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Stephen F. Austin vs Northwestern St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game61.2
Stephen F. Austin
USA
vs
Northwestern St.
USA
Position#338
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.
29 Dec 2026
STEP v NORT
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
STEP69
NORT67
25 Jan 2025
STEP54
NORT57
01 Dec 2022
STEP96
NORT102
20 Jan 2021
STEP86
NORT74
26 Feb 2020
STEP90
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#518
W
120-61
120
61
+59
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#513
W
89-32
89
32
+57
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#296
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#211
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
42-44
23-31
50-46
42-16
35-40
28-26
48-42
32-39
28-19
25-42
34-34
62-26
58-35
46-17
43-15
35-29
41-42
30-39
42-33
144.7Avg total
78.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.861.2152.0+29.575%
Season at home (3)95.758.0153.7+37.767%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.965.8144.7+13.170%
Last 5 (5)84.464.2148.6+20.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)63.367.3130.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.365.8143.0+11.592%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#87
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#101
L
44-82
44
82
-38
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#22
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#411
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
34-28
18-23
36-26
30-29
29-42
30-39
32-35
24-25
23-36
32-50
33-37
27-49
17-33
39-42
32-51
34-21
43-28
40-35
30-35
133.6Avg total
63.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Season at home (1)77.049.0126.0+28.0100%
Season away (4)65.886.5152.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)63.370.3133.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.975.4139.2-11.525%
vs Similar (12)67.568.2135.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (1)108.055.0163.0+53.0100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
Stephen F. AustinNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
42-16
42
16
+26
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#518
W
62-26
62
26
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#513
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#296
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#211
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H14/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.2Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.166.6+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.729.867.4+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)37.228.265.4+9.192%-
Last 10 (10)36.229.966.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)31.331.763.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.929.466.4+7.580%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#87
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#101
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#411
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.566.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.233.164.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (17)31.537.468.9-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.864.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.473.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.638.769.2-8.119%-
vs Similar (12)30.633.063.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (1)50.030.080.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Stephen F. Austin wins
2
Northwestern St. wins
DateGameScore
27/01/26Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.69-67
31/12/25Northwestern St. v Stephen F. Austin64-74
15/02/25Northwestern St. v Stephen F. Austin68-70
25/01/25Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.54-57 OT
14/11/23Northwestern St. v Stephen F. Austin70-96
02/12/22Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.96-102
28/11/21Northwestern St. v Stephen F. Austin68-72
25/02/21Northwestern St. v Stephen F. Austin57-83
21/01/21Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.86-74
27/02/20Stephen F. Austin v Northwestern St.90-59
Stephen F. Austinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRice78-81 OT
12/11/26AAbilene Christian76-71
07/11/26HTexas Lutheran89-32
03/11/26HLyon120-61
11/03/26HMcNeese State59-76
10/03/26HTexas A&M-CC60-58
03/03/26AIncarnate Word76-68
28/02/26AHouston Christian77-56
24/02/26HNew Orleans73-77
21/02/26HNicholls State81-78
Northwestern St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUALR83-84 OT
11/11/26HMillsaps77-49
08/11/26AMurray State71-93
06/11/26AMississippi St.44-82
03/11/26ABaylor65-87
09/03/26ANicholls State47-61
03/03/26AUTRGV62-74
28/02/26ATexas A&M-CC59-71
24/02/26HIncarnate Word54-49
21/02/26HHouston Christian71-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game90.895.776.0
Allowed / game61.258.071.0
Point differential+29.5+37.7+5.0
Avg total152.0153.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game68.077.065.8
Allowed / game79.049.086.5
Point differential-11.0+28.0-20.8
Avg total147.0126.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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