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Stariy Lutsk vs BC Dnipro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 62-90
9-29 14-26 13-15 26-20
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game66.2
Stariy Lutsk
Ukraine
vs
BC Dnipro 🏆
Ukraine
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game66.2
UkraineFBU Superleague· ODYuSSh (Lutsk)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro
07 Mar 2026
STAR70
DNI95
25 Oct 2025
STAR79
DNI85
14 Feb 2025
STAR69
DNI86
07 Dec 2024
STAR58
DNI91
18 Mar 2024
STAR69
DNI97
19 Oct 2023
STAR62
DNI90
20 Dec 2022
STAR52
DNI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Dnipro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#1
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A19/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H28/03
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
no box
H29/03
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
A07/04
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H08/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
61-82
61
82
-21
45avg 58
A06/10
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 58
A07/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
44avg 58
A08/10
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
65avg 58
H18/10
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
13-29
21-17
10-23
22-25
23-22
11-22
20-17
17-9
25-20
9-16
10-23
20-23
21-17
22-13
24-23
18-12
12-21
19-16
18-25
17-22
14-19
22-11
11-17
8-23
20-11
10-22
23-26
15-16
22-20
20-17
21-20
14-9
13-12
14-18
8-15
20-11
27-17
19-10
6-18
141.3Avg total
67.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.066.2131.2-1.250%
Season at home (1)72.056.0128.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)62.769.7132.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)67.673.7141.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)64.866.8131.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.482.2149.7-14.86%
vs Similar (8)67.471.4138.8-4.025%
vs Weaker (4)70.064.0134.0+6.075%
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDnipro
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#1
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H28/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#9
W
91-63
91
63
+28
no box
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A07/04
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A08/04
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H09/04
FBU Superleague
Budivelnyk
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A03/10
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
74avg 82
A04/10
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
79-58
79
58
+21
78avg 82
A05/10
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 82
A17/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
81avg 82
A18/10
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-9
18-23
18-26
19-15
30-16
29-18
13-14
19-16
18-18
16-15
28-16
18-21
20-16
23-16
17-16
18-21
20-19
23-23
17-19
17-15
20-21
22-15
13-15
21-19
24-13
14-18
19-19
20-20
19-16
18-8
22-14
23-17
26-14
18-18
24-24
17-14
30-15
15-20
16-16
148.8Avg total
80.4Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.666.2145.8+13.4100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)79.666.2145.8+13.4100%
Last 10 (10)80.468.4148.8+12.090%
Last 5 (5)79.666.2145.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.073.0141.0-5.033%
vs Similar (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.164.4145.5+16.788%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
Stariy LutskBC Dnipro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#1
L
30-59
30
59
-29
A19/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/03
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H29/03
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A07/04
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A06/10
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A08/10
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H18/10
FBU Superleague
72.6Avg total
35.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.338.873.1-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.537.572.0-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)34.139.974.0-5.824%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.872.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.066.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.240.876.0-5.628%-
vs Similar (8)31.636.968.5-5.225%-
vs Weaker (4)35.534.069.5+1.550%-
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#1
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H28/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/03
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/04
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/04
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/04
FBU Superleague
Budivelnyk
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/10
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A04/10
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/10
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A17/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
FBU Superleague
75.2Avg total
42.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.732.273.9+9.590%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.032.975.9+10.186%-
Last 30 away (15)40.531.672.1+8.993%-
Last 10 (10)42.133.175.2+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.876.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.736.372.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.631.674.2+11.096%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.8
48.8%
49.5%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.8
25.0%
30.6%20.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
72.1%
71.9%12.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.6
50.6%
49.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
30.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
71.9%12.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stariy Lutsk
WLWLLLWLLL
BC Dnipro
WWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-3.1
Net rating
+4.9
87.7
Offensive rating
100.9
90.8
Defensive rating
96.0
43.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
26.6%
Turnover %
25.2%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.0%
3-point %
35.2%
70.0%
Assist %
77.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 100.9Defence90.8 · 96.0Shooting43.7% · 51.5%3-point %25.0% · 35.2%Ball care26.6% · 25.2%Off. rebounds34.0% · 35.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Stariy Lutsk   ■ BC Dnipro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stariy Lutsk wins
4
BC Dnipro wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk96-78
11/02/23BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk97-94
20/12/22Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro52-66
24/11/22BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk92-79
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HKryvbas72-56
08/10/23AGoverla49-54
07/10/23ABC Halychyna78-73
06/10/23ARivne61-82
08/04/23HGoverla64-69
07/04/23ACherkaski Mavpy67-74
30/03/23HBC Halychyna87-76
29/03/23HBIPA61-68
28/03/23HKyiv Basket76-86
19/03/23ABudivelnyk61-99
BC Dniprolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ACherkaski Mavpy78-65
17/10/23AKyiv Basket91-73
05/10/23ABIPA79-58
04/10/23ABK Zaporozhye78-69
03/10/23ABudivelnyk72-66
09/04/23HBIPA78-82
08/04/23ABC Halychyna78-69
07/04/23AKyiv Basket81-65
30/03/23HBK Zaporozhye91-63
28/03/23HBudivelnyk78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game65.072.062.7
Allowed / game66.256.069.7
Point differential-1.2+16.0-7.0
Avg total131.2128.0132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Dnipro
FBU Superleague 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.6-79.6
Allowed / game66.2-66.2
Point differential+13.4-+13.4
Avg total145.8-145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%-60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro550100%79.666.2+13.4
2 Rivne32167%78.069.0+9.0
3 Goverla32167%70.772.0-1.3
4 Cherkaski Mavpy53260%70.665.8+4.8
5 Budivelnyk21150%73.063.5+9.5
6 BK Zaporozhye21150%76.069.5+6.5
7 BIPA21150%62.561.5+1.0
8 Stariy Lutsk42250%65.066.2-1.2
9 BC Halychyna31233%71.374.0-2.7
10 Kyiv Basket41325%78.285.5-7.2
11 Kryvbas5050%53.474.6-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stariy Lutsk914132662
BC Dnipro2926152090
← all games of the day
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