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Stonehill vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 47-59
29-28 18-31
Position#245
Record7-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#186
Record4-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game56.9
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Stonehill v Merrimack Warriors
15 Feb 2024
STON63
MERR66
14 Jan 2023
STON47
MERR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stonehill winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Nazarene
#604
W
92-45
92
45
+47
H01/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Rider
#168
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
50-79
50
79
-29
A20/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A29/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-19
42-26
36-32
33-34
39-35
28-43
26-35
30-28
22-40
28-39
20-36
47-41
51-29
23-38
33-39
39-34
21-24
41-34
19-23
32-26
131.5Avg total
66.0Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.873.3142.1-4.539%
Season at home (6)73.068.2141.2+4.850%
Season away (12)66.775.8142.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)66.065.5131.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)65.264.8130.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.280.3147.6-13.122%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.668.9136.5-1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#230
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H03/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
82-23
82
23
+59
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
21-30
15-37
28-29
23-34
28-35
48-6
34-17
26-23
21-27
21-23
34-38
39-33
24-38
32-20
26-28
32-29
23-30
37-34
28-19
114.1Avg total
57.3Scored
56.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)56.963.9120.8-7.122%
Season at home (7)58.652.4111.0+6.143%
Season away (11)55.871.3127.1-15.59%
Last 10 (10)57.356.8114.1+0.530%
Last 5 (5)59.258.4117.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.774.6133.3-15.910%
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.864.8125.6-4.138%
vs Weaker (2)60.552.0112.5+8.550%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
StonehillMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Nazarene
#604
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H01/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A20/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A21/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
19-23
19
23
-4
H07/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)32.734.867.4-2.128%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.031.566.5+3.533%-
Last 30 away (12)31.536.467.9-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.262.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.259.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.038.170.1-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.233.064.2-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#230
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
15-37
15
37
-22
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
48-6
48
6
+42
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/01
NCAA
58.3Avg total
30.6Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.431.360.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.729.260.8+2.567%-
Last 30 away (18)27.932.860.7-4.928%-
Last 10 (10)30.627.758.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.227.860.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)25.436.862.2-11.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.930.961.8-0.150%-
vs Weaker (2)28.527.055.5+1.5100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stonehill wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HCentral Connecticut State51-49
06/01/23HWagner62-58
31/12/22ASt. Francis (PA)72-73
29/12/22ASacred Heart74-67
21/12/22AValparaiso67-77
20/12/22ABradley50-79
14/12/22ABoston College56-63
08/12/22HRider67-78
03/12/22ABinghamton69-66
01/12/22HEastern Nazarene92-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HSt. Francis Brooklyn65-53
06/01/23HSacred Heart55-59
31/12/22AWagner58-48
30/12/22AFairleigh Dickinson63-71
18/12/22ABucknell55-61
11/12/22HMaine Black Bears47-50
10/12/22HNew England Noreasters82-23
08/12/22ASan Francisco51-69
04/12/22HVermont43-66
03/12/22HBoston University54-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stonehill
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW39%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %39%50%33%
Points / game68.873.066.7
Allowed / game73.368.275.8
Point differential-4.5+4.8-9.2
Avg total142.1141.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %22%43%9%
Points / game56.958.655.8
Allowed / game63.952.471.3
Point differential-7.1+6.1-15.5
Avg total120.8111.0127.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%43%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson1911858%79.576.4+3.2
2 Wagner158753%64.563.3+1.1
3 Stonehill1871139%68.873.3-4.5
4 St. Francis (PA)1861233%71.475.0-3.6
5 Central Connecticut State1941521%65.370.9-5.6
6 Chicago State1941521%66.073.3-7.3
7 LIU Sharks1621412%68.783.4-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona1712571%76.566.8+9.8
2 Siena1712571%71.368.4+2.9
3 Quinnipiac1812667%72.167.1+5.0
4 Niagara169756%65.065.0+0.0
5 Sacred Heart1991047%71.172.4-1.4
6 St. Peters1771041%62.465.4-2.9
7 Rider156940%69.668.5+1.1
8 Marist156940%63.366.5-3.1
9 Fairfield1661038%65.365.8-0.5
10 Manhattan1661038%68.071.2-3.2
11 Mount St. Mary's1761135%63.264.7-1.5
12 Canisius1641225%69.774.0-4.3
13 Merrimack Warriors1841422%56.963.9-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stonehill291847
Merrimack Warriors283159
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