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Stoja vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-91
20-29 22-25 17-20 18-17
Position#13
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game75.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Kvarner
16 Dec 2023
STOJ77
KVAR91
15 Oct 2022
STOJ81
KVAR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 74
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 74
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 74
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 74
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 74
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 74
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 74
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 74
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 74
A09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
172.2Avg total
82.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.190.1172.2-8.020%
Season at home (4)86.093.8179.8-7.825%
Season away (6)79.587.7167.2-8.217%
Last 10 (10)82.190.1172.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)78.486.4164.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)86.995.4182.3-8.429%
vs Similar (7)77.481.6159.0-4.143%
vs Weaker (6)86.880.2167.0+6.767%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
99-57
99
57
+42
102avg 89
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
102-94
102
94
+8
102avg 89
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 89
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
92avg 89
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
88avg 89
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 89
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
103-89
103
89
+14
103avg 89
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 89
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
89avg 89
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 89
H09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-8
18-17
26-22
29-10
21-39
32-7
25-30
24-18
17-18
19-18
21-17
26-24
29-20
21-25
21-9
24-23
35-18
27-15
17-20
24-20
24-21
20-25
26-16
13-29
32-26
23-26
26-19
22-18
23-24
24-25
20-13
21-23
23-11
22-21
26-25
16-9
18-10
25-22
16-16
14-11
168.4Avg total
91.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.975.3167.2+16.690%
Season at home (6)92.070.8162.8+21.2100%
Season away (4)91.882.0173.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)91.676.8168.4+14.890%
Last 5 (5)86.878.0164.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.577.0150.5-3.533%
vs Similar (4)78.884.2163.0-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.372.7159.9+14.684%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
StojaKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
87.1Avg total
39.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.646.889.4-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.743.987.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)41.749.290.9-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.048.187.1-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.685.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.949.692.5-6.829%-
vs Similar (7)38.943.182.0-4.314%-
vs Weaker (6)46.342.889.2+3.550%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
Prva Liga
87.5Avg total
47.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.180.2+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.237.380.5+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.639.179.7+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)47.939.687.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.239.377.5-1.233%-
vs Similar (4)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.636.379.9+7.379%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.1
54.1%
52.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.76.3
35.8%
32.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws15.111.1
73.5%
71.2%11.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.622.4
61.2%
52.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.4
37.8%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
71.2%15.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LWLLLWLLLL
Kvarner
WWWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
-10.7
Net rating
+20.1
103.0
Offensive rating
120.1
113.7
Defensive rating
100.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
59.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
37.8%
64.2%
Assist %
63.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 120.1Defence113.7 · 100.1Shooting54.0% · 59.3%3-point %35.8% · 37.8%Ball care19.7% · 14.4%Off. rebounds24.5% · 23.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Stoja   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
2
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Kvarner v Stoja105-74
15/10/22Stoja v Kvarner81-91
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HKastela73-59
02/12/23AMladost87-66
29/11/23HSamobor88-85
25/11/23HHermes103-89
18/11/23AOsijek83-91
11/11/23HCrikvenica103-73
05/11/23AJazine95-77
28/10/23HKK Zagreb83-77
22/10/23AMarsonia102-94
14/10/23HPodstrana99-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%25%17%
Points / game82.186.079.5
Allowed / game90.193.887.7
Point differential-8.0-7.8-8.2
Avg total172.2179.8167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game91.992.091.8
Allowed / game75.370.882.0
Point differential+16.6+21.2+9.8
Avg total167.2162.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1110191%88.474.6+13.7
2 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica117464%78.672.3+6.4
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes105550%89.188.4+0.7
9 Jazine115645%84.588.3-3.8
10 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
11 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
12 Podstrana113827%73.084.3-11.3
13 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
14 Crikvenica112918%73.188.5-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja2022171877
Kvarner2925201791
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