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BC Dnipro vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-68
19-15 21-12 22-21 24-20
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#10
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game84.5
UkraineFBU Superleague
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk
10 Jan 2026
DNI86
STAR68
02 Feb 2025
DNI96
STAR52
06 Nov 2024
DNI76
STAR64
12 Jan 2024
DNI76
STAR39
18 Mar 2023
DNI96
STAR78
11 Feb 2023
DNI97
STAR94
24 Nov 2022
DNI92
STAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Dnipro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC DniproUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDnipro
Date
Competition
Kryvbas
#3
W
81-72
81
72
+9
80avg 76
H19/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 76
A24/10
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 76
A25/10
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
70-69
70
69
+1
71avg 76
H01/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
86avg 76
H02/11
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
W
75-67
75
67
+8
72avg 76
H15/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 76
H16/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
76avg 76
A07/12
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
95avg 76
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
77-58
77
58
+19
78avg 76
A21/12
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-20
22-20
11-12
27-14
18-13
20-23
15-19
23-24
23-18
21-17
18-20
22-17
17-22
14-16
17-14
25-19
12-17
22-29
22-16
22-17
10-18
22-20
21-12
25-18
16-23
29-20
17-20
20-22
22-13
17-18
19-17
28-20
27-15
25-7
16-14
23-17
18-12
23-16
13-13
153.1Avg total
81.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.468.8149.1+11.693%
Season at home (7)80.471.7152.1+8.786%
Season away (7)80.365.9146.1+14.4100%
Last 10 (10)81.971.2153.1+10.790%
Last 5 (5)82.666.4149.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.589.0155.5-22.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.968.6148.6+11.393%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Rivne
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
64avg 59
H12/10
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
74avg 59
A18/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
49avg 59
A19/10
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
L
65-93
65
93
-28
56avg 59
H24/10
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
62avg 59
H25/10
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
62-73
62
73
-11
48avg 59
A31/10
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
51avg 59
A01/11
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
64avg 59
H28/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
53avg 59
A06/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
79-81
79
81
-2
63avg 59
A07/12
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
13-23
16-16
25-29
14-23
22-19
19-26
22-22
16-15
19-22
19-17
15-21
14-16
18-24
10-28
23-25
24-23
18-23
17-21
20-18
23-19
13-13
16-23
10-18
15-16
10-22
18-21
23-19
17-15
31-19
17-21
11-21
18-14
14-20
20-15
17-24
27-25
18-18
10-24
24-14
155.2Avg total
72.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.384.5157.8-11.20%
Season at home (5)74.890.4165.2-15.60%
Season away (7)72.380.3152.6-8.00%
Last 10 (10)72.682.6155.2-10.00%
Last 5 (5)72.278.8151.0-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.380.9150.2-11.711%
vs Similar (12)73.278.3151.5-5.217%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
BC DniproStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kryvbas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H19/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A24/10
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A25/10
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/11
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H16/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A07/12
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A21/12
FBU Superleague
78.5Avg total
42.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.475.5+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.976.2+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.934.974.8+5.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.978.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.077.2+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.049.579.5-19.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.934.475.2+6.579%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivne
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H12/10
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/10
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/10
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H25/10
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A31/10
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/11
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A07/12
FBU Superleague
75.5Avg total
36.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.373.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.839.975.8-4.115%-
Last 30 away (17)35.137.072.1-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.075.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.238.974.1-3.728%-
vs Similar (12)35.837.373.2-1.542%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.2%
49.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
30.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
70.3%14.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.5
49.7%
49.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.5
24.4%
30.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
70.3%12.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Dnipro
WWWWWLWWWW
Stariy Lutsk
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+15.2
Net rating
-14.5
112.1
Offensive rating
97.8
96.9
Defensive rating
112.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
45.2%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
24.4%
76.6%
Assist %
39.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 97.8Defence96.9 · 112.3Shooting52.0% · 45.2%3-point %33.6% · 24.4%Ball care18.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds35.0% · 37.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 0%
■ BC Dnipro   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
BC Dnipro wins
0
Stariy Lutsk wins
BC Dniprolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AKryvbas77-58
20/12/25ANiko-Basket Mykolaiv96-56
07/12/25ABK Zaporozhye78-70
16/11/25HCherkaski Mavpy87-81
15/11/25HKharkivski Sokoly75-67
02/11/25HRivne90-91 OT
01/11/25HKyiv Basket70-69
25/10/25AStariy Lutsk85-79
24/10/25AGoverla80-69
19/10/25HKryvbas81-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ARivne79-81
06/12/25AKyiv Basket69-73
28/11/25HGoverla85-89 OT
01/11/25ANiko-Basket Mykolaiv66-78
31/10/25AKryvbas62-73
25/10/25HBC Dnipro79-85
24/10/25HBK Zaporozhye65-93
19/10/25ACherkaski Mavpy69-75
18/10/25AKharkivski Sokoly77-90
12/10/25HRivne75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Dnipro
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%86%100%
Points / game80.480.480.3
Allowed / game68.871.765.9
Point differential+11.6+8.7+14.4
Avg total149.1152.1146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%29%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.374.872.3
Allowed / game84.590.480.3
Point differential-11.2-15.6-8.0
Avg total157.8165.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro1413193%80.468.8+11.6
2 Kyiv Basket1410471%80.172.4+7.8
3 Kharkivski Sokoly1410471%80.975.1+5.8
4 Goverla137654%76.778.6-1.9
5 Kryvbas158753%75.074.3+0.7
6 BK Zaporozhye158753%78.378.9-0.6
7 Rivne156940%74.374.3+0.0
8 Cherkaski Mavpy1441029%74.478.6-4.1
9 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv1441029%70.280.0-9.8
10 Stariy Lutsk120120%73.384.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Dnipro1921222486
Stariy Lutsk1512212068
← all games of the day
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