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McNeese State vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 66-64
34-38 32-26
Position#15
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#12
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · McNeese State v Stephen F. Austin
04 Jan 2027
MCNE v STEP
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
MCNE66
STEP64
20 Jan 2025
MCNE79
STEP59
21 Dec 2019
MCNE73
STEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A10/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
102-66
102
66
+36
H13/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A16/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-112
71
112
-41
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-39
45-47
40-17
33-43
28-34
44-28
32-34
35-37
58-24
34-30
37-37
29-27
59-29
43-37
33-40
45-28
29-60
42-52
39-34
43-36
150.8Avg total
79.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.469.2155.6+17.179%
Season at home (8)96.061.1157.1+34.9100%
Season away (6)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)79.571.3150.8+8.280%
Last 5 (5)79.876.0155.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.0112.0183.0-41.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.869.0139.8+1.875%
vs Weaker (25)82.564.5147.0+18.088%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A29/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
75-48
75
48
+27
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-39
36-41
24-32
39-28
33-26
28-40
29-26
44-34
47-37
49-39
25-34
44-26
51-22
52-33
39-30
36-18
37-31
37-33
37-31
36-32
139.7Avg total
76.5Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.664.9144.5+14.886%
Season at home (7)87.165.4152.6+21.7100%
Season away (7)72.164.3136.4+7.971%
Last 10 (10)76.563.2139.7+13.380%
Last 5 (5)78.858.0136.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.173.9141.0-6.830%
vs Similar ◀ (3)60.065.7125.7-5.733%
vs Weaker (16)78.466.4144.9+12.088%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +7.7+7.7
McNeese StateStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H06/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H13/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
29-60
29
60
-31
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/01
NCAA
75.0Avg total
40.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.430.669.0+7.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.525.667.1+15.980%-
Last 30 away (15)35.235.670.8-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.875.0+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.060.089.0-31.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)32.829.262.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (25)39.629.669.3+10.064%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A29/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.268.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.632.869.4+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)33.633.567.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.430.867.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.667.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.837.168.9-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)28.327.055.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker (16)37.131.868.8+5.381%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
McNeese State wins
2
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HLamar82-70
30/12/25AMichigan71-112
16/12/25AHouston Christian78-68
13/12/25HEast Texas A&M102-66
10/12/25ARhode Island66-64
06/12/25HNorthwestern St.92-54
02/12/25AIncarnate Word67-71
25/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.72-62
25/11/25HMurray State73-60
23/11/25AGeorge Washington92-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ASE Louisiana73-63
31/12/25ANorthwestern St.74-64
30/12/25AEast Texas A&M75-48
21/12/25HDallas Univ.103-55
18/12/25HTexas A&M-CC69-60
07/12/25HLouisiana Monroe96-76
04/12/25HUTRGV73-60
29/11/25AUT Arlington61-66
22/11/25APepperdine63-60
19/11/25AFresno State78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%100%50%
Points / game86.496.073.5
Allowed / game69.261.180.0
Point differential+17.1+34.9-6.5
Avg total155.6157.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game79.687.172.1
Allowed / game64.965.464.3
Point differential+14.8+21.7+7.9
Avg total144.5152.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%86%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1412286%79.664.9+14.8
2 McNeese State1411379%86.469.2+17.1
3 Incarnate Word148657%82.172.1+10.0
4 Texas A&M-CC147750%75.567.7+7.8
5 Lamar157847%71.368.2+3.1
6 Nicholls State146843%75.675.4+0.2
7 Houston Christian145936%69.674.4-4.8
8 UTRGV124833%74.270.3+3.9
9 SE Louisiana1551033%65.369.2-3.9
10 New Orleans1551033%75.281.3-6.1
11 Northwestern St.1441029%72.578.3-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State343266
Stephen F. Austin382664
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