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Kastela vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:45
Final 88-86
22-27 25-19 11-16 30-24
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game75.8
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game93.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Stoja
18 Nov 2023
KAST88
STOJ86
26 Nov 2022
KAST92
STOJ77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 81
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 81
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 81
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 81
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
98avg 81
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
89-52
89
52
+37
95avg 81
A11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
20-14
21-21
15-22
14-16
14-25
24-22
22-28
18-21
15-14
20-29
17-19
14-23
27-20
23-19
27-24
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
23-30
22-17
25-14
28-15
30-8
25-1
17-21
17-22
161.8Avg total
81.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.875.8161.7+10.050%
Season at home (3)79.779.0158.7+0.733%
Season away (3)92.072.7164.7+19.367%
Last 10 (10)81.780.1161.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)85.273.0158.2+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.778.1150.8-5.433%
vs Similar (7)82.476.4158.9+6.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.470.4152.9+12.093%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 69
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 69
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 69
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 69
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 69
H11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
180.2Avg total
85.4Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.893.8176.7-11.017%
Season at home (3)88.3102.0190.3-13.70%
Season away (3)77.385.7163.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)85.494.8180.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)85.493.2178.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)86.097.1183.1-11.127%
vs Similar (8)79.681.6161.2-2.050%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.9169.7+6.071%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
KastelaStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-9
55
9
+46
A11/11
Prva Liga
81.4Avg total
42.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.277.0+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.174.4+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.379.7+1.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.881.4+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.836.083.8+11.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.439.774.1-5.211%-
vs Similar (7)42.135.077.1+7.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.236.678.9+5.679%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
92.1Avg total
42.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.046.289.3-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.643.987.6-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)42.548.290.8-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.449.792.1-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.049.289.2-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.450.093.4-6.627%-
vs Similar (8)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.487.9+3.043%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.4%
52.9%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.6%
32.9%32.5
🏀 Free throws14.311.0
76.7%
71.2%11.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.824.2
50.6%
52.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.24.8
33.8%
32.9%14.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
71.2%13.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLLWLWLLL
Stoja
LWLLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#13
+10.3
Net rating
-16.2
108.8
Offensive rating
99.0
98.5
Defensive rating
115.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
33.8%
68.8%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 99.0Defence98.5 · 115.2Shooting53.8% · 50.6%3-point %34.6% · 33.8%Ball care17.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Kastela   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kastela wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Stoja v Kastela74-91
26/11/22Kastela v Stoja92-77
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ASamobor89-52
04/11/23AMladost98-76
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
27/05/23AZabok91-86
24/05/23HZabok70-83
17/05/23HDubrovnik74-91
13/05/23ADubrovnik67-86
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game85.879.792.0
Allowed / game75.879.072.7
Point differential+10.0+0.7+19.3
Avg total161.7158.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game82.888.377.3
Allowed / game93.8102.085.7
Point differential-11.0-13.7-8.3
Avg total176.7190.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner660100%95.574.7+20.8
2 KK Zagreb65183%82.066.7+15.3
3 Osijek65183%87.375.0+12.3
4 Gorica64267%80.573.7+6.8
5 Omis64267%78.774.0+4.7
6 Kastela63350%85.875.8+10.0
7 Hermes63350%86.389.0-2.7
8 Jazine63350%91.597.8-6.3
9 Samobor63350%75.883.0-7.2
10 Mladost62433%83.588.8-5.3
11 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
12 Stoja61517%82.893.8-11.0
13 Crikvenica61517%70.787.0-16.3
14 Marsonia71614%80.387.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2225113088
Stoja2719162486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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