Spars Sarajevo vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 71-75

18-23 18-18 18-20 17-14

Position#2

Record7-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game69.7

Allowed / game68.5

Spars Sarajevo

MZT Skopje 🏆

Position#3

Record7-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game83.4

ABA League 2Round 11

Other2018

Meetings · Spars Sarajevo v MZT Skopje

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spars Sarajevo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

MZT Skopje winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spars SarajevoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

84-80 OT

A27/09

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

54-69

-15

H04/10

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

74-68

A10/10

ABA League 2

Zrinjski Mostar

75-73 OT

H16/10

ABA League 2

Split

63-60

A24/10

ABA League 2

Vrsac

#12

67-54

+13

H31/10

ABA League 2

KK Dynamic

74-79 OT

-5

A08/11

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

63-59

H14/11

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

74-67

A22/11

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

#11

69-76

-7

A05/12

ABA League 2

17-28

24-13

20-15

11-16

12-14

15-15

15-20

12-20

18-15

23-18

17-19

16-16

13-15

23-22

11-12

14-12

11-20

11-11

17-18

24-11

16-11

20-9

21-16

10-18

20-21

14-19

16-16

18-12

23-22

12-16

12-8

16-13

18-20

16-14

20-10

20-23

16-29

23-15

15-20

15-12

138.2Avg total

69.7Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	69.7	68.5	138.2	+1.2	70%
Season at home (4)	64.8	63.8	128.5	+1.0	75%
Season away (6)	73.0	71.7	144.7	+1.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	69.7	68.5	138.2	+1.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	67.0	136.4	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	70.9	77.8	148.7	-6.9	22%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	73.6	71.6	145.2	+2.0	62%
vs Weaker (5)	77.6	69.4	147.0	+8.2	80%

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gostivar

97-81

+16

H28/10

Superleague

Split

104-87

104

+17

H01/11

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

83-80

A03/11

Superleague

Vrsac

#12

95-88

A07/11

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

88-90

-2

H12/11

Superleague

KK Dynamic

84-74

+10

H15/11

ABA League 2

Kozuv

89-79

+10

A17/11

Superleague

Rogaska

#10

90-102

102

-12

A21/11

ABA League 2

Kumanovo

76-70

H25/11

Superleague

Sutjeska

94-73

+21

H06/12

ABA League 2

17-25

30-23

23-20

27-13

23-25

28-23

29-22

24-17

17-22

26-11

19-16

21-31

26-27

36-24

23-22

10-15

21-23

23-25

23-20

21-22

23-17

13-18

27-18

21-21

26-24

21-22

19-14

23-19

25-32

23-32

26-21

16-17

20-22

19-18

16-20

21-10

20-21

26-19

23-19

25-14

172.4Avg total

90.0Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.2	83.4	174.6	+7.8	70%
Season at home (6)	92.7	76.7	169.3	+16.0	100%
Season away (4)	89.0	93.5	182.5	-4.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	82.4	172.4	+7.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	79.6	166.2	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.0	83.2	163.2	-3.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	88.2	79.5	167.7	+8.7	80%
vs Weaker (15)	90.9	80.7	171.5	+10.2	73%

This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Spars SarajevoMZT Skopje

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	16.8	35.8	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	21.8	40.6	-2.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.5	35.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.6	43.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	23.1	46.1	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.8	45.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.2	46.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	17.3	33.8	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.2	33.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	14.6	31.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.8	15.8	33.5	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	15.4	36.6	+5.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.7	42.6	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.2	41.3	+4.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	73%	-

Spars SarajevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

41-41

A27/09

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

27-29

-2

H04/10

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

41-33

A10/10

ABA League 2

Zrinjski Mostar

36-37

-1

H16/10

ABA League 2

Split

22-31

-9

A24/10

ABA League 2

Vrsac

#12

36-20

+16

H31/10

ABA League 2

KK Dynamic

34-40

-6

A08/11

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

35-38

-3

H14/11

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

34-34

A22/11

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

#11

39-44

-5

A05/12

ABA League 2

69.2Avg total

34.5Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.0	74.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.5	34.1	69.6	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	34.7	69.2	-0.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.2	70.8	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.2	39.3	76.6	-2.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.8	36.2	72.0	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.0	35.2	76.2	+5.8	40%	-

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gostivar

47-48

-1

H28/10

Superleague

Split

51-48

H01/11

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

43-33

+10

A03/11

Superleague

Vrsac

#12

62-51

+11

A07/11

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

44-48

-4

H12/11

Superleague

KK Dynamic

36-35

H15/11

ABA League 2

Kozuv

47-46

A17/11

Superleague

Rogaska

#10

48-64

-16

A21/11

ABA League 2

Kumanovo

39-40

-1

H25/11

Superleague

Sutjeska

46-40

H06/12

ABA League 2

91.6Avg total

46.3Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	41.3	85.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	38.4	81.9	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	44.6	90.1	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	45.3	91.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.0	88.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.0	39.4	82.4	+3.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.9	40.6	82.5	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.5	42.4	88.9	+4.1	73%	-

This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.5	35.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	15.8	33.3	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	15.4	31.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	14.0	30.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	17.2	35.7	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.2	41.1	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.9	40.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.6	34.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.1	16.8	31.8	-1.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	15.3	30.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	15.6	31.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.2	19.6	34.8	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.6	15.8	32.4	+0.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	16.8	39.2	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	35.1	70.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.6	32.5	65.2	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.4	37.1	74.4	+0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	30.7	62.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	29.6	62.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.7	38.4	72.1	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.7	34.2	70.9	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	33.8	31.8	65.6	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	36.0	80.3	+8.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	37.1	80.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	34.6	78.0	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	41.0	76.6	-5.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.2	37.8	82.0	+6.4	90%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.3	38.3	82.6	+6.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Spars Sarajevotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 69.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	16.4	46.1%	55.2%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.1	33.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.9	78.8%	72.6%	14.9

They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	19.2	61.5%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.7	38.1%	33.0%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	72.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.2	52.8%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.1	74.2%	72.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.9	55.8%	55.2%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.6	36.1%	33.0%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.9	73.8%	72.6%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Spars Sarajevo wins

MZT Skopje wins

No previous meetings.

Spars Sarajevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/18	A	Helios Domzale	69-76
22/11/18	A	Sutjeska	74-67
14/11/18	H	Rogaska	63-59
08/11/18	A	KK Dynamic	74-79 OT
31/10/18	H	Vrsac	67-54
24/10/18	A	Split	63-60
16/10/18	H	Zrinjski Mostar	75-73 OT
10/10/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	74-68
04/10/18	H	KK Primorska	54-69
27/09/18	A	Borac Mozzart	84-80 OT

MZT Skopjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/18	H	Sutjeska	94-73
25/11/18	H	Kumanovo	76-70
21/11/18	A	Rogaska	90-102
17/11/18	A	Kozuv	89-79
15/11/18	H	KK Dynamic	84-74
12/11/18	H	Rabotnicki	88-90
07/11/18	A	Vrsac	95-88
03/11/18	A	Ohrid	83-80
01/11/18	H	Split	104-87
28/10/18	H	Gostivar	97-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spars Sarajevo

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	70%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	70%	75%	67%
Points / game	69.7	64.8	73.0
Allowed / game	68.5	63.8	71.7
Point differential	+1.2	+1.0	+1.3
Avg total	138.2	128.5	144.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	30%	25%	33%

MZT Skopje

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	70%	100%	25%
Points / game	91.2	92.7	89.0
Allowed / game	83.4	76.7	93.5
Point differential	+7.8	+16.0	-4.5
Avg total	174.6	169.3	182.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	20%	17%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	11	11	0	100%	81.3	67.2	+14.1
2	MZT Skopje	10	7	3	70%	91.2	83.4	+7.8
3	Spars Sarajevo	10	7	3	70%	69.7	68.5	+1.2
4	Lovcen Cetinje	11	7	4	64%	78.1	75.3	+2.8
5	Split	11	6	5	55%	78.0	76.4	+1.6
6	Borac Mozzart	11	5	6	45%	76.6	77.2	-0.5
7	Sutjeska	11	5	6	45%	78.2	81.4	-3.2
8	KK Dynamic	11	4	7	36%	79.6	80.2	-0.5
9	Rogaska	11	4	7	36%	76.7	77.3	-0.5
10	Helios Domzale	11	4	7	36%	74.2	79.5	-5.4
11	Zrinjski Mostar	10	3	7	30%	74.4	77.2	-2.8
12	Vrsac	10	1	9	10%	74.8	90.2	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Spars Sarajevo	18	18	18	17	71
MZT Skopje	23	18	20	14	75

← all games of the day

Spars Sarajevo vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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