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Spojnia Stargard vs Leszno Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-75
18-23 20-20 24-13 20-19
Position#4
Record19-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#12
Record12-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.4
Poland1 LigaRound 31· Hala Miejska
Other2025-26
Meetings · Spojnia Stargard v Leszno
13 Mar 2027
SPOJ v LESZ
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
SPOJ82
LESZ75
08 Apr 2018
SPOJ78
LESZ85
12 Nov 2016
SPOJ79
LESZ70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spojnia Stargard winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 73
A31/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 73
H08/02
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
104-69
104
69
+35
105avg 73
A14/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
84avg 73
H21/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
60avg 73
A28/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
94avg 73
H08/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 73
A14/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
76avg 73
H21/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 73
A26/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
69avg 73
A29/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-22
27-19
15-15
22-19
20-17
16-19
11-25
27-20
21-20
27-15
29-14
21-22
19-21
19-17
23-17
14-18
18-22
21-13
24-19
15-19
24-18
28-21
25-25
21-20
14-23
32-21
16-16
22-14
10-25
21-22
18-10
20-25
25-21
23-15
21-19
15-19
23-12
21-26
19-23
161.3Avg total
83.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.180.2163.3+2.966%
Season at home (14)84.378.5162.8+5.879%
Season away (15)82.081.7163.7+0.353%
Last 10 (10)83.477.9161.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)85.880.8166.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.880.2159.0-1.550%
vs Similar (15)80.781.6162.3-0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.677.4163.0+8.373%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 71
H25/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 71
A01/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
72-97
72
97
-25
60avg 71
H08/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 71
A14/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 71
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 71
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 71
A07/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
72-66
72
66
+6
71avg 71
H13/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 71
A22/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 71
H26/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-13
18-15
19-18
27-25
21-29
24-29
20-17
14-15
22-26
15-26
21-30
24-23
21-31
23-23
20-19
23-21
16-32
32-18
18-21
23-17
19-20
16-21
17-24
18-21
19-12
23-15
16-20
23-18
13-10
18-22
18-16
23-22
16-21
13-19
17-19
22-24
19-20
20-19
14-26
163.1Avg total
78.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.382.4160.8-4.141%
Season at home (15)75.978.5154.3-2.653%
Season away (14)81.086.6167.6-5.629%
Last 10 (10)78.684.5163.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)73.477.2150.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.986.0169.9-2.145%
vs Similar (17)74.381.5155.8-7.229%
vs Weaker (2)79.073.5152.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
Spojnia StargardLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/02
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A14/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H21/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A26/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
1 Liga
78.0Avg total
38.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.579.5+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.980.5-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.539.081.5+3.575%-
vs Similar (15)38.642.180.7-3.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.238.578.6+1.745%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A01/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A14/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H13/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/03
1 Liga
83.2Avg total
40.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.380.9-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.838.976.7-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)41.644.185.8-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.883.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.342.484.6-0.164%-
vs Similar (17)37.942.079.9-4.124%-
vs Weaker (2)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.9
50.1%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.5
38.0%
31.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
70.0%14.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.0
55.4%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.6
28.0%
31.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.114.8
61.4%
70.0%14.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spojnia Stargard
LWWWWWWWLL
Leszno
LLWWLLLLLW
#4
League position
#12
+6.3
Net rating
-6.7
95.1
Offensive rating
89.5
88.8
Defensive rating
96.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.0%
3-point %
28.0%
58.8%
Assist %
61.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 89.5Defence88.8 · 96.3Shooting53.1% · 50.4%3-point %38.0% · 28.0%Ball care14.3% · 15.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Spojnia Stargard   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Spojnia Stargard wins
3
Leszno wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ALancut78-80
26/03/26AWKK Wroclaw89-80
21/03/26HGKS Tychy87-81 OT
14/03/26AStarogard Gdanski83-80
08/03/26HMiners Katowice92-83
28/02/26AR. Rzeszow77-72
21/02/26HPoznan82-77
14/02/26AZubry Bialystok104-69
08/02/26HBydgoszcz69-80
31/01/26APoli. Opolska73-77
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HPoli. Opolska75-89
22/03/26AWKK Wroclaw69-81
13/03/26HInowroclaw72-66
07/03/26APolonia Warszawa76-68
01/03/26APelplin75-82
21/02/26HLancut89-92
14/02/26AGKS Tychy88-96
08/02/26HStarogard Gdanski72-97
01/02/26AMiners Katowice92-100
25/01/26HR. Rzeszow78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spojnia Stargard
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL66%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%79%53%
Points / game83.184.382.0
Allowed / game80.278.581.7
Point differential+2.9+5.8+0.3
Avg total163.3162.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWLLWL53%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%53%29%
Points / game78.375.981.0
Allowed / game82.478.586.6
Point differential-4.1-2.6-5.6
Avg total160.8154.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2924583%88.377.2+11.1
2 Lancut2920969%86.185.9+0.2
3 LKS Lodz29191066%86.079.3+6.7
4 Starogard Gdanski29191066%83.979.9+4.0
5 Spojnia Stargard29191066%83.180.2+2.9
6 GKS Tychy29181162%82.981.2+1.7
7 Pelplin29171259%85.783.1+2.7
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg29141548%80.978.2+2.8
9 Polonia Warszawa30141647%80.782.6-1.9
10 WKK Wroclaw30131743%80.882.0-1.2
11 R. Rzeszow29121741%81.383.0-1.7
12 Poli. Opolska29121741%81.883.6-1.8
13 Leszno29121741%78.382.4-4.1
14 Inowroclaw30121840%79.982.9-2.9
15 Poznan29111838%80.382.0-1.8
16 Miners Katowice2972224%80.085.9-5.8
17 Zubry Bialystok2952417%77.487.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spojnia Stargard1820242082
Leszno2320131975
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