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Troy vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-54
38-29 35-25
Position#115
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game60.3
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#186
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Troy v Merrimack Warriors
29 Nov 2024
TROY68
MERR72
17 Nov 2022
TROY73
MERR54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-39
0-0
30-22
0-0
36-33
0-0
27-40
0-0
28-24
0-0
31-29
0-0
25-29
0-0
36-37
0-0
37-26
0-0
32-36
0-0
24-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
27-48
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
53-36
0-0
59-22
0-0
37-20
0-0
32-25
0-0
47-47
135.2Avg total
70.8Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.360.3147.7+27.0100%
Season at home (2)91.554.5146.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.864.4135.2+6.460%
Last 5 (5)77.865.8143.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)66.366.7133.0-0.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)69.363.7133.0+5.778%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
65-64 OT
65
64
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
80-65 OT
80
65
+15
A12/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H19/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A25/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
72-52
72
52
+20
A26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A07/11
NCAA
Clark Massachusetts
#400
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
29-33
28-27
29-33
25-24
33-34
37-24
33-39
29-27
35-17
43-40
37-39
28-43
46-42
30-31
42-21
30-51
42-46
29-17
35-31
135.5Avg total
69.8Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.072.5140.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)64.048.0112.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)72.097.0169.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)69.865.7135.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)72.472.2144.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)59.871.7131.5-11.815%
vs Similar (12)63.665.5129.1-1.958%
vs Weaker (4)59.052.0111.0+7.075%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
TroyMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.363.8+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.926.960.9+7.053%-
Last 30 away (15)32.933.766.7-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.664.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.066.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (15)30.731.762.4-1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.728.363.0+6.356%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A25/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A07/11
NCAA
Clark Massachusetts
#400
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H11/11
NCAA
61.5Avg total
30.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.630.760.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.129.160.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)28.232.160.2-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)30.730.861.5-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.468.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.832.962.7-3.238%-
vs Similar (12)29.730.860.5-1.242%-
vs Weaker (4)28.826.255.0+2.5100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
11/11/22HMUW Owls96-42
08/11/22HMontevallo87-67
20/03/22AAbilene Christian70-82
06/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette57-66
05/03/22HUALR69-62
26/02/22HTexas State61-66
24/02/22HUT Arlington59-53
19/02/22ACoastal Carolina63-73
17/02/22AAppalachian State67-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HClark Massachusetts64-48
07/11/22ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-97
26/02/22ASt. Francis Brooklyn72-52
25/02/22ALIU Sharks74-85
19/02/22HSacred Heart80-79
18/02/22HFairleigh Dickinson64-44
16/02/22ASacred Heart70-63
12/02/22AWagner80-65 OT
11/02/22HCentral Connecticut State57-60
05/02/22ASt. Francis (PA)65-64 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.391.579.0
Allowed / game60.354.572.0
Point differential+27.0+37.0+7.0
Avg total147.7146.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game68.064.072.0
Allowed / game72.548.097.0
Point differential-4.5+16.0-25.0
Avg total140.5112.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
3 Troy330100%87.360.3+27.0
4 Appalachian State330100%94.069.3+24.7
5 Louisiana Lafayette330100%87.364.3+23.0
6 Southern Miss330100%73.750.7+23.0
7 Louisiana Monroe32167%90.067.3+22.7
8 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
9 Georgia State32167%72.767.0+5.7
10 Texas State32167%67.367.3+0.0
11 Marshall21150%86.574.0+12.5
12 Old Dominion42250%71.567.2+4.2
13 South Alabama31233%75.368.0+7.3
14 Georgia Southern31233%54.357.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac440100%80.574.8+5.8
2 Siena32167%81.375.3+6.0
3 St. Peters32167%66.370.0-3.7
4 Rider21150%76.058.0+18.0
5 Iona21150%78.066.5+11.5
6 Merrimack Warriors21150%68.072.5-4.5
7 Sacred Heart42250%74.083.2-9.2
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%65.765.7+0.0
9 Canisius31233%74.076.7-2.7
10 Marist31233%67.370.3-3.0
11 Manhattan2020%65.075.0-10.0
12 Fairfield3030%65.077.3-12.3
13 Niagara2020%49.569.5-20.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy383573
Merrimack Warriors292554
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