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St. Marys (CA) vs San Francisco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 79-54
40-29 39-25
Position#16
Record20-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#191
Record14-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco
07 Feb 2026
ST. 79
SAN 54
23 Jan 2025
ST. 71
SAN 51
20 Feb 2024
ST. 70
SAN 66
02 Feb 2023
ST. 68
SAN 59
17 Feb 2022
ST. 69
SAN 64
25 Feb 2021
ST. v SAN
upcoming
23 Jan 2020
ST. 58
SAN 48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
38-20
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
42-28
40-40
25-32
29-30
36-25
45-26
38-34
37-35
38-34
27-39
44-25
43-35
141.8Avg total
77.5Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.464.7143.0+13.783%
Season at home (14)84.162.3146.4+21.8100%
Season away (10)70.468.0138.4+2.460%
Last 10 (10)77.564.3141.8+13.280%
Last 5 (5)72.463.0135.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.065.5123.5-7.50%
vs Similar (4)68.874.0142.8-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.263.3140.5+14.096%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H05/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A11/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H14/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
45-36
27-34
46-34
31-31
36-36
32-21
48-39
28-42
40-40
48-44
37-36
25-36
41-32
31-34
42-54
35-32
52-50
32-37
43-47
152.3Avg total
76.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.771.5147.2+4.256%
Season at home (13)80.170.1150.2+10.077%
Season away (12)70.973.1144.0-2.233%
Last 10 (10)76.376.0152.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)77.280.4157.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.381.9155.1-8.614%
vs Similar (11)75.375.5150.8-0.345%
vs Weaker (11)78.565.1143.6+13.582%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
St. Marys (CA)San Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H05/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.666.7+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.729.367.9+9.483%-
Last 30 away (12)32.432.564.9-0.158%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.270.0+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.066.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (4)30.837.568.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.129.366.4+7.883%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A11/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H14/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.866.2+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.732.669.3+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)31.430.862.2+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.965.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.134.966.0-3.729%-
vs Similar (11)34.234.869.0-0.645%-
vs Weaker (11)36.526.963.4+9.591%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
St. Marys (CA) wins
1
San Francisco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-60
01/02/26AGonzaga65-73
25/01/26APortland75-69
22/01/26HOregon State81-51
18/01/26ASanta Clara54-62
14/01/26ASan Francisco82-68
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
San Franciscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HLoyola Marymount75-84
01/02/26HPacific87-82
29/01/26ASanta Clara73-88
25/01/26AGonzaga66-68
19/01/26HWashington State85-80
14/01/26HSt. Marys (CA)68-82
11/01/26APepperdine80-60
09/01/26ALoyola Marymount82-84 OT
05/01/26HPortland73-68
03/01/26HSan Diego Toreros74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game78.484.170.4
Allowed / game64.762.368.0
Point differential+13.7+21.8+2.4
Avg total143.0146.4138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%86%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWLWWL77%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%77%33%
Points / game75.780.170.9
Allowed / game71.570.173.1
Point differential+4.2+10.0-2.2
Avg total147.2150.2144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga2523292%87.667.0+20.5
2 St. Marys (CA)2420483%78.464.7+13.7
3 Santa Clara2621581%83.671.1+12.5
4 Pacific26161062%75.068.3+6.7
5 Seattle25151060%73.067.3+5.7
6 San Francisco25141156%75.771.5+4.2
7 Loyola Marymount26131350%75.272.4+2.8
8 Oregon State26131350%70.274.4-4.2
9 Portland26121446%76.078.9-2.9
10 Washington State26111542%77.577.5+0.0
11 San Diego Toreros26101638%75.678.6-3.0
12 Pepperdine2561924%70.378.2-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)403979
San Francisco292554
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