Stanford faces Oakland on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the model names Stanford the clear favourite, rating them 86% to win thanks to a 1-0 season record, 74.0 points scored and 65.0 allowed per game, and a league position of 174. Oakland, with a 0-1 record, 68.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game, and a league position of 317, is the underdog. Stanford's single game shows a 74-65 home victory, and they have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a 74-65 win over East Washington on 2 November 2026, while Oakland has lost 3 of its last 5, most recently a 68-84 loss to Michigan on 2 November 2026. The teams have not met before. Pythia projects an 85-72 score, with a 156.7 total, and gives Stanford a 42% chance to cover the -14.5 line and a 62% chance the game will go over the 151.5 total; the overtime probability is 3%. The game ends with Stanford's 85 points, Oakland's 72.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stanford winWon
86.1%fair 1.16
Best odds1.09
Implied88.9%
Edge-2.8pp
Oakland winLost
13.9%fair 7.21
Best odds9.00
Implied11.1%
Edge+2.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Over 141.5
Over 141.5
82.3%
@ 1.47+18.9pp
Under 141.5
17.7%
@ 2.60-18.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 146.5 · main lineActual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
73.1%
@ 1.93+23.1pp
Under 146.5
26.9%
@ 1.93-23.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
62.1%
@ 2.60+16.9pp
Under 151.5
37.9%
@ 1.83-16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.10
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Stanford total 77Actual: Stanford over 77
Over 77
78.4%
Under 77
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stanford total 81 · main linePush
Over 81
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.2pp
Under 81
35.5%
@ 1.87-14.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Stanford total 85Actual: Stanford under 85
Over 85
48.1%
Under 85
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oakland total 64Actual: Oakland under 64
Over 64
79.5%
Under 64
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oakland total 68 · main lineActual: Oakland under 68
Over 68
66.0%
@ 1.85+15.8pp
Under 68
34.0%
@ 1.86-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Oakland total 72Actual: Oakland under 72
Over 72
49.9%
Under 72
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Stanford -16.5Actual: Stanford -16.5
STAN -16.5
35.5%
@ 2.34-5.4pp
OAKL +16.5
64.5%
@ 1.62+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.22
OAKL
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57
Spread Stanford -13.5 · main lineActual: Stanford -13.5
STAN -13.5
45.9%
@ 1.90-4.8pp
OAKL +13.5
54.1%
@ 1.95+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
OAKL
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Spread Stanford -10.5Actual: Stanford -10.5
STAN -10.5
56.7%
@ 1.50-5.2pp
OAKL +10.5
43.3%
@ 2.50+5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
OAKL
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.37
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
StanfordOakland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 148
70.4%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
-
+24.0pp
Lost
Over 147
72.6%
1.91
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
-
+23.7pp
Lost
Over 147.5
71.1%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
+23.5pp
Lost
Over 146
74.6%
1.81
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
-
-
+23.4pp
Lost
Over 146.5
73.1%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
+23.1pp
Lost
Oakland over 64.5
77.2%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Over 145
76.6%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.79
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.68
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Oakland over 65.5
74.1%
1.71
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.52
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Over 145.5
75.1%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.73
+22.8pp
Lost
Oakland over 66.5
70.7%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.96
BetVictor
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.85
+22.7pp
Lost
Over 144.5
77.0%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
-
-
+22.5pp
Lost
Over 144
78.5%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
-
+21.5pp
Push
Over 143.5
78.9%
1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Over 143
80.3%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+20.5pp
Won
Over 142.5
80.6%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Won
Over 142
82.0%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Won
Oakland over 62.5
82.8%
1.45
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Won
Oakland over 63.5
80.1%
1.49
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+19.2pp
Lost
Over 141.5
82.3%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Won
Stanford over 78.5
72.9%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.53
-
-
+18.7pp
Won
Over 140.5
83.8%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Over 141
83.6%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Over 140
85.1%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Over 139.5
85.3%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Over 139
86.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Oakland over 61.5
85.2%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Won
Over 138.5
86.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Stanford over 76.5
79.1%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+15.1pp
Won
Oakland over 59.5
89.3%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
Stanford over 77.5
76.1%
1.49
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Over 136.5
89.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Oakland over 60.5
87.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Stanford over 75.5
81.8%
1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Over 137.5
88.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Oakland over 57.5
92.5%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
Oakland over 56.5
93.8%
1.10
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Over 131.5
93.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Over 132.5
93.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Oakland over 55.5
94.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Oakland over 58.5
91.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Over 126.5
96.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Oakland over 53.5
96.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Over 127.5
96.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Oakland over 51.5
97.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Oakland over 54.5
95.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Oakland +19.5
73.7%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Oakland +18.5
70.8%
1.42
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Oakland +19
73.0%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Oakland over 52.5
97.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Oakland +22
81.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Oakland +20.5
76.5%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Oakland +21.5
79.1%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Oakland +20
75.8%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Over 135.5
90.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Oakland +22.5
81.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Over 130.5
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Oakland +21
78.5%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Oakland over 50.5
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Over 125.5
97.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Oakland +24.5
85.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.1%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1pp
-
Stanford under 101.5
95.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Stanford under 102.5
96.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Stanford +6.5
94.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Stanford (regulation)
84.4%
1.09
Betano
1.10
Marathon Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Stanford under 99.5
93.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Stanford under 97.5
90.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Stanford -5.5
73.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Stanford win
86.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathon Bet
1.08
Pinnacle
1.08
Bet365
1.07
-2.8pp
Won
Stanford -6.5
70.4%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Stanford under 95.5
86.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Stanford -6
72.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Stanford under 92.5
78.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Under 175.5
87.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Stanford -4.5
76.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
Stanford under 93.5
81.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Won
Stanford under 91.5
75.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
Under 172.5
83.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Under 170.5
80.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Under 171.5
81.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
Stanford under 90.5
72.6%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-10.5pp
Won
Oakland under 79.5
76.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-12.2pp
Won
Oakland under 78.5
73.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-12.3pp
Won
Under 165.5
70.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-13.5pp
Won
Under 167.5
74.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-14.5pp
Won
Oakland under 77.5
70.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-16.1pp
Won
Under 166.5
72.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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