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St. Marys (CA) vs Pepperdine Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 88-60
48-29 40-31
Position#16
Record21-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#347
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Pepperdine
11 Feb 2026
ST. 88
PEPP60
10 Mar 2025
ST. 74
PEPP59
02 Jan 2025
ST. 71
PEPP41
15 Feb 2024
ST. 103
PEPP59
29 Jan 2022
ST. 81
PEPP57
22 Feb 2021
ST. 66
PEPP61
02 Jan 2021
ST. v PEPP
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
ST. 89
PEPP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pepperdine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H05/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
42-28
40-40
25-32
29-30
36-25
45-26
38-34
37-35
38-34
27-39
44-25
43-35
40-29
39-25
143.4Avg total
78.2Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.464.2142.6+14.284%
Season at home (15)83.761.7145.5+22.0100%
Season away (10)70.468.0138.4+2.460%
Last 10 (10)78.265.2143.4+13.080%
Last 5 (5)77.461.4138.8+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.065.5123.5-7.50%
vs Similar (4)68.874.0142.8-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.163.2141.3+14.996%
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A05/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A09/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A22/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A24/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
28-40
36-40
33-34
31-39
32-44
21-32
39-48
32-32
35-31
29-47
31-37
37-47
42-48
38-33
37-42
43-44
38-39
25-41
34-51
151.7Avg total
68.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.378.2148.6-7.924%
Season at home (14)72.177.1149.2-4.936%
Season away (11)68.079.7147.7-11.79%
Last 10 (10)68.982.8151.7-13.910%
Last 5 (5)73.489.2162.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.478.3145.7-10.918%
vs Similar (5)74.278.0152.2-3.840%
vs Weaker (3)95.776.3172.0+19.3100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -6.5-6.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -6.5-6.5
St. Marys (CA)Pepperdine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H05/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H08/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
39.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.967.6+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.729.368.0+9.584%-
Last 30 away (11)33.233.766.9-0.555%-
Last 10 (10)39.431.671.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.468.6+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (4)30.837.568.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.829.767.5+8.083%-
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A24/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H08/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
32.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.837.371.0-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.635.769.3-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.872.7-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.739.772.4-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.476.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.437.469.8-5.027%-
vs Similar (5)33.635.669.2-2.040%-
vs Weaker (3)44.039.383.3+4.767%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Pepperdine wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HSan Francisco79-54
05/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-60
01/02/26AGonzaga65-73
25/01/26APortland75-69
22/01/26HOregon State81-51
18/01/26ASanta Clara54-62
14/01/26ASan Francisco82-68
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
Pepperdinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HPacific59-92
05/02/26ASeattle81-83
29/01/26HSan Diego Toreros88-92 OT
24/01/26AWashington State79-95
22/01/26AGonzaga60-84
15/01/26HPortland67-63
11/01/26HSan Francisco60-80
09/01/26ASan Diego Toreros63-83
05/01/26APacific69-74
03/01/26ASanta Clara63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %84%100%60%
Points / game78.483.770.4
Allowed / game64.261.768.0
Point differential+14.2+22.0+2.4
Avg total142.6145.5138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%87%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pepperdine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %24%36%9%
Points / game70.372.168.0
Allowed / game78.277.179.7
Point differential-7.9-4.9-11.7
Avg total148.6149.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga2624292%87.466.5+20.9
2 St. Marys (CA)2521484%78.464.2+14.2
3 Santa Clara2621581%83.671.1+12.5
4 Pacific26161062%75.068.3+6.7
5 Seattle25151060%73.067.3+5.7
6 San Francisco26141254%74.871.8+3.0
7 Loyola Marymount26131350%75.272.4+2.8
8 Oregon State26131350%70.274.4-4.2
9 Portland27121544%75.378.6-3.3
10 Washington State27111641%76.677.7-1.1
11 San Diego Toreros27111641%75.477.9-2.4
12 Pepperdine2561924%70.378.2-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)484088
Pepperdine293160
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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