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Benfica vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-71
19-19 19-22 19-13 27-17
Position#1
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP
Portugal
Position#8
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2026-27
Meetings · Benfica v Sporting CP
03 Oct 2026
BEN84
SCP71
31 Jan 2026
BEN78
SCP87
29 Dec 2024
BEN81
SCP64
30 Nov 2024
BEN v SCP
upcoming
06 Apr 2024
BEN94
SCP70
06 Jun 2023
BEN87
SCP93
04 Jun 2023
BEN85
SCP84
01 Apr 2023
BEN99
SCP86
14 Dec 2022
BEN90
SCP93
17 Sep 2022
BEN84
SCP89
16 Apr 2022
BEN79
SCP78
19 Jan 2022
BEN64
SCP72
05 Jan 2022
BEN63
SCP74
13 May 2021
BEN82
SCP95
19 Mar 2021
BEN75
SCP87
02 Nov 2019
BEN85
SCP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 87
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
100avg 87
H21/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-61
86
61
+25
90avg 87
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 87
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 87
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 87
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 87
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 87
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 87
H17/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-18
33-23
17-20
24-17
29-10
25-20
20-29
17-18
24-14
19-16
26-13
15-23
23-23
25-16
23-16
23-12
23-15
28-19
15-27
24-31
31-24
22-19
17-20
13-27
22-20
14-17
14-23
17-18
18-19
22-18
14-20
25-17
20-21
17-17
25-23
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
166.7Avg total
86.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.080.7166.7+5.360%
Last 5 (5)81.488.0169.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.093.0159.0-27.00%
vs Similar (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.877.4171.3+16.480%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
112-81
112
81
+31
116avg 81
A04/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 81
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 81
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
61-64
61
64
-3
37avg 81
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
109-67
109
67
+42
116avg 81
H10/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 81
A14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 81
H23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 81
H25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 81
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
72avg 81
A31/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
30-18
26-21
31-19
19-23
14-18
20-23
21-18
12-13
19-18
26-27
26-11
17-19
17-20
16-10
11-15
27-21
30-20
25-9
27-17
25-18
23-18
19-21
18-16
20-23
19-23
18-17
13-18
30-20
27-20
14-14
17-19
20-21
21-27
19-21
16-17
14-30
33-27
28-19
11-18
161.4Avg total
84.4Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.477.0161.4+7.450%
Last 5 (5)81.081.4162.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.486.6160.0-13.220%
vs Similar (7)81.483.3164.7-1.929%
vs Weaker (18)90.174.6164.7+15.683%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
BenficaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H21/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
83.7Avg total
44.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.939.286.0+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.538.688.1+10.988%-
Last 30 away (14)43.939.883.6+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.483.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.040.574.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.838.886.7+9.072%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A04/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H10/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/05
LPB
86.2Avg total
44.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.984.9+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.683.0+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.743.487.1+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.086.2+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.445.491.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.242.277.4-7.040%-
vs Similar (7)46.146.692.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker (18)45.738.384.0+7.483%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.7
56.6%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
31.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.318.7
71.1%
71.5%18.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.3
57.8%
50.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.7
29.0%
31.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.316.9
69.5%
71.5%16.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWLLLWWWWW
Sporting CP
LLWLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#8
+8.1
Net rating
+8.4
93.3
Offensive rating
96.1
85.2
Defensive rating
87.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.9%
3-point %
29.0%
66.6%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 96.1Defence85.2 · 87.7Shooting53.0% · 51.2%3-point %31.9% · 29.0%Ball care17.7% · 13.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Benfica wins
3
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Benfica v Sporting CP78-87
12/10/25Sporting CP v Benfica66-103
19/04/25Sporting CP v Benfica85-87 OT
29/12/24Benfica v Sporting CP81-64
04/05/24Sporting CP v Benfica66-73
06/04/24Benfica v Sporting CP94-70
25/11/23Sporting CP v Benfica91-88 OT
11/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica85-101
09/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica57-101
06/06/23Benfica v Sporting CP87-93
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/26HVechta88-98
15/09/26HGeneva Lions87-78
14/06/26AFC Porto71-75
12/06/26AFC Porto63-87
09/06/26HFC Porto98-102 OT
07/06/26HFC Porto89-73
28/05/26AOliveirense86-78
23/05/26HOliveirense86-61
21/05/26HOliveirense98-76
13/05/26ABraga94-79
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/26AFC Porto86-94
29/05/26AFC Porto76-86
25/05/26HFC Porto88-73
23/05/26HFC Porto70-81
14/05/26AEsgueira85-73
10/05/26HEsgueira109-67
25/04/26AImortal61-64
18/04/26HCA Queluz83-69
11/04/26HOliveirense74-82
04/04/26AVasco Da Gama112-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Ovarense110100%96.083.0+13.0
3 Oliveirense110100%91.082.0+9.0
4 Vitoria110100%83.078.0+5.0
5 CAB Madeira1010%78.083.0-5.0
6 Portimonense1010%82.091.0-9.0
7 Braga1010%83.096.0-13.0
8 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1919192784
Sporting CP1922131771
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