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Stony Brook vs NC Wilmington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-75
43-21 28-54
Position#182
Record9-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#17
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA· Island Federal Credit Union Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stony Brook v NC Wilmington
10 Jan 2026
STON71
NC W75
27 Jan 2024
STON86
NC W78
21 Jan 2023
STON51
NC W62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stony Brook winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Wilmington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A29/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H13/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H18/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A30/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A31/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
30-38
28-40
47-44
30-17
35-48
44-22
34-33
27-40
28-31
23-35
28-35
34-33
25-29
31-34
26-42
50-39
31-41
22-30
15-26
133.6Avg total
64.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.467.8136.2+0.653%
Season at home (8)76.963.9140.8+13.088%
Season away (9)60.971.3132.2-10.422%
Last 10 (10)64.169.5133.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)57.068.8125.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.474.3139.7-8.929%
vs Similar (12)67.271.4138.7-4.242%
vs Weaker (3)85.352.7138.0+32.7100%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#370
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A13/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
40-32
31-29
39-40
39-38
31-25
31-40
42-30
27-38
39-29
47-24
53-32
42-47
45-31
27-22
38-31
27-18
22-27
44-40
43-38
139.6Avg total
75.5Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.565.4143.8+13.188%
Season at home (11)78.160.3138.4+17.891%
Season away (6)79.274.7153.8+4.583%
Last 10 (10)75.564.1139.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)77.662.0139.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)75.068.7143.7+6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)77.267.2144.5+10.088%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: +7.7+7.7
Stony BrookNC Wilmington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H13/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H18/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A31/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A09/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.666.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.230.968.1+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)29.635.965.6-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.065.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.266.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.234.965.1-4.736%-
vs Similar (12)33.834.968.7-1.250%-
vs Weaker (3)45.725.771.3+20.0100%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#370
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A09/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.470.6+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.729.369.0+10.383%-
Last 30 away (12)35.937.173.0-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.668.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.267.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.331.767.0+3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.632.570.1+5.173%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stony Brook wins
3
NC Wilmington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ADrexel37-56
03/01/26HN. Carolina A&T81-80
31/12/25AWilliam & Mary57-76
30/12/25AHampton59-62
21/12/25AMarist51-70
18/12/25HAlbany Great Danes55-71
13/12/25HCentral Michigan78-55
10/12/25HColumbia77-73 OT
06/12/25ADuquesne75-84
29/11/25ALoyola Marymount71-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ANortheastern87-78
04/01/26HHampton49-45
01/01/26HDrexel65-53
30/12/25AN. Carolina A&T87-78
27/12/25HColumbia College (SC)100-56
20/12/25HHoward66-67
13/12/25AValparaiso73-70
06/12/25ALouisiana Lafayette70-63
04/12/25HMarshall70-69
29/11/25HGardner Webb88-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stony Brook
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL53%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%88%22%
Points / game68.476.960.9
Allowed / game67.863.971.3
Point differential+0.6+13.0-10.4
Avg total136.2140.8132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
NC Wilmington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %88%91%83%
Points / game78.578.179.2
Allowed / game65.460.374.7
Point differential+13.1+17.8+4.5
Avg total143.8138.4153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington1715288%78.565.4+13.1
2 Hofstra1713476%77.166.5+10.5
3 William & Mary1711665%82.974.8+8.1
4 Charleston1711665%76.474.2+2.2
5 Elon1610662%85.677.9+7.6
6 Campbell179853%80.878.6+2.2
7 Stony Brook179853%68.467.8+0.6
8 Towson189950%70.368.2+2.1
9 Monmouth178947%71.970.5+1.4
10 N. Carolina A&T157847%75.974.7+1.1
11 Hampton1881044%70.768.1+2.7
12 Drexel1881044%68.667.3+1.3
13 Northeastern1651131%76.480.2-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stony Brook432871
NC Wilmington215475
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