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Stanford vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-68
39-30 35-38
Position#127
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#164
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#320
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H04/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H13/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H04/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-22
47-40
30-27
50-26
48-26
42-38
41-23
38-42
38-33
32-30
27-37
44-32
33-32
38-46
43-34
47-63
38-26
39-37
47-31
42-50
149.7Avg total
80.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.269.5149.7+10.780%
Season at home (8)80.268.1148.4+12.175%
Season away (2)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.269.5149.7+10.780%
Last 5 (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.476.3146.6-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.977.1157.1+2.853%
vs Weaker (4)78.860.5139.2+18.2100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
39-78
39
78
-39
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
17-38
25-25
35-33
22-35
30-37
33-37
31-37
8-41
35-32
39-49
36-37
38-39
43-32
29-36
20-27
40-25
40-21
40-41
29-21
35-40
130.8Avg total
62.5Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)62.766.7129.5-4.045%
Season at home (4)65.064.0129.0+1.050%
Season away (7)61.468.3129.7-6.943%
Last 10 (10)62.568.3130.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)70.063.8133.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.065.5122.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)65.265.4130.6-0.147%
vs Weaker (11)71.460.3131.6+11.1100%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
StanfordMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#320
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H04/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H13/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H17/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A07/12
NCAA
67.4Avg total
38.3Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.470.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.831.268.9+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)34.638.172.7-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.329.167.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.069.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.936.970.8-3.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.534.873.3+3.747%-
vs Weaker (4)34.526.260.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/12
NCAA
63.1Avg total
31.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.729.662.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.528.762.2+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)31.930.562.4+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.563.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.627.661.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.035.065.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.829.862.5+3.065%-
vs Weaker (11)33.228.361.5+4.964%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stanford wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ACalifornia89-81
04/12/24HUtah Valley State77-63
01/12/24HCal Poly90-97
27/11/24HGrand Canyon71-78
24/11/24ASanta Clara71-69
21/11/24HNorfolk State70-63
17/11/24HUC Davis79-65
13/11/24HNorthern Arizona90-64
08/11/24HCS Fullerton80-53
04/11/24HDenver85-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HBoston University64-61
08/12/24ANiagara80-62
07/12/24ACanisius60-52
29/11/24ATroy72-68
27/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners74-76
25/11/24AUMass Lowell74-81
23/11/24AButler39-78
21/11/24ARutgers63-74
17/11/24HPrinceton57-68
14/11/24AVCU Rams42-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game80.280.280.0
Allowed / game69.568.175.0
Point differential+10.7+12.1+5.0
Avg total149.7148.4155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game62.765.061.4
Allowed / game66.764.068.3
Point differential-4.0+1.0-6.9
Avg total129.5129.0129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke119282%78.658.7+19.9
2 SMU Mustangs119282%84.769.2+15.5
3 Pittsburgh119282%81.667.0+14.6
4 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
5 Clemson129375%78.366.8+11.5
6 Florida State129375%78.467.4+11.0
7 Wake Forest129375%68.064.2+3.8
8 NC State117464%73.166.0+7.1
9 California117464%81.576.3+5.3
10 Boston College117464%70.269.0+1.2
11 Virginia106460%61.460.2+1.2
12 North Carolina116555%86.579.7+6.8
13 Louisville116555%76.970.9+6.0
14 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
15 Syracuse105550%79.379.5-0.2
16 Virginia Tech115645%71.270.4+0.8
17 Georgia Tech104640%75.073.7+1.3
18 Miami (FL)114736%79.173.6+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist97278%70.868.3+2.4
2 Mount St. Mary's116555%71.276.4-5.2
3 Fairfield105550%71.473.9-2.5
4 Niagara115645%68.371.3-3.0
5 Quinnipiac115645%70.373.5-3.2
6 Siena115645%66.069.5-3.5
7 Merrimack Warriors115645%62.766.7-4.0
8 St. Peters94544%71.966.9+5.0
9 Manhattan94544%73.877.1-3.3
10 Sacred Heart104640%72.374.9-2.6
11 Rider114736%63.571.5-8.0
12 Iona113827%66.074.0-8.0
13 Canisius110110%62.080.3-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford393574
Merrimack Warriors303868
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