0% | - | 15.6 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Toledo | 85-77 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Moron | 71-74 OT |
| 25/10/26 | H | Estudiantes B | 79-69 OT |
| 17/10/26 | A | Tres Cantos | 70-75 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Leonesa | 77-84 OT |
| 03/10/26 | A | Ponferrada | 86-94 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Caja 87 | 68-81 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Caja 87 | 89-80 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Clavijo | 82-53 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Clavijo | 63-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Moron | 85-61 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Estudiantes B | 92-75 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Tres Cantos | 81-64 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Leonesa | 96-92 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Ponferrada | 82-69 |
| 03/10/26 | A | CBC Valladolid | 70-59 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Hestia Menorca | 72-102 |
| 03/05/26 | H | Ourense | 84-93 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Tizona Burgos | 81-96 |
| 22/04/26 | A | Estudiantes | 73-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 33% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.0 | 80.3 | 75.7 |
| Allowed / game | 78.8 | 76.7 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | -0.8 | +3.7 | -5.3 |
| Avg total | 156.8 | 157.0 | 156.7 |
| Over 153.75 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | - | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 84.3 | 82.7 | 86.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.0 | 64.7 | 75.3 |
| Point differential | +14.3 | +18.0 | +10.7 |
| Avg total | 154.3 | 147.3 | 161.3 |
| Over 153.75 | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 84.3 | 70.0 | +14.3 |
| 2 |  Benicarlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 77.8 | 68.2 | +9.6 |
| 3 |  Caceres | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 85.3 | 76.4 | +8.9 |
| 4 |  Sant Antoni | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 80.0 | 63.8 | +16.2 |
| 5 |  CB Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 86.3 | 74.5 | +11.8 |
| 6 |  CBC Valladolid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.7 | 76.1 | +8.6 |
| 7 |  Prat Joventut | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.4 | 74.4 | +6.0 |
| 8 | Leonesa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.8 | 80.7 | +4.2 |
| 9 |  Huesca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 86.7 | 83.6 | +3.1 |
| 10 |  Gandia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.6 | 79.9 | +0.7 |
| 11 |  Moron | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.9 | 76.9 | +0.0 |
| 12 | Lliria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 70.7 | 72.6 | -1.9 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.7 | 80.3 | +1.3 |
| 14 |  Ponferrada | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 79.3 | 81.3 | -2.0 |
| 15 |  Toledo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.3 | 83.3 | +0.0 |
| 16 |  Cartagena | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 82.4 | 84.9 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Clavijo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 72.9 | 76.1 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Tres Cantos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 71.7 | 79.4 | -7.7 |
| 19 |  Logrono | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 81.0 | 81.2 | -0.2 |
| 20 | Spanish Basketball Academy | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.0 | 78.8 | -0.8 |
| 21 | Jaen Paraiso | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.7 | 80.3 | -2.7 |
| 22 |  Iraurgi SB | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.8 | 82.5 | -4.7 |
| 23 | CB Getafe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.9 | 78.3 | -3.4 |
| 24 |  Castello | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.4 | 79.6 | -5.1 |
| 25 | Estudiantes B | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 75.0 | 81.4 | -6.4 |
| 26 | Sol Girones Bisbal | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 72.6 | 82.9 | -10.3 |
| 27 | Badajoz | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 73.0 | 85.1 | -12.1 |
| 28 |  Molina Basket | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 63.3 | 76.9 | -13.6 |
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