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Spirou Charleroi vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Other2026-27
Meetings · Spirou Charleroi v Leiden
09 Jan 2027
SCH v LEI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
SCH60
LEI87
02 Mar 2025
SCH98
LEI62
03 May 2024
SCH65
LEI71
05 Jun 2023
SCH67
LEI86
19 Apr 2023
SCH89
LEI98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Charleroi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 72
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
96avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
79avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
65-69
65
69
-4
21avg 72
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-60
98
60
+38
102avg 72
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 72
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-70
65
70
-5
50avg 72
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
82avg 72
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-14
17-22
24-21
32-20
26-19
18-20
25-20
19-28
16-19
17-24
30-24
15-20
17-25
18-16
15-8
26-22
24-8
25-15
23-15
27-19
28-11
20-13
15-20
21-14
12-18
12-23
20-15
24-18
21-10
20-20
16-18
20-17
11-13
24-17
22-27
12-19
22-20
21-20
22-15
154.1Avg total
81.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.068.0147.0+11.071%
Season at home (4)79.269.5148.8+9.875%
Season away (3)78.766.0144.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)81.372.8154.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)78.069.4147.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
vs Similar (7)82.681.4164.0+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.471.5154.8+11.973%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 73
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 73
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 73
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 73
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 73
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 73
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 73
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 73
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Spirou CharleroiLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/11
BNXT League
76.4Avg total
40.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.839.679.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.282.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.576.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.244.284.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (7)38.139.978.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.335.378.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
71.0%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Charleroi
WWWLWWLLWL
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#10
+3.4
Net rating
+2.4
88.7
Offensive rating
96.4
85.3
Defensive rating
94.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.5%
3-point %
33.0%
60.5%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 96.4Defence85.3 · 94.0Shooting51.1% · 52.5%3-point %30.5% · 33.0%Ball care19.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Spirou Charleroi   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Spirou Charleroi wins
8
Leiden wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCB Liege77-74
05/11/26HRotterdam77-74
30/10/26ABrussels Basketball81-66
23/10/26HOostende65-70
14/10/26ADonar Groningen90-63
09/10/26HBelfius Mons98-60
03/10/26ALeuven Bears65-69
09/05/26HAntwerp Giants82-95
06/05/26ABelfius Mons101-79
03/05/26AZwolle77-78
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game79.079.278.7
Allowed / game68.069.566.0
Point differential+11.0+9.8+12.7
Avg total147.0148.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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