Spartak Pleven vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 16:00

Projected 79-78

Projected total 156.4

Final 71-77

19-22 25-12 12-22 15-21

Position#8

Record3-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game76.8

Spartak Pleven

53%

47%

■ SPAR 53%■ BAL 47%

Pythia win probability

Balkan 🏆

Position#1

Record4-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game71.8

NBLRound 5· Balkanstroy

Other2026-27

Meetings · Spartak Pleven v Balkan

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Spartak Pleven will host Balkan on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, a fixture that feels almost evenly matched as the two clubs sit in the middle of the standings, with Spartak 7th and Balkan first, yet neither side has a clear edge. Spartak's season record of 3-1 shows a respectable 85.2 points per game while conceding 76.8, and their home form is balanced at 1-1 with 79.5 points scored and 81.0 allowed; the team has won all five of its recent games, including victories over Cherno More, Rilski Sportist and Zrinjski Mostar. Balkan, unbeaten at 4-0, averages 92.5 points and allows only 71.8, and has won both of its road outings with 87.5 points and 69.5 allowed; their recent results include wins over KK Bosna and CSKA Sofia and a loss to Manresa. Historically, Balkan has edged Spartak 6-4 over ten meetings, most recently when Spartak won 82-75 in March 2026. Pythia rates Spartak a 53% chance of victory against Balkan's 47%, projecting a 79-78 scoreline and a total of 156.4 points; the home team is favoured to cover the 6.0 spread with a 73% probability, while the over on the 161.0 line has a 38% chance, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Pleven winLost

53.4%fair 1.87

Best odds3.15

Implied31.0%

Edge+22.4pp

Balkan winWon

46.6%fair 2.15

Best odds1.80

Implied69.0%

Edge-22.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spartak Pleven Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPleven

Date

Competition

Cherno More

86-74

+12

82avg 74

H01/05

NBL

Cherno More

91-94

-3

89avg 74

A04/05

NBL

Fyllingen

#16

79-54

+25

76avg 74

A30/09

ENBL

AEL

61-79

-18

44avg 74

H06/10

ENBL

Lok. Plovdiv

73-92

-19

70avg 74

H11/10

NBL

Alkar

#13

93-82

+11

86avg 74

H14/10

ENBL

Polytechnica

#14

102-71

102

+31

104avg 74

A17/10

NBL

Zrinjski Mostar

#17

77-74

74avg 74

H21/10

ENBL

Rilski Sportist

86-70

+16

58avg 74

H25/10

NBL

Cherno More

80-74

68avg 74

A31/10

NBL

24-21

16-19

25-18

21-16

32-22

25-29

18-20

16-23

18-13

27-16

23-13

11-12

9-22

15-19

21-18

16-20

15-21

19-23

18-29

21-19

22-20

32-26

16-16

23-20

28-21

25-16

25-21

24-13

25-19

15-16

21-20

16-19

26-22

16-20

22-15

22-13

16-20

24-20

16-17

24-17

159.2Avg total

82.8Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	85.2	76.8	162.0	+8.5	75%
Season at home (2)	79.5	81.0	160.5	-1.5	50%
Season away (2)	91.0	72.5	163.5	+18.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	76.4	159.2	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	74.2	161.8	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	79.3	83.6	162.9	-4.2	44%
vs Similar (2)	74.0	85.0	159.0	-11.0	0%
vs Weaker (12)	86.6	75.3	161.9	+11.2	75%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBalkan

Date

Competition

Ulm

#14

84-98

-14

74avg 83

A30/09

Eurocup

Bahcesehir Kol.

60-101

101

-41

42avg 83

H07/10

Eurocup

Botev 2012

#10

91-66

+25

74avg 83

A10/10

NBL

BC Roma

#24

72-77 OT

-5

62avg 83

A13/10

Eurocup

Levski

#12

101-83

101

+18

98avg 83

H16/10

NBL

Lietkabelis

#17

57-64

-7

54avg 83

H20/10

Eurocup

Yambol

#13

84-73

+11

78avg 83

A23/10

NBL

Manresa

65-76

-11

52avg 83

H27/10

Eurocup

CSKA Sofia

#11

94-65

+29

94avg 83

H30/10

NBL

KK Bosna

#22

78-69

no box

A04/11

Eurocup

17-31

22-23

20-21

25-23

16-24

5-29

20-29

19-19

23-24

28-14

24-15

16-13

12-13

21-16

12-18

24-22

26-22

23-14

26-25

26-22

10-13

15-20

20-16

12-15

22-20

19-15

24-16

19-22

17-25

19-14

14-15

15-22

35-14

17-19

21-20

21-12

18-24

23-15

20-16

17-14

155.8Avg total

78.6Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	92.5	71.8	164.2	+20.8	100%
Season at home (2)	97.5	74.0	171.5	+23.5	100%
Season away (2)	87.5	69.5	157.0	+18.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	77.2	155.8	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	69.4	145.0	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.3	80.8	150.2	-11.5	17%
vs Similar (1)	79.0	78.0	157.0	+1.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	88.6	78.4	167.0	+10.1	78%

This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5

Over 160.5

39.5%

@ 1.83-11.6pp

Under 160.5

60.5%

@ 1.92+11.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.83

Betano

1.83

SBO

1.75

Marathon Be

1.74

1xBet

1.61

Under

1xBet

1.92

Pinnacle

1.91

SBO

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

Betano

1.80

Over/Under 165.5 · main lineActual: Under 165.5

Over 165.5

28.6%

@ 1.95-17.0pp

Under 165.5

71.4%

@ 1.82+17.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.95

1xBet

1.92

Betano

1.82

Under

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.61

Marathon Be

1.56

Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5

Over 170.5

19.6%

Under 170.5

80.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Spartak Pleven total 73.5Actual: Spartak Pleven under 73.5

Over 73.5

69.1%

@ 1.32-5.0pp

Under 73.5

30.9%

@ 5.00+5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.32

Bet365

1.14

Under

Bet365

5.00

1xBet

2.67

Spartak Pleven total 77.5 · main lineActual: Spartak Pleven under 77.5

Over 77.5

54.4%

@ 1.85+3.3pp

Under 77.5

45.6%

@ 1.91-3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.78

1xBet

1.61

Under

BetVictor

1.91

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.80

Spartak Pleven total 81.5Actual: Spartak Pleven under 81.5

Over 81.5

39.0%

@ 2.15-9.9pp

Under 81.5

61.0%

@ 1.83+9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.15

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

Betano

1.80

Under

Betano

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.78

1xBet

1.46

Balkan total 79.5Actual: Balkan under 79.5

Over 79.5

42.9%

@ 1.83-8.8pp

Under 79.5

57.1%

@ 2.47+8.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.74

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.47

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Balkan total 83.5 · main lineActual: Balkan under 83.5

Over 83.5

28.7%

@ 1.91-21.6pp

Under 83.5

71.3%

@ 1.85+21.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Balkan total 87.5Actual: Balkan under 87.5

Over 87.5

17.3%

@ 2.30-21.8pp

Under 87.5

82.7%

@ 1.55+21.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.30

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Spartak Pleven +2.5Actual: Balkan -2.5

SPAR +2.5

60.5%

@ 2.22+11.2pp

BAL -2.5

39.5%

@ 1.85-11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

SPAR

1xBet

2.22

Marathon Be

1.95

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

BAL

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.85

Pinnacle

1.81

Betfair

1.80

Marathon Be

1.51

Spread Spartak Pleven +5.5 · main lineActual: Balkan -5.5

SPAR +5.5

70.5%

@ 1.96+20.9pp

BAL -5.5

29.5%

@ 2.00-20.9pp

Best 5 market prices

SPAR

SBO

1.96

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BAL

Betfair

2.00

BetVictor

1.91

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Spread Spartak Pleven +8.5Actual: Spartak Pleven +8.5

SPAR +8.5

79.2%

@ 1.56+18.0pp

BAL -8.5

20.8%

@ 2.34-18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

SPAR

Marathon Be

1.56

Pinnacle

1.48

1xBet

1.45

BAL

Pinnacle

2.34

1xBet

2.27

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Spartak PlevenBalkan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	64%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	38%	56%
vs Similar (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	0%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	67%	75%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.0	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.9	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	36%	64%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	0%	50%
vs Similar (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	52%	70%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	50%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.1	69%	56%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.9	20.8	40.8	-0.9	38%	56%
vs Similar (2)	19.0	15.5	34.5	+3.5	100%	0%
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	83%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	63%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	50%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	79%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	17%
vs Similar (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.0	19.3	41.2	+2.7	70%	61%

Spartak PlevenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cherno More

40-40

H01/05

NBL

Cherno More

57-51

A04/05

NBL

Fyllingen

#16

45-29

+16

A30/09

ENBL

AEL

24-41

-17

H06/10

ENBL

Lok. Plovdiv

34-44

-10

H11/10

NBL

Alkar

#13

54-46

H14/10

ENBL

Polytechnica

#14

53-37

+16

A17/10

NBL

Zrinjski Mostar

#17

40-35

H21/10

ENBL

Rilski Sportist

42-42

H25/10

NBL

Cherno More

40-40

A31/10

NBL

83.4Avg total

42.9Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.5	81.5	+0.5	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	39.1	81.1	+2.9	57%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	41.8	81.9	-1.6	38%	44%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.5	83.4	+2.4	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.9	42.5	82.4	-2.6	25%	56%
vs Similar (2)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (12)	43.0	37.9	80.9	+5.1	75%	42%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#14

39-54

-15

A30/09

Eurocup

Bahcesehir Kol.

21-53

-32

H07/10

Eurocup

Botev 2012

#10

51-38

+13

A10/10

NBL

BC Roma

#24

33-29

A13/10

Eurocup

Levski

#12

49-36

+13

H16/10

NBL

Lietkabelis

#17

25-33

-8

H20/10

Eurocup

Yambol

#13

41-35

A23/10

NBL

Manresa

36-39

-3

H27/10

Eurocup

CSKA Sofia

#11

52-33

+19

H30/10

NBL

KK Bosna

#22

41-39

A04/11

Eurocup

77.7Avg total

38.8Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.3	82.1	+1.6	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	50%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	40.9	84.5	+2.6	71%	57%
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.9	77.7	-0.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.8	74.8	+3.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.5	41.2	73.7	-8.7	33%	17%
vs Similar (1)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.6	39.9	84.5	+4.7	70%	65%

This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Spartak Pleven win

SPAR win

no forecast

@ 2.75

BAL win

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread Spartak Pleven +3.5 · main lineActual: Spartak Pleven +3.5

SPAR +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

BAL -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.29

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Spartak Pleven 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Spartak Pleven over 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.27

Balkan 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Balkan under 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.14

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: SPAR + total 80.5

SPAR & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

SPAR & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: BAL + total 80.5

BAL & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

BAL & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half Over/Under 79.25Actual: Under 79.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 81.75Actual: Under 81.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Spartak Pleven +2.5Actual: Spartak Pleven +2.5

SPAR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

BAL -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Spartak Pleven +4.5Actual: Spartak Pleven +4.5

SPAR +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.82

BAL -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.52

1st half Spread Spartak Pleven +1.5Actual: Spartak Pleven +1.5

SPAR +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

BAL -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Spread Spartak Pleven +5.5Actual: Spartak Pleven +5.5

SPAR +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.31

BAL -5.5

no forecast

@ 3.20

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.41

Under

no forecast

@ 2.70

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Balkan (regulation)

SPAR

no forecast

@ 2.87

Draw

no forecast

@ 21.00

BAL

no forecast

@ 1.86

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.4	-0.1	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.6	39.9	+2.8	64%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	31%	44%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	21.7	41.2	-2.1	38%	38%
vs Similar (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	67%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.1	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	64%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	19.2	36.8	-1.5	33%	33%
vs Similar (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	65%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.6	40.1	+3.0	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.1	31%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	50%	38%
vs Similar (2)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	50%	42%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.8	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.1	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.6	71%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	19.2	37.8	-0.5	50%	33%
vs Similar (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	65%	57%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	37.1	80.1	+5.8	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	41.6	79.4	-3.7	25%	44%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	35.9	75.8	+4.0	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.4	41.1	80.4	-1.7	38%	31%
vs Similar (2)	36.5	45.0	81.5	-8.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	42.0	36.5	78.5	+5.5	58%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.1	80.1	+3.9	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.9	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	36.2	78.6	+6.2	71%	21%
Last 10 (10)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.6	33.6	70.2	+3.0	80%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	38.3	74.7	-2.0	50%	33%
vs Similar (1)	44.0	35.0	79.0	+9.0	100%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.4	38.2	81.6	+5.2	65%	39%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SPAR win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

BAL win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SPAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BAL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SPAR:BAL): SPAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Balkan under 85.5	77.5%	1.73	Bet365 1.83	Betano 1.80	1xBet 1.56	-	-	+27.1pp	Won
Balkan under 85	76.8%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.67	-	-	-	+25.6pp	Won
Balkan under 84.5	74.5%	1.79	BetVictor 1.85	Betano 1.85	Bet365 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.65	+24.5pp	Won
Balkan under 83	70.4%	1.88	Marathon Bet 1.92	1xBet 1.83	-	-	-	+23.1pp	Won
Balkan under 84	73.7%	1.75	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.70	-	-	-	+22.9pp	Won
Balkan under 87.5	82.7%	1.48	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+21.8pp	Won
Balkan under 83.5	71.3%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.85	Betano 1.83	Bet365 1.83	WilliamHill 1.80	BetVictor 1.80	+21.6pp	Won
Balkan under 86.5	80.2%	1.58	Betano 1.75	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.48	-	-	+21.4pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +6	72.8%	1.83	SBO 1.88	1xBet 1.83	Pinnacle 1.81	Marathon Bet 1.80	-	+21.2pp	Push
Spartak Pleven +5.5	70.5%	1.84	SBO 1.96	Pinnacle 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.86	1xBet 1.83	Bet365 1.83	+20.9pp	Lost
Spartak Pleven under 85	73.8%	1.62	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +7	75.9%	1.69	SBO 1.73	Marathon Bet 1.68	Pinnacle 1.67	-	-	+20.4pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +6.5	73.7%	1.77	Betano 1.87	Bet365 1.83	SBO 1.80	BetVictor 1.78	Pinnacle 1.74	+20.1pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +8	78.7%	1.58	Marathon Bet 1.59	Pinnacle 1.58	-	-	-	+20.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +7.5	76.6%	1.62	Betano 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.64	Pinnacle 1.62	1xBet 1.54	Bet365 1.40	+19.4pp	Won
Balkan under 88.5	85.1%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+19.0pp	Won
Balkan +7	70.3%	1.69	SBO 1.76	Pinnacle 1.75	Marathon Bet 1.55	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +8.5	79.2%	1.50	Marathon Bet 1.56	Pinnacle 1.48	1xBet 1.45	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 84	70.5%	1.68	Marathon Bet 1.74	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +10.5	83.9%	1.37	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Balkan +8	73.5%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.50	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Under 168.5	77.1%	1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Balkan under 93.5	93.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+17.2pp	Won
Balkan +9	76.4%	1.53	Pinnacle 1.53	-	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +9.5	81.7%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Won
Under 165.5	71.4%	1.66	Betano 1.82	1xBet 1.61	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Balkan +7.5	71.3%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.52	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.25	-	+16.9pp	Won
Balkan +8.5	74.3%	1.47	Pinnacle 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.47	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +11.5	85.9%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
Under 169.5	78.8%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Under 165	70.8%	1.58	Marathon Bet 1.58	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 87.5	80.4%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Balkan under 90.5	89.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +15.5	92.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Balkan under 95.5	95.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Under 174.5	86.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 88.5	83.0%	1.32	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
Under 173.5	84.9%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Balkan under 92.5	92.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Balkan under 89.5	87.1%	1.24	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 86.5	77.7%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Under 167.5	75.2%	1.54	Marathon Bet 1.57	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Balkan under 94.5	94.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Under 179.5	91.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Under 178.5	90.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Under 172.5	83.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Balkan under 97.5	96.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Balkan under 91.5	90.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 84.5	71.5%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.74	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +20.5	96.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 85.5	74.7%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Balkan under 96.5	96.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Under 177.5	89.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +12.5	87.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 90.5	87.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 92.5	90.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Under 184.5	94.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Under 183.5	94.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +17.5	94.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Under 188.5	96.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Under 189.5	97.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +22.5	97.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 94.5	93.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 98.5	97.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 96.5	95.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Under 182.5	93.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 100.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Under 187.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 102.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 99.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Balkan +22.5	96.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Spartak Pleven under 89.5	85.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+3.5pp	-
Balkan +9.5	77.1%	1.25	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Balkan +17.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Balkan +19.5	94.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Balkan +12.5	84.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Balkan +14.5	87.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Balkan over 68.5	81.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-7.0pp	Won
Over 142.5	79.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-7.5pp	Won
Over 143.5	77.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-9.6pp	Won
Balkan over 69.5	78.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-9.7pp	Won
Balkan over 70.5	75.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-10.5pp	Won
Over 144.5	76.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won
Balkan over 71.5	72.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-13.0pp	Won
Spartak Pleven +9	81.2%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Under 168	76.6%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Under 167	74.8%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Under 166.5	73.3%	1.51	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Under 166	72.8%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Spartak Pleventheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Pleven: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

54%

26%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	21.6	57.3%	55.5%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.5	32.1%	29.8%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.7	73.5%	71.2%	14.7

They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

54%

26%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.6	54.5%	55.5%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.2	30.4%	29.8%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	16.0	11.1	69.4%	71.2%	11.1

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.7	16.1	52.4%	55.5%	32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.6	31.7%	29.8%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	23.2	15.1	65.1%	71.2%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.4	52.7%	55.5%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	6.5	30.0%	29.8%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	24.0	19.6	81.7%	71.2%	19.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.2	55.1%	55.5%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.0	32.0%	29.8%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	22.7	16.5	72.6%	71.2%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.3	54.7%	55.5%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.1	33.2%	29.8%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.9	74.2%	71.2%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	18.3	54.1%	55.5%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	9.3	32.1%	29.8%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	22.7	15.9	69.8%	71.2%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.5	51.2%	55.5%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.6	31.6%	29.8%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.6	74.9%	71.2%	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Spartak Pleven

WWWWWLLWLW

Balkan

WWLWLWLWLL

League position

+5.2

Net rating

+3.6

96.7

Offensive rating

91.7

91.6

Defensive rating

88.1

53.8%

Effective FG%

50.8%

50.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.6%

13.9%

Turnover %

17.7%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.25

32.1%

3-point %

30.4%

60.5%

Assist %

60.8%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Spartak Pleven ■ Balkan

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Spartak Pleven wins

Balkan wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/26	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	75-82
28/12/25	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	103-75
19/10/25	Spartak Pleven v Balkan	78-70
28/05/25	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	95-69
25/05/25	Spartak Pleven v Balkan	98-100
23/05/25	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	76-88
14/04/25	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	104-89
25/01/25	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	72-86
17/11/24	Spartak Pleven v Balkan	89-96
10/04/24	Balkan v Spartak Pleven	72-67

Spartak Plevenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Cherno More	80-74
25/10/26	H	Rilski Sportist	86-70
21/10/26	H	Zrinjski Mostar	77-74
17/10/26	A	Polytechnica	102-71
14/10/26	H	Alkar	93-82
11/10/26	H	Lok. Plovdiv	73-92
06/10/26	H	AEL	61-79
30/09/26	A	Fyllingen	79-54
04/05/26	A	Cherno More	91-94
01/05/26	H	Cherno More	86-74

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	KK Bosna	78-69
30/10/26	H	CSKA Sofia	94-65
27/10/26	H	Manresa	65-76
23/10/26	A	Yambol	84-73
20/10/26	H	Lietkabelis	57-64
16/10/26	H	Levski	101-83
13/10/26	A	BC Roma	72-77 OT
10/10/26	A	Botev 2012	91-66
07/10/26	H	Bahcesehir Kol.	60-101
30/09/26	A	Ulm	84-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spartak Pleven

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	85.2	79.5	91.0
Allowed / game	76.8	81.0	72.5
Point differential	+8.5	-1.5	+18.5
Avg total	162.0	160.5	163.5
Over 165.5	25%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Balkan

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.5	97.5	87.5
Allowed / game	71.8	74.0	69.5
Point differential	+20.8	+23.5	+18.0
Avg total	164.2	171.5	157.0
Over 165.5	25%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Balkan	4	4	0	100%	92.5	71.8	+20.8
2	Minyor	4	4	0	100%	109.8	95.0	+14.8
3	Cherno More	4	3	1	75%	87.2	69.8	+17.5
4	Rilski Sportist	4	3	1	75%	92.0	76.2	+15.8
5	Botev Academic	4	3	1	75%	89.8	80.0	+9.8
6	Lok. Plovdiv	4	3	1	75%	89.0	80.2	+8.8
7	Spartak Pleven	4	3	1	75%	85.2	76.8	+8.5
8	Shumen	4	3	1	75%	93.8	90.5	+3.2
9	Beroe	4	1	3	25%	96.0	89.0	+7.0
10	CSKA Sofia	4	1	3	25%	75.8	99.5	-23.8
11	Levski	4	0	4	0%	77.2	93.8	-16.5
12	Botev 2012	4	0	4	0%	76.2	93.2	-17.0
13	Yambol	4	0	4	0%	67.0	91.0	-24.0
14	Polytechnica	4	0	4	0%	72.2	97.0	-24.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Spartak Pleven	19	25	12	15	71
Balkan	22	12	22	21	77

← all games of the day

Spartak Pleven vs Balkan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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