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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-76
36-38 42-38
Position#139
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game64.8
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
vs
Troy
USA
Position#115
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game58.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H13/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A18/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Denver
#300
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
84-48
84
48
+36
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
30-44
23-37
37-44
30-39
30-40
41-30
43-44
31-29
49-62
47-36
48-38
35-40
25-32
38-24
45-37
46-23
38-25
28-43
31-35
146.2Avg total
72.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.564.8136.2+6.850%
Season at home (2)83.554.5138.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)59.575.0134.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)72.973.3146.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)76.266.6142.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.779.9145.6-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.775.9149.6-2.143%
vs Weaker (8)87.862.9150.6+24.988%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-33
0-0
27-40
0-0
28-24
0-0
31-29
0-0
25-29
0-0
36-37
0-0
37-26
0-0
32-36
0-0
24-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
27-48
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
53-36
0-0
59-22
0-0
37-20
0-0
32-25
0-0
47-47
0-0
38-29
0-0
35-25
135.1Avg total
71.4Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.858.8142.5+25.0100%
Season at home (3)85.354.3139.7+31.0100%
Season away (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.463.7135.1+7.760%
Last 5 (5)81.063.4144.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.165.9131.0-0.957%
vs Weaker (10)69.762.7132.4+7.080%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
St. Thomas (Minn.)Troy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A18/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.433.270.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.931.172.0+9.882%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.968.8-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.268.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.272.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.937.069.9-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.734.471.1+2.371%-
vs Weaker (8)46.126.272.4+19.9100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
34.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.163.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.227.161.2+7.156%-
Last 30 away (14)33.033.666.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.029.663.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.069.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.631.562.1-0.943%-
vs Weaker (10)35.028.463.4+6.660%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22AMontana59-78
13/11/22HSt. Francis Brooklyn84-48
12/11/22HChicago State83-61
08/11/22ACreighton60-72
27/02/22HNebraska O.95-74
25/02/22HDenver80-91
22/02/22ANorth Dakota84-74
19/02/22ASouth Dakota St.60-79
18/02/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes60-81
13/02/22HNorth Dakota St64-75
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
11/11/22HMUW Owls96-42
08/11/22HMontevallo87-67
20/03/22AAbilene Christian70-82
06/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette57-66
05/03/22HUALR69-62
26/02/22HTexas State61-66
24/02/22HUT Arlington59-53
19/02/22ACoastal Carolina63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.583.559.5
Allowed / game64.854.575.0
Point differential+6.8+29.0-15.5
Avg total136.2138.0134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.885.379.0
Allowed / game58.854.372.0
Point differential+25.0+31.0+7.0
Avg total142.5139.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver32167%75.768.0+7.7
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)42250%71.564.8+6.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%73.071.8+1.2
4 South Dakota St.42250%67.570.0-2.5
5 South Dakota Coyotes42250%67.076.2-9.2
6 North Dakota42250%66.579.8-13.2
7 Nebraska O.41325%66.276.8-10.5
8 UMKC51420%66.668.4-1.8
9 North Dakota St4040%69.587.5-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
3 Troy440100%83.858.8+25.0
4 Appalachian State330100%94.069.3+24.7
5 Southern Miss330100%73.750.7+23.0
6 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
7 Marshall32167%89.372.3+17.0
8 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
9 Old Dominion53260%73.669.2+4.4
10 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
11 Georgia State42250%69.865.8+4.0
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 South Alabama31233%75.368.0+7.3
14 Georgia Southern31233%54.357.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)364278
Troy383876
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