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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs North Dakota St Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#253
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#292
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St
07 Jan 2027
ST. v NORT
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
ST. 84
NORT62
02 Feb 2025
ST. 79
NORT62
10 Mar 2024
ST. 68
NORT58
25 Jan 2024
ST. 79
NORT66
21 Dec 2022
ST. 78
NORT68
12 Feb 2022
ST. 64
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#380
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#174
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#203
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
41-45
50-27
34-35
31-28
37-25
39-37
41-30
34-28
32-39
38-36
49-42
22-40
40-36
33-33
34-43
54-42
65-40
39-35
38-44
151.2Avg total
79.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Season at home (2)93.079.0172.0+14.050%
Season away (3)75.377.7153.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.072.2151.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.777.0145.7-8.30%
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.273.7158.9+11.576%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
64-105
64
105
-41
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
40-39
40-25
34-25
38-30
32-32
25-45
42-47
38-26
52-33
26-45
38-60
31-45
39-34
32-38
48-53
31-31
38-38
–
–
149.9Avg total
74.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.3157.2-5.533%
Season at home (3)80.371.0151.3+9.367%
Season away (3)71.391.7163.0-20.30%
Last 10 (10)74.275.7149.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)73.085.8158.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.085.8158.8-12.820%
vs Similar (4)67.578.8146.2-11.225%
vs Weaker (19)82.570.2152.7+12.389%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
St. Thomas (Minn.)North Dakota St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#380
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#174
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#203
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.433.573.9+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.531.774.2+10.894%-
Last 30 away (13)37.635.873.5+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.372.2+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.067.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.433.774.0+6.786%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.334.372.6+4.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.531.170.5+8.467%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.774.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (9)33.034.667.6-1.644%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.068.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.039.869.8-9.80%-
vs Similar (4)29.842.572.2-12.80%-
vs Weaker (19)40.931.972.8+9.179%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AArmy77-79
12/11/26HMacalester119-82
08/11/26HWisc. Green Bay67-76
07/11/26AMinnesota62-76
03/11/26APresbyterian87-78
08/03/26HNorth Dakota66-67
06/03/26HSouth Dakota St.80-67
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCSU Bakersfield69-73
14/11/26HIllinois State82-81 OT
08/11/26ACSU Bakersfield80-91
07/11/26ASan Francisco70-79
05/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)64-105
03/11/26HMN-Crookston90-59
19/03/26AMichigan State67-92
09/03/26HNorth Dakota70-62
08/03/26HNebraska O.74-50
06/03/26HOral Roberts76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.493.075.3
Allowed / game78.279.077.7
Point differential+4.2+14.0-2.3
Avg total160.6172.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.880.371.3
Allowed / game81.371.091.7
Point differential-5.5+9.3-20.3
Avg total157.2151.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St62433%75.881.3-5.5
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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