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Sporting CP vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game84.7
PortugalLPBRound 21· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sporting CP v Oliveirense
17 Apr 2027
SCP v OLIV
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
SCP74
OLIV82
22 Mar 2025
SCP80
OLIV70
04 Jan 2025
SCP82
OLIV69
22 Mar 2024
SCP73
OLIV85
22 Mar 2023
SCP94
OLIV70
05 Oct 2022
SCP99
OLIV74
23 Apr 2022
SCP69
OLIV67
12 Mar 2022
SCP75
OLIV61
09 Jan 2021
SCP85
OLIV78
01 Dec 2019
SCP94
OLIV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-27
19-21
16-17
14-30
33-27
28-19
11-18
19-19
22-19
13-19
17-27
20-16
23-18
15-13
10-21
20-17
23-8
23-18
22-17
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
156.7Avg total
79.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.576.8155.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)79.565.0144.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)77.588.5166.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)78.075.6153.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.684.6158.2-11.040%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.181.5161.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (17)86.874.5161.3+12.276%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
12-15
17-22
27-18
18-25
19-21
15-18
27-29
27-23
25-24
19-13
19-12
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
162.7Avg total
78.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.384.7172.0+2.767%
Season at home (1)104.080.0184.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)78.983.8162.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)80.285.2165.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.688.3165.9-10.822%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.282.7165.9+0.656%
vs Weaker (12)89.279.4168.6+9.875%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Sporting CPOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
41.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.037.779.7+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.685.0-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.982.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.240.276.4-4.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.045.990.9-0.925%-
vs Weaker (17)42.637.279.8+5.471%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.284.7+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.940.989.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.480.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.342.181.4-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.442.886.2+0.756%-
vs Weaker (12)46.839.286.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.7
69.0%
70.6%16.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.5
27.6%
31.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.6%14.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
LWWLWWWLLL
Oliveirense
WLWLLLWWLL
#6
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
-1.7
88.6
Offensive rating
86.8
86.4
Defensive rating
88.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.6%
3-point %
27.6%
63.9%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 86.8Defence86.4 · 88.4Shooting47.1% · 48.6%3-point %30.6% · 27.6%Ball care15.7% · 18.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sporting CP wins
4
Oliveirense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
10/10/26HEsgueira88-60
07/10/26HRilski Sportist79-75 OT
03/10/26ABenfica71-84
31/05/26AFC Porto86-94
29/05/26AFC Porto76-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
13/05/26HOvarense90-72
09/05/26AOvarense79-93
25/04/26AVitoria74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.579.577.5
Allowed / game76.865.088.5
Point differential+1.8+14.5-11.0
Avg total155.2144.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.3104.079.0
Allowed / game84.780.087.0
Point differential+2.7+24.0-8.0
Avg total172.0184.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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