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Spars Sarajevo vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-84
18-17 17-22 16-19 13-26
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game70.0
Spars Sarajevo
vs
Split 🏆
Position#11
Record8-19
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2020
Meetings · Spars Sarajevo v Split
15 May 2021
SSA64
SPL84
17 Jan 2019
SSA96
SPL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spars Sarajevo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spars SarajevoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSarajevo
Date
Competition
Celik
#7
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
H15/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H19/04
ABA League 2
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A21/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
A23/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
H25/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
no box
A29/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Studentski Centar
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
H04/05
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#1
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A06/05
ABA League 2
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A07/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Split
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
A12/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
19-27
19-19
14-20
23-22
21-27
12-21
23-12
14-21
26-22
24-20
18-11
29-19
17-13
10-14
16-18
17-6
29-17
17-23
11-13
29-21
16-18
30-21
10-25
22-21
14-28
25-25
28-25
13-21
22-19
19-17
18-14
21-23
14-27
27-6
18-21
26-22
23-24
13-16
14-8
155.8Avg total
78.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.777.1155.8+1.670%
Last 5 (5)83.282.8166.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.080.0159.0-1.067%
vs Similar (5)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
vs Weaker (22)80.269.7149.9+10.582%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 63
H19/04
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
105-70
105
70
+35
no box
H20/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
58-78
58
78
-20
no box
A25/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
58-80
58
80
-22
44avg 63
A26/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
126-93
126
93
+33
no box
H29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
91-51
91
51
+40
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
H09/05
Premijer liga
Spars Sarajevo
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
H12/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
18-28
22-26
16-17
16-24
30-13
30-17
29-16
24-21
14-12
15-19
18-25
19-22
8-13
15-26
16-17
13-26
8-16
22-19
15-19
33-14
31-29
30-27
32-23
17-17
22-15
23-12
27-17
23-14
19-10
30-10
19-17
21-21
13-21
24-14
8-6
22-26
24-23
16-13
8-14
154.2Avg total
80.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.975.7145.6-5.930%
Season at home (14)72.474.8147.1-2.436%
Season away (13)67.276.8143.9-9.623%
Last 10 (10)80.873.4154.2+7.450%
Last 5 (5)88.468.6157.0+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.374.3143.7-5.044%
vs Similar (8)79.877.6157.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.171.4156.5+13.785%
This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Spars SarajevoSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spars SarajevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Celik
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/04
ABA League 2
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A23/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H25/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A29/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Studentski Centar
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H04/05
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/05
ABA League 2
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Split
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A12/05
ABA League
81.7Avg total
40.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.238.881.0+3.452%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.638.180.7+4.542%-
Last 30 away (17)41.939.481.3+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.081.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.045.085.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker (21)43.238.281.5+5.057%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/04
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A25/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A26/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A07/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/05
Premijer liga
Spars Sarajevo
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H12/05
ABA League
77.3Avg total
39.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.939.379.2+0.548%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.340.183.4+3.265%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.273.2-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.077.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.083.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.338.372.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (8)39.438.978.2+0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.340.484.8+3.967%-
This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spars Sarajevotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spars Sarajevo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.0
25.0%
36.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws26.019.0
73.1%
75.0%19.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.0
50.6%
52.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.210.7
81.1%
75.0%10.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spars Sarajevo
WWWLWWWWLL
Split
LWWWWLLLWL
#12
League position
#11
+5.7
Net rating
-12.5
104.6
Offensive rating
95.4
98.9
Defensive rating
107.8
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
21.4%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.22
25.0%
3-point %
31.3%
72.0%
Assist %
68.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 95.4Defence98.9 · 107.8Shooting48.2% · 48.9%3-point %25.0% · 31.3%Ball care12.8% · 21.4%Off. rebounds21.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.46 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Spars Sarajevo   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Spars Sarajevo wins
0
Split wins
DateGameScore
12/05/21Split v Spars Sarajevo70-76
17/01/19Spars Sarajevo v Split96-58
24/10/18Split v Spars Sarajevo60-63
Spars Sarajevolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/21ASplit76-70
07/05/21ALeotar Trebinje80-77
06/05/21AStudentski Centar72-71
04/05/21HStudentski Centar89-99
29/04/21ASiroki Brijeg99-97 OT
25/04/21HPodgorica74-59
23/04/21APodgorica72-64
21/04/21AZlatibor Cajetina82-74
19/04/21HZlatibor Cajetina79-82
15/04/21HCelik64-78
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/21HSpars Sarajevo70-76
09/05/21HZabok66-62
07/05/21AZabok91-51
04/05/21AGorica89-61
29/04/21HDubrava126-93
26/04/21APartizan58-80
25/04/21AZadar58-78
22/04/21ASkrljevo71-77
20/04/21HSonik Puntamika105-70
19/04/21HBorac Mozzart74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spars Sarajevo
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%36%23%
Points / game69.972.467.2
Allowed / game75.774.876.8
Point differential-5.9-2.4-9.6
Avg total145.6147.1143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spars Sarajevo110100%76.070.0+6.0
2 Crvena zvezda2925486%78.865.1+13.6
3 Buducnost2824486%80.270.7+9.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2618869%81.474.9+6.5
5 Igokea2920969%74.871.2+3.5
6 Mornar Bar2819968%79.874.2+5.6
7 Mega Soccerbet26141254%76.875.2+1.6
8 Partizan26131350%77.073.2+3.8
9 FMP Beograd26111542%78.882.1-3.3
10 Cibona26101638%73.076.8-3.9
11 Zadar2691735%69.474.0-4.6
12 Borac Mozzart2681831%73.876.1-2.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2681831%67.274.5-7.3
14 Split2781930%69.975.7-5.9
15 Primorska260260%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spars Sarajevo1817161364
Split1722192684
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