Spars Sarajevo vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 70-71

19-9 23-18 14-26 14-18

Position#2

Record16-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game71.7

Spars Sarajevo

MZT Skopje 🏆

Position#3

Record15-7

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game79.9

ABA League 2ABA League 2 - Semi-finals

Other2018

Meetings · Spars Sarajevo v MZT Skopje

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spars Sarajevo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

MZT Skopje winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spars SarajevoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

61-102

102

-41

A27/12

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

73-64

H03/01

ABA League 2

Zrinjski Mostar

83-68

+15

A10/01

ABA League 2

Split

96-58

+38

H17/01

ABA League 2

Vrsac

#12

93-76

+17

A23/01

ABA League 2

KK Dynamic

88-84

H30/01

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

81-70

+11

A06/02

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

76-74

H28/02

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

#11

79-66

+13

H06/03

ABA League 2

MZT Skopje

77-93

-16

A14/03

ABA League 2

21-30

15-26

10-25

15-21

17-20

18-15

19-16

19-13

22-16

21-19

19-17

21-16

26-17

19-18

26-14

25-9

14-23

31-14

25-16

23-23

12-26

28-22

22-18

26-18

25-24

17-13

19-16

20-17

17-23

25-16

10-24

24-11

16-12

30-17

18-15

15-22

23-24

17-21

20-23

17-25

156.2Avg total

80.7Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	74.6	71.7	146.3	+2.9	73%
Season at home (11)	73.5	67.2	140.6	+6.3	82%
Season away (11)	75.7	76.3	152.0	-0.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	75.5	156.2	+5.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	77.4	157.6	+2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	66.8	78.3	145.2	-11.5	17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	74.9	71.5	146.4	+3.4	69%
vs Weaker (8)	76.2	67.8	144.0	+8.5	88%

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vrsac

#12

78-69

H30/01

ABA League 2

Vardar

102-67

102

+35

H02/02

Superleague

KK Dynamic

75-98

-23

A07/02

ABA League 2

Gostivar

74-61

+13

A10/02

Superleague

Rogaska

#10

84-70

+14

H28/02

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

88-61

+27

H03/03

Superleague

Sutjeska

79-91

-12

A06/03

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

74-70

A09/03

Superleague

Spars Sarajevo

93-77

+16

H14/03

ABA League 2

Kozuv

80-91

-11

H16/03

Superleague

19-17

22-12

14-22

23-18

21-23

33-20

23-12

25-12

23-28

14-18

18-31

20-21

20-14

22-14

16-16

16-17

16-19

28-16

26-9

14-26

17-10

29-11

20-21

22-19

21-30

17-24

14-24

27-13

18-16

21-19

14-16

24-23

21-17

23-20

25-17

22-32

24-9

19-29

15-21

158.2Avg total

82.7Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	86.3	79.9	166.2	+6.4	68%
Season at home (11)	89.5	75.4	164.9	+14.2	91%
Season away (11)	83.1	84.5	167.5	-1.4	45%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	75.5	158.2	+7.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	78.0	160.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	78.0	155.0	-1.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.0	78.9	161.9	+4.1	70%
vs Weaker (19)	88.8	77.2	165.9	+11.6	84%

This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Spars SarajevoMZT Skopje

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	18.1	34.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	32%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.8	41.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	17.3	35.6	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.1	15.6	37.8	+6.5	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	17.7	40.8	+5.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	17.4	40.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	18.1	40.8	+4.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	16.0	39.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	17.0	28.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	25.3	17.4	42.7	+7.8	84%	-

Spars SarajevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

36-56

-20

A27/12

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

35-35

H03/01

ABA League 2

Zrinjski Mostar

43-35

A10/01

ABA League 2

Split

45-35

+10

H17/01

ABA League 2

Vrsac

#12

45-37

A23/01

ABA League 2

KK Dynamic

40-48

-8

H30/01

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

42-37

A06/02

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

42-39

H28/02

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

#11

46-29

+17

H06/03

ABA League 2

MZT Skopje

40-45

-5

A14/03

ABA League 2

81.0Avg total

41.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.3	74.7	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	35.6	71.9	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	38.8	77.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.6	81.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.2	34.6	74.9	+5.6	62%	-

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vrsac

#12

41-29

+12

H30/01

ABA League 2

Vardar

54-43

+11

H02/02

Superleague

KK Dynamic

37-46

-9

A07/02

ABA League 2

Gostivar

42-28

+14

A10/02

Superleague

Rogaska

#10

44-35

H28/02

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

46-21

+25

H03/03

Superleague

Sutjeska

38-54

-16

A06/03

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

39-35

A09/03

Superleague

Spars Sarajevo

45-40

H14/03

ABA League 2

Kozuv

46-41

H16/03

Superleague

80.4Avg total

43.2Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	39.9	84.4	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.5	83.2	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	40.3	85.6	+5.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	37.2	80.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	38.0	66.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.7	80%	-
vs Weaker (19)	46.7	39.8	86.6	+6.9	74%	-

This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	16.6	34.5	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	15.1	33.0	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	18.3	34.3	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.5	15.0	32.5	+2.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.7	40.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.0	34.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	14.8	31.4	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.7	20.2	33.8	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.9	15.9	34.8	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	33.5	68.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.5	29.9	64.4	+4.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	36.7	72.6	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	35.9	75.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.8	76.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	29.7	38.5	68.2	-8.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.8	32.6	70.4	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	34.2	31.6	65.9	+2.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	37.9	79.8	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.6	37.9	83.5	+7.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	37.8	76.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.3	77.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	49.0	40.0	89.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.1	37.3	79.4	+4.7	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Spars Sarajevotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 69.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	16.4	46.1%	55.2%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.1	33.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.9	78.8%	72.6%	14.9

They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	19.2	61.5%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.7	38.1%	33.0%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	72.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.2	52.8%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.1	74.2%	72.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.9	55.8%	55.2%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.6	36.1%	33.0%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.9	73.8%	72.6%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Spars Sarajevo wins

MZT Skopje wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/19	MZT Skopje v Spars Sarajevo	93-77
13/12/18	Spars Sarajevo v MZT Skopje	71-75

Spars Sarajevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/19	A	MZT Skopje	77-93
06/03/19	H	Helios Domzale	79-66
28/02/19	H	Sutjeska	76-74
06/02/19	A	Rogaska	81-70
30/01/19	H	KK Dynamic	88-84
23/01/19	A	Vrsac	93-76
17/01/19	H	Split	96-58
10/01/19	A	Zrinjski Mostar	83-68
03/01/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	73-64
27/12/18	A	KK Primorska	61-102

MZT Skopjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/19	H	Kozuv	80-91
14/03/19	H	Spars Sarajevo	93-77
09/03/19	A	Rabotnicki	74-70
06/03/19	A	Sutjeska	79-91
03/03/19	H	Ohrid	88-61
28/02/19	H	Rogaska	84-70
10/02/19	A	Gostivar	74-61
07/02/19	A	KK Dynamic	75-98
02/02/19	H	Vardar	102-67
30/01/19	H	Vrsac	78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spars Sarajevo

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	73%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	LWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	82%	64%
Points / game	74.6	73.5	75.7
Allowed / game	71.7	67.2	76.3
Point differential	+2.9	+6.3	-0.5
Avg total	146.3	140.6	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	27%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	83% (6)	67% (3)
Overtime %	14%	9%	18%

MZT Skopje

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	68%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	LWWLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	68%	91%	45%
Points / game	86.3	89.5	83.1
Allowed / game	79.9	75.4	84.5
Point differential	+6.4	+14.2	-1.4
Avg total	166.2	164.9	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	82%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	23	21	2	91%	84.6	68.7	+15.9
2	Spars Sarajevo	22	16	6	73%	74.6	71.7	+2.9
3	MZT Skopje	22	15	7	68%	86.3	79.9	+6.4
4	Borac Mozzart	23	13	10	57%	79.0	76.9	+2.1
5	KK Dynamic	22	12	10	55%	80.7	78.5	+2.2
6	Sutjeska	22	12	10	55%	80.4	82.0	-1.5
7	Lovcen Cetinje	22	11	11	50%	78.0	76.7	+1.2
8	Split	22	10	12	45%	77.8	77.8	-0.0
9	Zrinjski Mostar	22	8	14	36%	77.9	82.5	-4.6
10	Rogaska	22	7	15	32%	78.5	81.1	-2.7
11	Helios Domzale	22	7	15	32%	74.6	80.5	-5.9
12	Vrsac	22	1	21	5%	78.5	95.2	-16.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Spars Sarajevo	19	23	14	14	70
MZT Skopje	9	18	26	18	71

← all games of the day

Spars Sarajevo vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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