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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs North Dakota St Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-58
42-22 26-36
Position#118
Record19-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#235
Record15-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St
07 Jan 2027
ST. v NORT
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
ST. 84
NORT62
02 Feb 2025
ST. 79
NORT62
10 Mar 2024
ST. 68
NORT58
25 Jan 2024
ST. 79
NORT66
21 Dec 2022
ST. 78
NORT68
12 Feb 2022
ST. 64
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A02/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H09/02
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A10/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H18/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A23/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H01/03
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-38
37-36
31-33
34-36
34-29
37-27
52-31
33-32
32-45
45-49
38-48
45-32
22-23
28-41
39-32
33-45
45-20
43-41
34-21
49-37
143.4Avg total
73.8Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.765.3139.0+8.561%
Season at home (16)78.563.4141.9+15.181%
Season away (15)68.667.2135.8+1.440%
Last 10 (10)73.869.6143.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)75.268.0143.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)77.080.7157.7-3.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)70.864.1134.9+6.767%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A02/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A03/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A17/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
32-35
30-25
28-35
32-37
36-31
36-35
45-44
38-30
35-30
38-28
33-49
23-22
41-28
33-33
40-35
31-45
37-43
27-50
34-28
141.6Avg total
70.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.274.1149.3+1.048%
Season at home (14)79.969.0148.9+10.971%
Season away (17)71.378.4149.6-7.129%
Last 10 (10)70.571.1141.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)67.472.2139.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.479.0150.4-7.633%
vs Similar (15)71.975.7147.7-3.840%
vs Weaker (5)84.072.2156.2+11.880%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.3+0.3
St. Thomas (Minn.)North Dakota St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A02/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H09/02
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A23/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H01/03
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H03/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.065.7+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.329.566.8+7.862%-
Last 30 away (14)34.030.564.5+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)35.432.067.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.628.864.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.038.772.7-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)34.729.964.6+4.758%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A03/02
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A17/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H02/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.269.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.033.470.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)34.534.969.4-0.456%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.565.6-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.666.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.237.070.2-3.856%-
vs Similar (15)33.934.668.5-0.747%-
vs Weaker (5)40.433.874.2+6.680%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
4
North Dakota St wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HDenver83-58
01/03/24HNebraska O.88-61
24/02/24ASouth Dakota St.72-77
23/02/24ANorth Dakota St50-64
18/02/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes83-80
10/02/24ADenver77-94
09/02/24HOral Roberts85-63
04/02/24AUMKC71-56
02/02/24ANebraska O.65-69
28/01/24HNorth Dakota64-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HSouth Dakota St.61-78
01/03/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes68-88
24/02/24HNorth Dakota73-68
23/02/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)64-50
17/02/24ADenver71-77
16/02/24AOral Roberts73-60
10/02/24HNebraska O.81-79
09/02/24HUMKC82-78 OT
03/02/24ANorth Dakota58-60
02/02/24ASouth Dakota St.74-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%81%40%
Points / game73.778.568.6
Allowed / game65.363.467.2
Point differential+8.5+15.1+1.4
Avg total139.0141.9135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)60% (5)0% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
North Dakota St
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %48%71%29%
Points / game75.279.971.3
Allowed / game74.169.078.4
Point differential+1.0+10.9-7.1
Avg total149.3148.9149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %19%14%24%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.32201262%77.371.6+5.8
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)31191261%73.765.3+8.5
3 North Dakota31181358%75.471.8+3.5
4 UMKC32161650%71.969.3+2.6
5 Denver32161650%81.981.2+0.7
6 North Dakota St31151648%75.274.1+1.0
7 Nebraska O.31141745%74.473.1+1.3
8 Oral Roberts31121939%73.475.3-1.9
9 South Dakota Coyotes32122038%76.179.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)422668
North Dakota St223658
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