Stanford faces Rice on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Stanford the clear favourite, rating them 94% to win thanks to their undefeated 2-0 record, 77.5 points per game and 64.0 allowed per game, both at home and overall, and a league position of 111 that signals strong performance; Rice, in contrast, sits 1-1 with 85.5 points scored and 63.5 allowed per game and a league position of 181, giving the model a 6% chance of victory for the visitors. Stanford's two home games have both been wins, 81-63 over Oakland on 6 November and 74-65 over East Washington on 2 November, while Rice's last five games include a 71-72 loss to East Texas A&M on 5 November and a 100-55 win over Dallas Christian on 2 November, with a 80-71 victory over UTSA on 8 March. The teams have met once before, with the most recent meeting noted in the record. Pythia projects a score of 84-66 for Stanford, a total of 150.3 points, a home line of -17.5 with a 51% chance of covering, an over line of 145.5 with a 62% chance of the over, and a 2% probability of overtime. The game ends with Stanford's 84-66 win.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stanford winWon
93.7%fair 1.07
Best odds1.04
Implied92.7%
Edge+1.0pp
Rice winLost
6.3%fair 15.94
Best odds15.50
Implied7.3%
Edge-1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Over 140.5
Over 140.5
72.7%
@ 1.47+8.1pp
Under 140.5
27.3%
@ 2.75-8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Over 145.5
Over 145.5
61.6%
@ 1.90+11.3pp
Under 145.5
38.4%
@ 1.95-11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
49.4%
@ 2.50+11.4pp
Under 150.5
50.6%
@ 1.50-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Stanford total 78Actual: Stanford over 78
Over 78
73.9%
Under 78
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stanford total 82 · main lineActual: Stanford over 82
Over 82
58.7%
@ 1.85+8.6pp
Under 82
41.3%
@ 1.86-8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Stanford total 86Actual: Stanford over 86
Over 86
42.0%
Under 86
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rice total 60Actual: Rice over 60
Over 60
73.9%
Under 60
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rice total 64 · main lineActual: Rice over 64
Over 64
58.8%
@ 1.85+8.8pp
Under 64
41.2%
@ 1.85-8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Rice total 68Actual: Rice over 68
Over 68
42.3%
Under 68
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Stanford -21.5Actual: Rice +21.5
STAN -21.5
37.1%
@ 2.47-2.5pp
RICE +21.5
62.9%
@ 1.64+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
1.98
RICE
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
Spread Stanford -18.5 · main lineActual: Rice +18.5
STAN -18.5
47.5%
@ 2.02-2.1pp
RICE +18.5
52.5%
@ 1.91+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.93
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
RICE
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.78
Spread Stanford -15.5Actual: Stanford -15.5
STAN -15.5
58.2%
@ 1.66+0.5pp
RICE +15.5
41.8%
@ 2.30-0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
STAN
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.55
RICE
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.07
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
StanfordRice
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Stanford over 78.5
71.5%
1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
Rice over 57.5
80.7%
1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.22
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Stanford over 76.5
77.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Rice over 60.5
71.4%
1.48
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Won
Stanford over 74.5
83.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Over 141.5
70.6%
1.50
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Stanford over 72.5
87.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Stanford over 77.5
74.8%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Over 140.5
72.7%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Over 139.5
74.8%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Over 138
78.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Rice over 59.5
74.8%
1.37
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Over 140
74.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Over 141
72.1%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Over 138.5
76.7%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Over 137.5
78.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Rice over 56.5
83.3%
1.21
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Rice over 58.5
77.9%
1.29
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Over 139
76.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Stanford over 75.5
80.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Over 135.5
82.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Stanford over 73.5
85.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Rice over 53.5
89.7%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Rice over 54.5
87.9%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Rice over 55.5
85.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Over 136.5
80.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Stanford +6.5
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Stanford (regulation)
92.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathon Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Over 125.5
93.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Rice over 51.5
92.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Over 130.5
89.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Over 126.5
93.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Stanford -10
76.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Stanford +1.5
94.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Stanford +2.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Rice over 52.5
91.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Stanford -9.5
77.0%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Rice +25
74.5%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Rice +24
71.5%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Stanford under 99.5
94.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Stanford under 101.5
96.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Over 131.5
87.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Rice +24.5
72.4%
1.32
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Stanford -2.5
91.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Stanford -7.5
82.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Stanford -10.5
74.3%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Stanford under 100.5
95.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Stanford -3.5
90.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Stanford -11.5
71.3%
1.32
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Stanford under 98.5
92.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Stanford win
93.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
+1.0pp
Won
Stanford under 97.5
91.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Stanford -8.5
79.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Stanford -12
70.4%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Stanford under 96.5
89.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Stanford under 95.5
87.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Stanford -11
73.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Rice under 79.5
90.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Under 171.5
90.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Stanford under 93.5
83.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Stanford under 94.5
85.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Rice under 77.5
86.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Under 170.5
89.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Stanford under 89.5
70.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Lost
Stanford under 92.5
80.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Under 166.5
84.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Rice under 75.5
82.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Stanford under 91.5
77.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Rice under 73.5
76.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
Stanford under 90.5
74.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Lost
Rice under 74.5
79.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Under 165.5
82.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Rice under 72.5
73.7%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Lost
Rice under 71.5
70.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Lost
Under 161.5
75.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Lost
Under 160.5
73.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.3pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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