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Stariy Lutsk vs Cherkaski Mavpy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 86-74
25-15 22-17 21-21 18-21
Position#10
Record3-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#8
Record6-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.1
UkraineFBU Superleague· ODYuSSh
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stariy Lutsk v Cherkaski Mavpy
21 Feb 2026
STAR86
CHER74
25 Jan 2025
STAR63
CHER59
20 Oct 2024
STAR68
CHER71
17 Dec 2023
STAR63
CHER75
11 Jan 2023
STAR72
CHER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stariy Lutsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherkaski Mavpy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 60
A10/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
102-77
102
77
+25
87avg 60
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H17/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
66avg 60
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
45avg 60
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
75avg 60
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 60
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
64avg 60
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
66avg 60
H20/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
12-21
21-22
20-24
26-19
20-24
33-11
23-23
23-24
24-25
15-27
20-10
14-23
19-20
19-19
25-19
17-26
23-25
14-15
23-24
19-27
19-19
8-9
13-16
24-16
23-17
18-20
25-19
22-26
19-15
18-27
25-21
23-18
18-19
19-20
20-17
23-25
20-18
20-17
17-24
160.9Avg total
79.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.382.9159.2-6.614%
Season at home (10)76.284.6160.8-8.410%
Season away (12)76.481.5157.9-5.117%
Last 10 (10)79.981.0160.9-1.130%
Last 5 (5)78.678.0156.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.483.9158.3-9.46%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.379.3153.7-5.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cherkaski Mavpy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherkaski MavpyUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavpy
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 65
H05/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
62-64
62
64
-2
54avg 65
H06/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
67-93
67
93
-26
44avg 65
H10/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
77avg 65
H11/01
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A19/01
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
58avg 65
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
56-69
56
69
-13
42avg 65
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
81-72
81
72
+9
75avg 65
H13/02
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
66avg 65
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
79avg 65
A20/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-7
20-21
9-21
15-18
18-9
15-16
14-21
14-34
13-21
21-22
19-16
27-25
21-20
15-16
17-29
17-20
15-22
19-19
9-19
12-28
21-24
15-30
22-19
10-18
19-17
8-18
19-16
24-22
21-14
18-18
18-18
18-23
19-18
20-19
17-20
22-18
29-21
18-31
22-20
151.8Avg total
70.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.080.1154.1-6.129%
Season at home (11)73.379.0152.3-5.718%
Season away (10)74.881.3156.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)70.980.9151.8-10.020%
Last 5 (5)74.482.4156.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.481.3154.7-7.921%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.476.3148.7-3.947%
vs Weaker (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
Stariy LutskCherkaski Mavpy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/02
FBU Superleague
82.9Avg total
40.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.677.8-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.780.0-3.513%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.575.7-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.682.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.541.078.5-3.522%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.840.076.8-3.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cherkaski Mavpy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherkaski MavpyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H06/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
27-55
27
55
-28
H10/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/01
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/01
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A20/02
FBU Superleague
77.4Avg total
37.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.975.9-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.738.676.3-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)36.139.375.4-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.077.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.940.679.5-1.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.537.773.1-2.247%-
vs Weaker (1)31.035.066.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.324.9
49.5%
49.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.64.9
29.5%
30.6%14.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
70.3%13.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherkaski Mavpytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherkaski Mavpy: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.2
45.7%
49.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
30.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
70.3%12.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stariy Lutsk
LWLWLLLLWL
Cherkaski Mavpy
WLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#8
-2.0
Net rating
-10.1
89.6
Offensive rating
88.9
91.6
Defensive rating
99.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
31.2%
28.2%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 88.9Defence91.6 · 99.0Shooting48.2% · 46.1%3-point %29.5% · 31.2%Ball care15.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Stariy Lutsk   ■ Cherkaski Mavpy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stariy Lutsk wins
7
Cherkaski Mavpy wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HKharkivski Sokoly80-84
14/02/26ACherkaski Mavpy80-74
13/02/26AKharkivski Sokoly84-89
07/02/26HKyiv Basket90-72
06/02/26HRivne59-71
31/01/26AGoverla77-90
18/01/26HNiko-Basket Mykolaiv77-81
17/01/26HKryvbas82-86
11/01/26ABK Zaporozhye102-77
10/01/26ABC Dnipro68-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26AGoverla91-90
14/02/26HStariy Lutsk74-80
13/02/26HGoverla81-72
07/02/26ANiko-Basket Mykolaiv56-69
31/01/26ABC Dnipro70-101
19/01/26AKharkivski Sokoly60-80
11/01/26HRivne80-90
10/01/26HKyiv Basket67-93
06/12/25HKryvbas62-64
05/12/25HNiko-Basket Mykolaiv68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL14%
HomeLLLWL10%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %14%10%17%
Points / game76.376.276.4
Allowed / game82.984.681.5
Point differential-6.6-8.4-5.1
Avg total159.2160.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Cherkaski Mavpy
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLWL18%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%18%40%
Points / game74.073.374.8
Allowed / game80.179.081.3
Point differential-6.1-5.7-6.5
Avg total154.1152.3156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro2119290%85.169.8+15.3
2 Kharkivski Sokoly2117481%81.473.7+7.7
3 Kyiv Basket2315865%77.573.0+4.4
4 Kryvbas2013765%79.275.2+4.0
5 Goverla22111150%77.279.6-2.4
6 Rivne23101343%75.976.5-0.6
7 BK Zaporozhye2191243%76.882.0-5.2
8 Cherkaski Mavpy2161529%74.080.1-6.1
9 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv2461825%71.980.9-9.0
10 Stariy Lutsk2231914%76.382.9-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stariy Lutsk2522211886
Cherkaski Mavpy1517212174
← all games of the day
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