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St. Marys (CA) vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 88-75
38-30 50-45
Position#16
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#164
Record8-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-33
39-33
45-27
45-33
47-17
33-32
47-39
38-33
40-26
56-16
33-31
37-34
31-20
46-46
34-51
37-45
27-24
43-37
32-37
35-31
143.8Avg total
79.3Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.763.9143.6+15.882%
Season at home (7)85.659.0144.6+26.6100%
Season away (4)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)79.364.5143.8+14.880%
Last 5 (5)71.071.2142.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar (5)72.270.4142.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)75.460.2135.6+15.190%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A08/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A09/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#533
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H18/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H21/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A25/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H26/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Saint Leo Monarchs
#675
W
112-55
112
55
+57
H11/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
105-79
105
79
+26
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
46-45
30-48
38-40
50-33
42-30
40-28
42-31
41-34
35-31
25-40
40-34
32-34
33-36
36-37
45-39
48-37
64-18
49-25
56-54
154.6Avg total
84.0Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.971.3155.2+12.673%
Season at home (7)86.368.3154.6+18.071%
Season away (4)79.876.5156.2+3.275%
Last 10 (10)84.070.6154.6+13.470%
Last 5 (5)85.670.8156.4+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.574.0136.5-11.50%
vs Similar (19)76.774.6151.3+2.153%
vs Weaker (7)83.667.6151.1+16.0100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +8.3+8.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +8.3+8.3
St. Marys (CA)Florida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.4Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.129.164.2+6.080%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.228.465.6+8.888%-
Last 30 away (13)32.430.162.5+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.568.9+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.664.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar (5)32.234.466.6-2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.427.863.2+7.686%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#533
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H26/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Saint Leo Monarchs
#675
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H11/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H13/12
NCAA
74.7Avg total
39.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.071.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.933.672.6+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)35.734.470.1+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.874.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.672.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.032.066.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (19)36.135.371.3+0.842%-
vs Weaker (7)40.629.369.9+11.3100%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Florida Atlantic wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ABoise State67-68
07/12/25ADavidson70-61
28/11/25AVanderbilt71-96
27/11/25HVirginia Tech77-66
27/11/25AWichita State70-65
23/11/25HCalifornia Merced96-42
20/11/25HArkansas State85-72
15/11/25HNorth Texas80-49
12/11/25HOhio90-60
08/11/25HChattanooga Mocs87-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HAlbany Great Danes105-79
11/12/25HSaint Leo Monarchs112-55
07/12/25AFlorida Gulf Coast81-76
30/11/25HSt. Bonaventure65-70
26/11/25HGeorge Mason65-74
25/11/25ALoyola Marymount76-65
21/11/25HPacific82-59
18/11/25HCoastal Georgia92-63
09/11/25ALiberty68-88
08/11/25ACharleston94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%100%50%
Points / game79.785.669.5
Allowed / game63.959.072.5
Point differential+15.8+26.6-3.0
Avg total143.6144.6142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%71%75%
Points / game83.986.379.8
Allowed / game71.368.376.5
Point differential+12.6+18.0+3.2
Avg total155.2154.6156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1211192%92.466.2+26.2
2 Seattle119282%82.966.5+16.5
3 St. Marys (CA)119282%79.763.9+15.8
4 Santa Clara129375%79.269.6+9.6
5 Pacific128467%74.866.2+8.5
6 Loyola Marymount117464%77.667.8+9.8
7 San Francisco127558%75.569.6+5.9
8 Portland127558%83.482.2+1.2
9 Oregon State126650%72.872.6+0.2
10 San Diego Toreros104640%74.475.8-1.4
11 Pepperdine124833%73.774.8-1.2
12 Washington State124833%75.577.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1211192%89.370.7+18.7
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 UAB128467%84.272.3+11.8
4 North Texas128467%68.364.2+4.1
5 Tulane128467%74.276.4-2.2
6 Wichita State127558%77.167.2+9.8
7 Temple127558%78.872.2+6.6
8 South Florida116555%89.081.8+7.2
9 Rice126650%77.371.2+6.1
10 Charlotte125742%70.871.5-0.8
11 East Carolina125742%68.474.3-5.9
12 Memphis104640%75.176.9-1.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners114736%71.575.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)385088
Florida Atlantic304575
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