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Stetson vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-89 (OT)
38-40 35-33 10-16
Position#341
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#264
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stetson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A22/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Citadel
#361
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A16/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
78-103
78
103
-25
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H22/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H23/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
58-52
19-52
33-39
37-39
57-36
41-48
35-31
22-34
30-40
28-44
36-41
35-51
43-52
33-39
31-32
41-40
36-52
29-35
43-39
155.8Avg total
72.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.181.6153.8-9.512%
Season at home (4)77.879.2157.0-1.525%
Season away (4)66.584.0150.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)72.383.5155.8-11.220%
Last 5 (5)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Similar (12)77.477.2154.6+0.267%
vs Weaker (11)75.571.9147.5+3.673%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
125-54
125
54
+71
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
101-43
101
43
+58
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
47-49
28-37
29-33
59-29
66-25
22-51
42-44
45-13
56-30
32-42
34-33
32-36
40-48
30-40
44-34
30-35
42-40
40-29
46-43
155.0Avg total
81.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.573.4157.9+11.150%
Season at home (5)94.866.6161.4+28.280%
Season away (3)67.384.7152.0-17.30%
Last 10 (10)81.773.3155.0+8.450%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.274.8144.9-4.638%
vs Similar (10)71.477.1148.5-5.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.660.4158.0+37.2100%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -10.0-10.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.7+6.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -10.0-10.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.7+6.7
StetsonMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
19-52
19
52
-33
A22/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H05/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/11
NCAA
Citadel
#361
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
32.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.373.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.837.174.9+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)30.939.870.8-8.923%-
Last 10 (10)32.142.174.2-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.875.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.344.176.4-11.914%-
vs Similar (12)35.336.271.5-0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)35.836.972.7-1.155%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.969.0+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.031.868.8+5.253%-
Last 30 away (13)32.636.769.3-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.969.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.469.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.436.467.8-5.015%-
vs Similar (10)31.534.766.2-3.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.227.475.6+20.8100%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stetson wins
0
Mercer wins
No previous meetings.
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ASouth Florida72-74
23/11/24HLa Salle77-92
22/11/24HEast Carolina64-71
21/11/24AToledo78-103
16/11/24AOklahoma64-85
11/11/24ACitadel52-74
08/11/24HNebraska O.76-79
05/11/24HNew College (FL)94-75
22/03/24AUconn52-91
10/03/24HAustin Peay94-91
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HWest Georgia86-72
26/11/24HMiami (Ohio)72-75
25/11/24HJacksonville Dolphins90-89 OT
22/11/24ASouth Carolina72-84
16/11/24ASouth Alabama66-75
14/11/24HTrinity Baptist101-43
12/11/24ADePaul64-95
08/11/24HVirginia-Lynchburg125-54
09/03/24ASamford57-70
08/03/24HCitadel84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stetson
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game72.177.866.5
Allowed / game81.679.284.0
Point differential-9.5-1.5-17.5
Avg total153.8157.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game84.594.867.3
Allowed / game73.466.684.7
Point differential+11.1+28.2-17.3
Avg total157.9161.4152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama106460%78.771.8+6.9
2 North Florida106460%88.582.0+6.5
3 Lipscomb106460%74.067.9+6.1
4 Eastern Kentucky95456%78.671.9+6.7
5 Austin Peay84450%66.670.6-4.0
6 Queens Royals94544%72.774.8-2.1
7 Florida Gulf Coast93633%64.867.0-2.2
8 Bellarmine103730%75.478.0-2.6
9 Central Arkansas92722%72.276.9-4.7
10 Stetson81712%72.181.6-9.5
11 West Georgia111109%65.479.4-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman109190%78.162.8+15.3
2 Samford108280%92.477.9+14.5
3 Citadel85362%78.466.4+12.0
4 East Tennessee St106460%77.368.5+8.8
5 NC Greensboro95456%70.063.6+6.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs95456%72.473.3-0.9
7 Mercer84450%84.573.4+11.1
8 VMI115645%78.971.5+7.4
9 Wofford104640%73.171.8+1.3
10 Western Carolina83538%74.475.9-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Stetson38351083
Mercer40331689
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