PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Stjarnan vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 96-80
34-18 21-22 22-12 19-28
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#11
Record2-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game101.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stjarnan v Breidablik
04 Apr 2024
STJA96
BREI80
09 Mar 2023
STJA112
BREI97
28 Dec 2021
STJA117
BREI113
10 Jan 2019
STJA102
BREI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 80
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 80
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 80
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 80
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 80
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
74avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 80
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
94-113
94
113
-19
80avg 80
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 80
H28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-8
18-28
20-16
21-23
24-19
19-23
20-22
21-15
22-25
21-25
32-26
14-21
17-20
29-26
24-16
11-23
20-22
20-19
12-15
19-20
28-25
18-19
18-29
19-28
24-18
22-32
25-14
21-18
30-19
21-27
10-12
16-28
24-27
17-23
26-34
27-29
23-24
25-25
21-19
22-22
174.7Avg total
86.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.485.7172.1+0.748%
Season at home (10)86.884.3171.1+2.550%
Season away (11)86.087.0173.0-1.045%
Last 10 (10)86.388.4174.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)87.494.4181.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.789.4174.1-4.645%
vs Similar (12)84.087.8171.8-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.384.7181.0+11.783%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-106
84
106
-22
74avg 73
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 73
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
82-105
82
105
-23
68avg 73
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
75avg 73
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
89-108
89
108
-19
77avg 73
H14/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
86-120
86
120
-34
70avg 73
A18/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
75avg 73
A28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
22-36
23-16
22-18
22-19
30-24
20-27
20-27
14-28
21-20
22-22
25-16
22-37
12-30
28-28
24-25
18-22
21-30
17-23
21-20
32-31
25-32
13-24
21-25
30-27
32-42
16-31
15-27
23-20
31-27
22-24
17-38
24-17
191.1Avg total
88.9Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.0101.0187.0-15.010%
Season at home (11)82.099.1181.1-17.19%
Season away (10)90.4103.2193.6-12.810%
Last 10 (10)88.9102.2191.1-13.310%
Last 5 (5)88.4108.6197.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)87.0104.0191.0-17.04%
vs Similar (5)93.8100.2194.0-6.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
StjarnanBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/03
Premier league
91.8Avg total
46.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.088.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.687.2-2.129%-
Last 30 away (16)46.843.590.2+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.445.491.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.894.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.045.787.7-3.727%-
vs Similar (12)42.845.087.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)53.741.395.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H14/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A18/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A28/03
Premier league
96.6Avg total
43.5Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.152.696.7-8.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.950.492.4-8.525%-
Last 30 away (14)46.655.1101.7-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.553.196.6-9.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.458.2101.6-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)44.652.597.1-7.929%-
vs Similar (5)43.453.897.2-10.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.5
48.0%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
74.4%14.6
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.0
47.9%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.011.7
31.6%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.714.1
79.7%
74.4%14.1
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WLLWLLLLWW
Breidablik
LLLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#11
-2.3
Net rating
-17.6
108.4
Offensive rating
99.2
110.6
Defensive rating
116.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
31.6%
58.6%
Assist %
51.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 99.2Defence110.6 · 116.7Shooting49.4% · 47.7%3-point %34.3% · 31.6%Ball care15.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 22.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Stjarnan wins
1
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23Breidablik v Stjarnan73-97
09/03/23Stjarnan v Breidablik112-97
02/12/22Breidablik v Stjarnan101-90
31/03/22Breidablik v Stjarnan105-107
28/12/21Stjarnan v Breidablik117-113
10/01/19Stjarnan v Breidablik102-73
11/10/18Breidablik v Stjarnan87-102
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HGrindavik91-90
19/03/24AKeflavik94-113
14/03/24AAlftanes77-86
07/03/24HHottur92-82
14/02/24AHaukar83-101
09/02/24HTindastoll71-76
02/02/24HValur81-85
26/01/24AKeflavik89-97
21/01/24HValur84-79
18/01/24HHamar101-75
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AValur94-106
18/03/24ANjardvik86-120
14/03/24HKeflavik89-108
07/03/24AHamar91-104
15/02/24HThorl82-105
01/02/24ATindastoll90-95
25/01/24HGrindavik84-106
18/01/24AAlftanes100-106 OT
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game86.486.886.0
Allowed / game85.784.387.0
Point differential+0.7+2.5-1.0
Avg total172.1171.1173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %10%9%10%
Points / game86.082.090.4
Allowed / game101.099.1103.2
Point differential-15.0-17.1-12.8
Avg total187.0181.1193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2117481%92.083.1+8.9
2 Keflavik2115671%98.091.0+7.0
3 Njardvik2115671%95.088.1+6.8
4 Grindavik2114767%93.387.0+6.4
5 Thorl2114767%92.089.9+2.1
6 Alftanes2112957%85.082.9+2.0
7 Hottur21111052%84.085.0-1.0
8 Tindastoll21101148%85.684.7+1.0
9 Stjarnan21101148%86.485.7+0.7
10 Haukar2151624%87.391.1-3.8
11 Breidablik2121910%86.0101.0-15.0
12 Hamar211205%83.898.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan3421221996
Breidablik1822122880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.