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Stephen F. Austin vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 69-67
37-32 32-35
Position#12
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#331
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.
29 Dec 2026
STEP v NORT
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
STEP69
NORT67
25 Jan 2025
STEP54
NORT57
01 Dec 2022
STEP96
NORT102
20 Jan 2021
STEP86
NORT74
26 Feb 2020
STEP90
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
75-48
75
48
+27
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H10/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-22
52-33
39-30
36-18
37-31
37-33
37-31
36-32
38-34
26-32
43-28
42-39
28-19
28-27
41-41
43-38
45-24
34-38
43-41
45-40
141.2Avg total
78.1Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.565.5144.0+13.185%
Season at home (9)83.463.4146.9+20.0100%
Season away (11)74.567.1141.6+7.573%
Last 10 (10)78.163.1141.2+15.090%
Last 5 (5)78.467.0145.4+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.076.3146.3-6.333%
vs Similar (3)63.368.7132.0-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.466.3144.7+12.190%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
108-55
108
55
+53
H20/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H30/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H10/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
33-42
50-30
58-25
25-44
36-32
31-37
33-37
34-43
40-25
31-40
41-34
36-40
43-38
28-28
36-35
34-30
40-46
44-41
36-41
147.1Avg total
74.6Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.877.3150.2-4.532%
Season at home (8)77.270.5147.8+6.862%
Season away (11)69.682.3151.9-12.69%
Last 10 (10)74.672.5147.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)73.874.6148.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.576.9142.4-11.425%
vs Similar (10)72.068.2140.2+3.860%
vs Weaker (4)89.870.8160.5+19.075%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
Stephen F. AustinNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
40.2Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.569.5+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.932.370.1+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.232.869.0+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.230.170.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.670.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.536.870.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (3)34.331.065.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.531.468.8+6.180%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H20/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H30/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.236.068.2-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.533.768.2+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)30.237.968.1-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.072.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.138.767.8-9.612%-
vs Similar (10)32.933.866.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker (4)43.030.573.5+12.575%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ALamar88-81
20/01/26ANicholls State79-62
17/01/26ANew Orleans84-79
13/01/26HIncarnate Word56-46
10/01/26HHouston Christian85-67
06/01/26AMcNeese State64-66
03/01/26ASE Louisiana73-63
31/12/25ANorthwestern St.74-64
30/12/25AEast Texas A&M75-48
21/12/25HDallas Univ.103-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AHouston Christian80-82
17/01/26AIncarnate Word74-76
13/01/26HUTRGV64-63
10/01/26HTexas A&M-CC79-78
06/01/26ANicholls State72-74
03/01/26HNew Orleans74-68
31/12/25HStephen F. Austin64-74
30/12/25HLamar61-76
20/12/25HSouthern-New O.108-55
13/12/25ACalifornia70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %85%100%73%
Points / game78.583.474.5
Allowed / game65.563.467.1
Point differential+13.1+20.0+7.5
Avg total144.0146.9141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%89%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %32%62%9%
Points / game72.877.269.6
Allowed / game77.370.582.3
Point differential-4.5+6.8-12.6
Avg total150.2147.8151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2017385%78.565.5+13.1
2 McNeese State2016480%83.567.8+15.6
3 Texas A&M-CC21111052%73.066.8+6.2
4 Lamar20101050%72.269.3+2.8
5 UTRGV1991047%72.768.4+4.4
6 Incarnate Word2091145%76.072.1+3.9
7 Nicholls State2081240%74.776.7-2.0
8 New Orleans2181338%76.181.0-4.9
9 Houston Christian2071335%68.874.5-5.7
10 Northwestern St.1961332%72.877.3-4.5
11 SE Louisiana2061430%65.269.3-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin373269
Northwestern St.323567
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