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Wagner vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 48-58
20-32 28-26
Position#167
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game63.5
Wagner
USA
vs
Merrimack Warriors 🏆
USA
Position#186
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.4
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Wagner v Merrimack Warriors
25 Jan 2024
WAGN44
MERR60
31 Dec 2022
WAGN48
MERR58
12 Feb 2022
WAGN65
MERR80
03 Mar 2021
WAGN64
MERR59
02 Mar 2021
WAGN74
MERR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wagner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neumann
#475
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H19/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
L
44-82
44
82
-38
A20/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Army
#194
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#507
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H22/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-19
47-33
37-23
31-29
22-35
22-47
27-29
35-28
30-39
34-36
35-32
24-40
26-32
32-23
28-25
30-26
35-32
54-23
39-36
30-25
126.5Avg total
65.3Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.563.5130.0+3.067%
Season at home (4)74.253.5127.8+20.8100%
Season away (8)62.668.5131.1-5.950%
Last 10 (10)65.361.2126.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)66.658.8125.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)62.270.8133.0-8.640%
vs Weaker (23)71.966.4138.3+5.578%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
41-83
41
83
-42
A26/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Boston University
#230
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H03/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
82-23
82
23
+59
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
31-34
20-39
21-44
19-39
32-38
33-38
21-30
15-37
28-29
23-34
28-35
48-6
34-17
26-23
21-27
21-23
34-38
39-33
24-38
118.3Avg total
54.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)56.466.1122.5-9.713%
Season at home (5)58.051.0109.0+7.040%
Season away (10)55.673.6129.2-18.00%
Last 10 (10)54.463.9118.3-9.510%
Last 5 (5)59.654.8114.4+4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.774.6133.3-15.910%
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.366.4125.7-7.127%
vs Weaker (3)62.353.7116.0+8.767%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -5.6-5.6
WagnerMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neumann
#475
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A20/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Army
#194
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#507
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A29/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.263.2+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.927.462.3+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)31.532.463.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.261.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.464.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.432.062.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (23)33.330.363.6+3.165%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A26/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A30/11
NCAA
Boston University
#230
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
15-37
15
37
-22
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
48-6
48
6
+42
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
NCAA
57.9Avg total
27.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.731.660.3-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.928.958.8+1.050%-
Last 30 away (18)27.933.361.3-5.428%-
Last 10 (10)27.030.957.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.423.855.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)25.436.862.2-11.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.431.560.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker (3)30.028.058.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wagner wins
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Wagner v Merrimack Warriors65-80 OT
23/01/22Merrimack Warriors v Wagner57-71
03/03/21Wagner v Merrimack Warriors64-59
03/03/21Wagner v Merrimack Warriors74-67
15/02/20Merrimack Warriors v Wagner68-59
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ALIU Sharks69-61
22/12/22HGwynedd-Mercy89-55
20/12/22ADelaware State58-51
16/12/22HStony Brook58-55
07/12/22AFordham59-72
03/12/22AArmy64-75
27/11/22ANJIT62-57
20/11/22ASeton Hall44-82
19/11/22HFairfield68-52
15/11/22HNeumann82-52
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22AFairleigh Dickinson63-71
18/12/22ABucknell55-61
11/12/22HMaine Black Bears47-50
10/12/22HNew England Noreasters82-23
08/12/22ASan Francisco51-69
04/12/22HVermont43-66
03/12/22HBoston University54-68
30/11/22AUMass Lowell51-77
26/11/22ABradley41-83
24/11/22AProvidence57-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wagner
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game66.574.262.6
Allowed / game63.553.568.5
Point differential+3.0+20.8-5.9
Avg total130.0127.8131.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %13%40%0%
Points / game56.458.055.6
Allowed / game66.151.073.6
Point differential-9.7+7.0-18.0
Avg total122.5109.0129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner128467%66.563.5+3.0
2 Fairleigh Dickinson168850%77.976.6+1.3
3 Stonehill1551033%70.275.9-5.7
4 St. Francis (PA)1641225%71.575.9-4.4
5 Chicago State1731418%64.873.5-8.8
6 LIU Sharks1321115%68.282.5-14.3
7 Central Connecticut State1521313%63.973.1-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona139469%77.867.2+10.6
2 Siena138562%71.870.3+1.5
3 Niagara127558%64.964.8+0.1
4 Quinnipiac148657%71.669.4+2.3
5 St. Peters137654%64.264.8-0.6
6 Fairfield136746%65.163.9+1.2
7 Rider115645%72.169.4+2.7
8 Sacred Heart156940%70.173.6-3.5
9 Mount St. Mary's145936%64.165.4-1.2
10 Manhattan124833%70.072.9-2.9
11 Marist124833%62.866.6-3.8
12 Canisius112918%72.978.3-5.4
13 Merrimack Warriors1521313%56.466.1-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wagner202848
Merrimack Warriors322658
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