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Stony Brook vs NC Wilmington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-78 (OT)
37-39 29-27 20-12
Position#155
Record10-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#60
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA· Island Federal Credit Union Arena (New York)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stony Brook v NC Wilmington
10 Jan 2026
STON71
NC W75
27 Jan 2024
STON86
NC W78
21 Jan 2023
STON51
NC W62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stony Brook winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Wilmington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#324
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
55-99
55
99
-44
A21/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A05/01
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
64-73 OT
64
73
-9
A12/01
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
25-25
12-48
43-51
33-34
36-31
24-23
38-30
45-38
42-55
33-28
27-32
32-23
31-36
35-25
33-46
37-32
37-48
24-20
48-45
142.4Avg total
69.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.072.2143.2-1.250%
Season at home (10)75.867.7143.5+8.170%
Season away (10)66.176.7142.8-10.630%
Last 10 (10)69.273.2142.4-4.050%
Last 5 (5)68.269.6137.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.581.8148.2-15.38%
vs Similar (12)67.965.6133.5+2.367%
vs Weaker (5)73.260.2133.4+13.080%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A16/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
90-106
90
106
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A05/01
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H12/01
NCAA
Delaware
#148
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Elon
#282
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A19/01
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-29
48-48
40-31
38-38
42-48
48-58
34-36
29-42
33-35
31-32
32-28
37-28
38-36
41-38
46-27
36-43
33-38
45-31
38-21
39-33
148.2Avg total
76.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.171.1152.2+10.074%
Season at home (8)88.170.2158.4+17.988%
Season away (11)76.071.7147.7+4.364%
Last 10 (10)76.272.0148.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)77.064.6141.6+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.076.3142.3-10.333%
vs Similar (8)69.871.0140.8-1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.668.8150.5+12.879%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
Stony BrookNC Wilmington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#324
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
12-48
12
48
-36
A21/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A12/01
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Delaware
#148
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H25/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.563.7-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.329.163.4+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)28.435.664.0-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.761.8+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.225.657.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.138.868.8-8.723%-
vs Similar (12)31.227.858.9+3.467%-
vs Weaker (5)34.027.861.8+6.260%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A16/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Delaware
#148
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Elon
#282
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A19/01
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A26/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.370.2+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.132.273.3+8.877%-
Last 30 away (17)35.532.467.9+3.259%-
Last 10 (10)37.032.969.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.067.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.037.769.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)34.932.066.9+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.231.671.7+8.679%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stony Brook wins
2
NC Wilmington wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23NC Wilmington v Stony Brook76-69
21/01/23Stony Brook v NC Wilmington51-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HMonmouth72-65
23/01/24HHofstra74-80
19/01/24ADelaware68-71
13/01/24AWilliam & Mary63-59
12/01/24ATowson64-73 OT
06/01/24HCharleston87-93
05/01/24ANortheastern62-53
29/12/23HBrown69-65
21/12/23AMichigan State55-99
17/12/23AArmy78-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24ANortheastern77-54
20/01/24HCharleston78-69
19/01/24AElon82-70
14/01/24HDelaware79-74
12/01/24HMonmouth69-56
06/01/24ATowson64-67
05/01/24ADrexel63-78
30/12/23AArkansas90-106
22/12/23AMarshall78-69
16/12/23AGeorgia Southern82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stony Brook
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game71.075.866.1
Allowed / game72.267.776.7
Point differential-1.2+8.1-10.6
Avg total143.2143.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
NC Wilmington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %74%88%64%
Points / game81.188.176.0
Allowed / game71.170.271.7
Point differential+10.0+17.9+4.3
Avg total152.2158.4147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington1914574%81.171.1+10.0
2 Charleston2115671%81.275.0+6.2
3 Drexel2215768%73.663.6+10.0
4 Towson2113862%67.663.9+3.7
5 Hofstra21111052%75.371.2+4.1
6 Stony Brook20101050%71.072.2-1.2
7 Monmouth22111150%70.473.7-3.3
8 Campbell21101148%68.067.2+0.8
9 Elon2191243%76.977.2-0.3
10 William & Mary2181338%72.472.3+0.1
11 Northeastern2181338%70.073.0-3.0
12 N. Carolina A&T2161529%68.980.0-11.2
13 Hampton2141719%76.579.7-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Stony Brook37292086
NC Wilmington39271278
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