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Spirou Charleroi vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 60-87
12-22 18-32 14-15 16-18
Position#11
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game87.5
Spirou Charleroi
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 3· Dome Charleroi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Spirou Charleroi v Leiden
09 Jan 2027
SCH v LEI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
SCH60
LEI87
02 Mar 2025
SCH98
LEI62
03 May 2024
SCH65
LEI71
05 Jun 2023
SCH67
LEI86
19 Apr 2023
SCH89
LEI98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Charleroi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 73
A06/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
62-74
62
74
-12
46avg 73
H13/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 73
H17/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
52avg 73
A20/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
78-60
78
60
+18
74avg 73
H25/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-69
65
69
-4
50avg 73
A10/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
98-84
98
84
+14
87avg 73
H27/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
84avg 73
A04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-17
21-18
23-32
26-16
16-23
26-21
17-16
19-19
20-16
13-22
10-17
17-11
23-22
15-15
14-24
12-35
19-18
13-16
15-13
17-19
17-14
21-16
23-11
27-16
23-20
20-13
19-26
8-18
18-13
14-18
25-20
32-16
26-26
15-17
25-25
27-22
19-23
16-14
20-23
154.5Avg total
77.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.587.5184.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)98.084.0182.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.976.6154.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)85.075.8160.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.185.2158.4-12.125%
vs Similar (10)83.380.2163.5+3.150%
vs Weaker (11)79.171.3150.4+7.873%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 71
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
87avg 71
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 71
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 71
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 71
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 71
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 71
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 71
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 71
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
111-68
111
68
+43
109avg 71
H04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
22-22
15-22
23-16
27-17
23-22
21-18
18-10
17-28
15-27
32-20
17-14
21-26
17-19
23-22
21-17
23-15
25-26
22-23
20-21
26-23
16-24
13-19
17-19
18-32
18-21
11-20
16-17
22-21
12-25
22-19
11-21
25-12
23-17
18-20
17-15
33-15
34-17
24-17
20-19
162.6Avg total
82.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.066.0163.0+31.0100%
Season at home (1)111.068.0179.0+43.0100%
Season away (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.879.8162.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)79.278.6157.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.483.8155.2-12.425%
vs Similar (5)77.077.8154.8-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.076.1163.1+10.977%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Spirou CharleroiLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A20/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H03/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A10/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H27/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A04/10
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
40.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.378.1+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.675.8+4.579%-
Last 30 away (16)39.540.680.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.078.1+2.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.143.078.1-7.925%-
vs Similar (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
vs Weaker (11)39.733.573.2+6.382%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
67-32
67
32
+35
H04/10
BNXT League
87.6Avg total
44.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.483.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.542.386.8+2.258%-
Last 30 away (18)39.840.880.7-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.987.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.486.8+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.244.280.3-8.033%-
vs Similar (5)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.839.285.9+7.669%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.2
54.4%
54.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.69.0
28.5%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.611.5
61.8%
72.4%11.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.6
51.4%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.4
36.1%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.111.2
69.6%
72.4%11.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Charleroi
WWLWWLLLWL
Leiden
WWLLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#10
+2.0
Net rating
+3.4
101.4
Offensive rating
107.0
99.4
Defensive rating
103.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.5%
3-point %
36.1%
59.2%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 107.0Defence99.4 · 103.6Shooting48.9% · 52.3%3-point %28.5% · 36.1%Ball care20.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Spirou Charleroi   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Spirou Charleroi wins
6
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Spirou Charleroi v Leiden98-62
26/10/24Leiden v Spirou Charleroi50-73
03/05/24Spirou Charleroi v Leiden65-71
02/03/24Leiden v Spirou Charleroi70-45
07/06/23Leiden v Spirou Charleroi71-58
05/06/23Spirou Charleroi v Leiden67-86
19/04/23Spirou Charleroi v Leiden89-98 OT
01/04/23Leiden v Spirou Charleroi86-66
Spirou Charleroilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ALeuven Bears95-91 OT
27/09/25HLWD Basket98-84
10/05/25ADonar Groningen65-69
03/05/25HMechelen89-75
25/04/25HQSTA Utd78-60
20/04/25AKortrijk59-82
17/04/25HLeuven Bears69-72
13/04/25HLWD Basket62-74
06/04/25AZwolle85-76
02/04/25HCircus Brussels79-83
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HRotterdam111-68
27/09/25ABAL Weert83-64
05/06/25ADen Bosch67-86
03/06/25HDen Bosch63-90
01/06/25ADen Bosch72-85
28/05/25ALWD Basket90-85
26/05/25HLWD Basket82-84
24/05/25ALWD Basket81-89
22/05/25HLWD Basket89-67
20/05/25ALWD Basket90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.598.095.0
Allowed / game87.584.091.0
Point differential+9.0+14.0+4.0
Avg total184.0182.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.0111.083.0
Allowed / game66.068.064.0
Point differential+31.0+43.0+19.0
Avg total163.0179.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%97.066.0+31.0
2 Oostende330100%94.383.7+10.7
3 Den Bosch220100%86.576.5+10.0
4 Spirou Charleroi220100%96.587.5+9.0
5 Mechelen220100%72.063.5+8.5
6 Okapi Aalst330100%89.080.7+8.3
7 Antwerp Giants32167%85.065.3+19.7
8 Donar Groningen32167%84.778.0+6.7
9 Belfius Mons32167%90.088.7+1.3
10 Brussels Basketball21150%85.086.5-1.5
11 Limburg31233%87.081.3+5.7
12 Zwolle31233%75.072.3+2.7
13 Kortrijk31233%78.085.0-7.0
14 Den Helder3030%79.088.3-9.3
15 LWD Basket3030%85.397.3-12.0
16 Leuven Bears3030%70.790.0-19.3
17 BAL Weert3030%62.386.7-24.3
18 Rotterdam2020%68.099.5-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spirou Charleroi1218141660
Leiden2232151887
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