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Troy vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 61-66
25-29 36-37
Position#99
Record19-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#40
Record20-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Troy v Texas State
31 Dec 2025
TROY100
TEXA80
09 Jan 2025
TROY73
TEXA74
09 Mar 2024
TROY68
TEXA74
24 Jan 2024
TROY78
TEXA65
04 Feb 2023
TROY68
TEXA64
25 Feb 2022
TROY61
TEXA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
31-39
33-39
30-43
31-22
46-46
34-26
33-37
35-23
26-29
29-35
50-42
31-31
31-35
37-39
30-22
36-33
27-40
28-24
31-29
132.1Avg total
65.7Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.965.1135.0+4.868%
Season at home (12)73.860.3134.2+13.583%
Season away (16)66.968.8135.7-1.856%
Last 10 (10)65.766.4132.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)66.066.0132.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.880.5155.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.566.7134.2+0.871%
vs Weaker (11)71.962.9134.8+9.064%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
29-29
40-35
41-36
41-37
30-29
33-25
48-29
36-38
31-26
37-24
25-25
30-27
128.1Avg total
66.5Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.862.6133.4+8.377%
Season at home (13)74.557.2131.7+17.292%
Season away (13)67.267.9135.2-0.762%
Last 10 (10)66.561.6128.1+4.980%
Last 5 (5)70.459.2129.6+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)63.467.4130.9-4.057%
vs Weaker (22)72.759.5132.2+13.286%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
TroyTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H24/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.163.9+3.750%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.725.560.2+9.258%-
Last 30 away (18)33.233.266.4+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.262.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.464.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.231.263.5+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.931.362.2-0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)36.829.466.2+7.545%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.628.862.4+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.426.662.0+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.431.462.9+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)32.430.062.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.064.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.027.656.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker (22)35.528.564.0+7.064%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Troy wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HUT Arlington59-53
19/02/22ACoastal Carolina63-73
17/02/22AAppalachian State67-61
12/02/22HUALR62-66
11/02/22HArkansas State79-77
05/02/22AGeorgia Southern61-52
04/02/22AGeorgia State67-63
30/01/22HSouth Alabama77-68
28/01/22ASouth Alabama63-82
23/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette59-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22ASouth Alabama55-52
19/02/22HUALR68-50
18/02/22HArkansas State84-67
12/02/22ALouisiana Monroe63-54
11/02/22ALouisiana Lafayette82-73
05/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-64
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %68%83%56%
Points / game69.973.866.9
Allowed / game65.160.368.8
Point differential+4.8+13.5-1.8
Avg total135.0134.2135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%92%62%
Points / game70.874.567.2
Allowed / game62.657.267.9
Point differential+8.3+17.2-0.7
Avg total133.4131.7135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2620677%70.862.6+8.3
2 Troy2819968%69.965.1+4.8
3 South Alabama29191066%71.462.8+8.6
4 Georgia State2516964%70.864.2+6.7
5 Arkansas State27171063%70.867.9+3.0
6 Appalachian State31181358%66.762.4+4.3
7 Coastal Carolina28161257%73.165.1+8.0
8 James Madison27151256%76.172.0+4.1
9 Louisiana Lafayette27131448%71.169.6+1.6
10 Georgia Southern27121544%66.665.4+1.1
11 Louisiana Monroe30131743%72.374.1-1.8
12 Old Dominion28111739%66.467.0-0.7
13 Marshall29111838%74.576.6-2.1
14 Southern Miss2862221%64.074.8-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy253661
Texas State293766
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