PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Stariy Lutsk vs BC Dnipro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-95
13-17 16-28 23-21 18-29
Position#10
Record4-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game82.5
Stariy Lutsk
Ukraine
vs
BC Dnipro 🏆
Ukraine
Position#1
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game69.3
UkraineFBU Superleague· ODYuSSh
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro
07 Mar 2026
STAR70
DNI95
25 Oct 2025
STAR79
DNI85
14 Feb 2025
STAR69
DNI86
07 Dec 2024
STAR58
DNI91
18 Mar 2024
STAR69
DNI97
19 Oct 2023
STAR62
DNI90
20 Dec 2022
STAR52
DNI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Dnipro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
102-77
102
77
+25
87avg 60
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H17/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
66avg 60
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
45avg 60
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
75avg 60
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 60
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
64avg 60
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
66avg 60
H20/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
84avg 60
H21/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
20-24
33-11
23-23
23-24
24-25
15-27
20-10
14-23
19-20
19-19
25-19
17-26
23-25
14-15
23-24
19-27
19-19
8-9
13-16
24-16
23-17
18-20
25-19
22-26
19-15
18-27
25-21
23-18
18-19
19-20
20-17
23-25
20-18
20-17
17-24
25-15
22-17
21-21
18-21
161.5Avg total
81.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.782.5159.3-5.817%
Season at home (11)77.183.6160.7-6.518%
Season away (12)76.481.5157.9-5.117%
Last 10 (10)81.779.8161.5+1.940%
Last 5 (5)84.078.6162.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.483.9158.3-9.46%
vs Similar (12)74.478.2152.7-3.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDnipro
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
95avg 82
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
77-58
77
58
+19
78avg 82
A21/12
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
86-68
86
68
+18
95avg 82
H10/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
89-66
89
66
+23
96avg 82
H11/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A17/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A18/01
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
101-70
101
70
+31
105avg 82
H31/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
106avg 82
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
119-83
119
83
+36
128avg 82
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
W
98-58
98
58
+40
105avg 82
H28/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
27-15
25-7
16-14
23-17
18-12
23-16
13-13
19-15
21-12
22-21
24-20
16-24
33-13
27-15
13-14
23-21
16-21
16-14
14-19
29-12
26-16
24-24
22-21
28-12
24-21
30-15
19-22
20-21
26-8
27-15
25-24
39-24
29-27
24-17
27-15
27-11
22-15
24-12
25-20
160.9Avg total
93.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.769.3155.0+16.591%
Season at home (13)88.870.4159.2+18.492%
Season away (9)81.367.7149.0+13.789%
Last 10 (10)93.467.5160.9+25.990%
Last 5 (5)103.470.4173.8+33.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.589.0155.5-22.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.469.1152.5+14.389%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.2+8.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.2+8.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
Stariy LutskBC Dnipro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/01
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
FBU Superleague
84.1Avg total
42.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.277.7-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.079.7-2.320%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.575.7-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.884.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.281.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.541.078.5-3.522%-
vs Similar (12)37.339.176.4-1.842%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A21/12
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#10
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H10/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A17/01
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#6
W
55-28
55
28
+27
A18/01
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#8
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H31/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#7
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/02
FBU Superleague
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
#9
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Kharkivski Sokoly
#2
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H28/02
FBU Superleague
83.1Avg total
49.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.935.778.5+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.135.379.4+8.878%-
Last 30 away (12)41.036.277.2+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)49.433.783.1+15.790%-
Last 5 (5)54.033.487.4+20.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.049.579.5-19.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.834.778.5+9.179%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.525.5
50.5%
49.2%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.25.1
31.5%
30.6%15.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.5
69.9%
70.3%13.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.8 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.3
60.2%
49.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.9
39.3%
30.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws13.510.5
77.8%
70.3%10.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stariy Lutsk
WLWLWLLLLW
BC Dnipro
WWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+30.4
90.6
Offensive rating
111.8
90.5
Defensive rating
81.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
59.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
39.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.5%
3-point %
39.3%
31.0%
Assist %
78.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 111.8Defence90.5 · 81.4Shooting49.7% · 59.6%3-point %31.5% · 39.3%Ball care15.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds39.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Stariy Lutsk   ■ BC Dnipro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stariy Lutsk wins
10
BC Dnipro wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk86-68
25/10/25Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro79-85
14/02/25Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro69-86
02/02/25BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk96-52
07/12/24Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro58-91
06/11/24BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk76-64
18/03/24Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro69-97
12/01/24BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk76-39
19/10/23Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro62-90
18/03/23BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk96-78
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HCherkaski Mavpy86-74
20/02/26HKharkivski Sokoly80-84
14/02/26ACherkaski Mavpy80-74
13/02/26AKharkivski Sokoly84-89
07/02/26HKyiv Basket90-72
06/02/26HRivne59-71
31/01/26AGoverla77-90
18/01/26HNiko-Basket Mykolaiv77-81
17/01/26HKryvbas82-86
11/01/26ABK Zaporozhye102-77
BC Dniprolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HKharkivski Sokoly98-58
15/02/26HNiko-Basket Mykolaiv119-83
07/02/26HBK Zaporozhye98-68
31/01/26HCherkaski Mavpy101-70
18/01/26ARivne101-73
17/01/26AKyiv Basket69-75
11/01/26HGoverla89-66
10/01/26HStariy Lutsk86-68
21/12/25AKryvbas77-58
20/12/25ANiko-Basket Mykolaiv96-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW17%
HomeLLWLW18%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %17%18%17%
Points / game76.777.176.4
Allowed / game82.583.681.5
Point differential-5.8-6.5-5.1
Avg total159.3160.7157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
BC Dnipro
FBU Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %91%92%89%
Points / game85.788.881.3
Allowed / game69.370.467.7
Point differential+16.5+18.4+13.7
Avg total155.0159.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro2220291%85.769.3+16.5
2 Kharkivski Sokoly2520580%81.174.4+6.7
3 Kryvbas2013765%79.275.2+4.0
4 Kyiv Basket25151060%76.773.6+3.1
5 Goverla24121250%77.379.5-2.2
6 Rivne25111444%75.877.4-1.7
7 BK Zaporozhye2391439%76.482.0-5.6
8 Cherkaski Mavpy2581732%74.879.4-4.6
9 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv2461825%71.980.9-9.0
10 Stariy Lutsk2341917%76.782.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stariy Lutsk1316231870
BC Dnipro1728212995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.