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Balkan vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-65
35-14 17-19 21-20 21-12
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game74.0
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game101.3
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
Other2026-27
Meetings · Balkan v CSKA Sofia
30 Oct 2026
BAL94
CSKA65
03 May 2024
BAL94
CSKA74
29 Apr 2024
BAL91
CSKA76
28 Mar 2024
BAL86
CSKA59
03 Dec 2023
BAL86
CSKA95
14 May 2023
BAL80
CSKA71
12 May 2023
BAL79
CSKA90
15 Mar 2023
BAL71
CSKA81
07 Jan 2023
BAL81
CSKA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
74avg 83
A01/06
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
69avg 83
H05/06
NBL
Ulm
#13
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 83
A30/09
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
60-101
60
101
-41
42avg 83
H07/10
Eurocup
Botev 2012
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 83
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#22
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 83
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 83
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#16
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 83
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 83
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 83
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
25-20
19-26
16-16
20-18
18-21
22-19
21-22
17-31
22-23
20-21
25-23
16-24
5-29
20-29
19-19
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
157.5Avg total
77.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)101.083.0184.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)87.569.5157.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.380.2157.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)75.874.6150.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.683.2150.8-15.60%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.378.6167.9+10.779%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 45
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-114
76
114
-38
58avg 45
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
62-95
62
95
-33
35avg 45
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
23-13
18-22
17-27
20-22
20-23
21-26
17-23
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
19-28
15-32
26-27
16-27
20-18
13-23
13-25
16-29
175.0Avg total
80.1Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.3101.3180.7-22.033%
Season at home (2)81.095.0176.0-14.050%
Season away (1)76.0114.0190.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)80.194.9175.0-14.830%
Last 5 (5)78.895.0173.8-16.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.890.5166.3-14.60%
vs Similar (10)80.084.1164.1-4.140%
vs Weaker (8)94.688.1182.8+6.588%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -7.9-7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -7.9-7.9
BalkanCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/06
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/06
NBL
Ulm
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A30/09
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
21-53
21
53
-32
H07/10
Eurocup
Botev 2012
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#22
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
77.4Avg total
37.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.382.2+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.539.780.2+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.184.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.877.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.841.672.4-10.820%-
vs Similar (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.539.984.4+4.671%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
NBL
85.8Avg total
41.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.986.0-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.842.987.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.984.5-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.685.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.684.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.543.883.4-4.336%-
vs Similar (10)40.844.084.8-3.230%-
vs Weaker (8)48.445.293.6+3.162%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.7
52.7%
55.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
29.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
71.2%11.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.8
52.0%
55.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.3
29.2%
29.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.314.5
62.2%
71.2%14.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWLWLWLLWL
CSKA Sofia
LLWLWLWLLL
#1
League position
#11
-0.6
Net rating
-22.7
90.3
Offensive rating
90.9
90.9
Defensive rating
113.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.4%
3-point %
29.2%
62.9%
Assist %
77.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 90.9Defence90.9 · 113.5Shooting50.4% · 49.0%3-point %31.4% · 29.2%Ball care17.7% · 19.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Balkan   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Balkan wins
2
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia94-74
01/05/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-77
29/04/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia91-76
06/04/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan80-92
28/03/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-59
12/02/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-88
03/12/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-95
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66
07/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.60-101
30/09/26AUlm84-98
05/06/26HLok. Plovdiv81-80
01/06/26ALok. Plovdiv78-84
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HCherno More62-95
17/10/26ARilski Sportist76-114
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
13/04/24HChernomorets78-94
10/04/24HRilski Sportist78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.0101.087.5
Allowed / game74.083.069.5
Point differential+18.0+18.0+18.0
Avg total166.0184.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.381.076.0
Allowed / game101.395.0114.0
Point differential-22.0-14.0-38.0
Avg total180.7176.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan330100%92.074.0+18.0
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
6 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
7 Botev Academic32167%89.385.0+4.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia31233%79.3101.3-22.0
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski3030%81.394.7-13.3
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan3517212194
CSKA Sofia1419201265
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