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Stariy Lutsk vs Kryvbas Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-21
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#3
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.2
UkraineFBU Superleague· ODYuSSh
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stariy Lutsk v Kryvbas
17 Jan 2026
STAR82
KRYV86
26 Jan 2025
STAR63
KRYV66
19 Oct 2024
STAR74
KRYV79
17 Mar 2024
STAR85
KRYV66
18 Oct 2023
STAR72
KRYV56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stariy Lutsk win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kryvbas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
66avg 61
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
45avg 61
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
75avg 61
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 61
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
64avg 61
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
66avg 61
H20/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
84avg 61
H21/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
48avg 61
H07/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
52avg 61
H08/03
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
19-20
19-19
25-19
17-26
23-25
14-15
23-24
19-27
19-19
8-9
13-16
24-16
23-17
18-20
25-19
22-26
19-15
18-27
25-21
23-18
18-19
19-20
20-17
23-25
20-18
20-17
17-24
25-15
22-17
21-21
18-21
13-17
16-28
23-21
18-29
13-18
21-20
16-26
28-20
159.5Avg total
78.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.583.1159.6-6.616%
Season at home (13)76.684.5161.2-7.915%
Season away (12)76.481.5157.9-5.117%
Last 10 (10)78.181.4159.5-3.330%
Last 5 (5)78.882.2161.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.484.5158.9-10.26%
vs Similar (13)74.778.7153.4-4.023%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kryvbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KryvbasUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKryvbas
Date
Competition
Rivne
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
63avg 66
H16/11
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
70avg 66
A05/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
64-62
64
62
+2
51avg 66
A06/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 66
H20/12
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
58-77
58
77
-19
41avg 66
H21/12
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
71avg 66
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A17/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A18/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 66
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
108-81
108
81
+27
98avg 66
A01/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
17-21
17-15
26-19
21-38
21-16
21-32
22-10
18-15
9-18
16-15
21-14
25-14
19-21
19-20
21-13
17-23
12-18
16-23
13-13
27-16
18-18
18-17
22-19
24-23
25-24
27-15
10-20
23-11
22-16
20-20
22-25
23-23
24-20
21-17
25-26
26-18
32-20
26-16
24-27
158.9Avg total
82.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.275.2154.4+4.065%
Season at home (9)75.071.1146.1+3.967%
Season away (11)82.678.6161.3+4.064%
Last 10 (10)82.576.4158.9+6.180%
Last 5 (5)91.878.2170.0+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.876.2141.0-11.30%
vs Similar (9)75.276.3151.6-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.173.7154.7+7.473%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Stariy LutskKryvbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/03
FBU Superleague
80.2Avg total
39.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.477.5-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.379.4-3.120%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.575.7-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.980.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.077.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.241.478.6-4.224%-
vs Similar (13)37.139.076.1-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kryvbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KryvbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivne
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H16/11
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A05/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/12
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/12
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/12
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A18/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A01/02
FBU Superleague
80.6Avg total
41.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.775.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.336.773.0-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.778.8+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.837.886.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.238.073.2-2.833%-
vs Similar (9)35.739.975.6-4.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.036.277.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.226.2
50.2%
49.2%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.2
29.5%
30.6%15.6
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
70.3%12.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kryvbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kryvbas: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.3
51.7%
49.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
70.3%12.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stariy Lutsk
LLWLWLWLLL
Kryvbas
WWWWWLWWLW
#10
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+8.5
88.4
Offensive rating
102.0
89.1
Defensive rating
93.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
31.3%
29.9%
Assist %
39.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 102.0Defence89.1 · 93.5Shooting48.7% · 50.1%3-point %29.5% · 31.3%Ball care14.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds- · 36.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Stariy Lutsk   ■ Kryvbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stariy Lutsk wins
6
Kryvbas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HBK Zaporozhye78-84
07/03/26HBC Dnipro70-95
21/02/26HCherkaski Mavpy86-74
20/02/26HKharkivski Sokoly80-84
14/02/26ACherkaski Mavpy80-74
13/02/26AKharkivski Sokoly84-89
07/02/26HKyiv Basket90-72
06/02/26HRivne59-71
31/01/26AGoverla77-90
18/01/26HNiko-Basket Mykolaiv77-81
Kryvbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ARivne108-81
31/01/26AKyiv Basket93-86
18/01/26AGoverla87-72
17/01/26AStariy Lutsk86-82
11/01/26ANiko-Basket Mykolaiv85-70
21/12/25HBC Dnipro58-77
20/12/25HBK Zaporozhye84-68
06/12/25ACherkaski Mavpy64-62
05/12/25AKharkivski Sokoly85-96
16/11/25HRivne75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL16%
HomeWLWLL15%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %16%15%17%
Points / game76.576.676.4
Allowed / game83.184.581.5
Point differential-6.6-7.9-5.1
Avg total159.6161.2157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Kryvbas
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game79.275.082.6
Allowed / game75.271.178.6
Point differential+4.0+3.9+4.0
Avg total154.4146.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro2422292%85.969.3+16.5
2 Kharkivski Sokoly2520580%81.174.4+6.7
3 Kryvbas2013765%79.275.2+4.0
4 Kyiv Basket25151060%76.773.6+3.1
5 Goverla25121348%77.079.5-2.5
6 Rivne25111444%75.877.4-1.7
7 BK Zaporozhye24101442%76.781.8-5.1
8 Cherkaski Mavpy2581732%74.879.4-4.6
9 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv2461825%71.980.9-9.0
10 Stariy Lutsk2542116%76.583.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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