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Stoja vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-69
24-21 17-19 17-16 21-13
Position#13
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game92.4
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record6-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 9· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 72
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 72
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 72
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 72
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 72
A26/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
180.1Avg total
84.3Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.592.4174.9-9.912%
Season at home (3)88.3102.0190.3-13.70%
Season away (5)79.086.6165.6-7.620%
Last 10 (10)84.395.8180.1-11.520%
Last 5 (5)80.889.0169.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)86.096.2182.2-10.225%
vs Similar (8)79.681.6161.2-2.050%
vs Weaker (6)86.880.2167.0+6.767%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 79
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 79
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 79
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 79
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 79
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 79
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 79
H25/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
152.2Avg total
77.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.871.5153.2+10.275%
Season at home (4)83.074.5157.5+8.575%
Season away (4)80.568.5149.0+12.075%
Last 10 (10)77.175.1152.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)78.280.2158.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.987.6162.5-12.812%
vs Similar (17)82.579.7162.2+2.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.069.0155.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
StojaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
90.4Avg total
40.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.846.489.2-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.944.288.2-0.338%-
Last 30 away (17)41.948.189.9-6.224%-
Last 10 (10)40.549.990.4-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.850.690.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.749.792.4-7.025%-
vs Similar (8)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
vs Weaker (6)46.342.889.2+3.550%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
72.4Avg total
38.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.777.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.578.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.136.775.8+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.572.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.240.476.6-4.138%-
vs Similar (17)42.336.678.9+5.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.032.572.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.1 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.424.6
52.9%
52.9%49.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.45.9
33.6%
32.9%17.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.9
76.8%
71.2%10.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.9
57.8%
52.9%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
31.0%
32.9%24.4
🏀 Free throws16.411.6
70.4%
71.2%11.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLWLLLLLW
Gorica
WWWLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#4
-14.0
Net rating
+17.2
101.2
Offensive rating
109.6
115.2
Defensive rating
92.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
31.0%
64.3%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 109.6Defence115.2 · 92.3Shooting52.2% · 53.3%3-point %33.6% · 31.0%Ball care19.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 32.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Stoja   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
0
Gorica wins
No previous meetings.
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game82.588.379.0
Allowed / game92.4102.086.6
Point differential-9.9-13.7-7.6
Avg total174.9190.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game81.883.080.5
Allowed / game71.574.568.5
Point differential+10.2+8.5+12.0
Avg total153.2157.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner98189%94.077.1+16.9
2 KK Zagreb87188%81.667.4+14.2
3 Osijek87188%88.475.9+12.5
4 Gorica86275%81.871.5+10.2
5 Kastela95456%82.077.1+4.9
6 Omis95456%76.376.2+0.1
7 Hermes84450%88.488.8-0.4
8 Jazine84450%89.192.9-3.8
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia82625%83.085.5-2.5
11 Crikvenica82625%72.587.5-15.0
12 Mladost92722%78.286.7-8.4
13 Podstrana71614%73.187.9-14.7
14 Stoja81712%82.592.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja2417172179
Gorica2119161369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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