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Sunshine Coast Phoenix vs Mackay Meteors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 121-94
41-20 28-26 27-21 25-27
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game89.5
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Sunshine Coast Phoenix v Mackay Meteors
17 May 2025
SUNS121
MACK94
01 Jul 2023
SUNS77
MACK97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sunshine Coast Phoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mackay Meteors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#2
L
92-105
92
105
-13
H07/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
A15/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A16/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H29/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A05/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H06/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
22-23
30-27
23-26
22-25
16-23
24-42
15-27
27-28
33-27
15-22
20-22
26-24
22-19
23-26
24-21
20-23
24-33
19-16
14-22
15-27
18-28
19-23
29-22
26-28
29-16
8-24
31-18
20-22
14-19
12-20
25-18
30-9
17-27
24-23
24-21
18-19
16-24
18-20
21-13
177.6Avg total
85.0Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.078.0162.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.092.6177.6-7.630%
Last 5 (5)82.884.2167.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.795.3179.0-11.518%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.688.9179.5+1.864%
vs Weaker (5)92.285.6177.8+6.660%
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mackay MeteorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
129-75
129
75
+54
H05/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
112-85
112
85
+27
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H27/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H02/08
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H03/08
NBL1 North
Mandurah Magic
#3
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H16/08
NBL 1
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H17/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A18/08
NBL 1
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H03/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
29-24
46-6
25-24
32-32
24-17
33-20
23-16
23-23
29-24
20-22
28-21
30-19
19-28
19-15
23-17
22-18
22-18
31-22
27-22
21-36
21-12
29-21
22-13
29-28
22-19
25-22
19-11
25-15
24-27
15-20
20-25
28-19
30-15
16-20
25-25
36-27
25-21
21-32
20-20
184.4Avg total
100.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.589.5190.0+11.0100%
Season at home (2)100.589.5190.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)100.783.7184.4+17.090%
Last 5 (5)94.685.6180.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.087.0171.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)87.890.0177.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (25)101.586.2187.7+15.292%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
Sunshine Coast PhoenixMackay Meteors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A16/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H29/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A05/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H06/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/05
NBL1 North
90.5Avg total
43.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.691.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.544.792.2+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.546.489.9-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.390.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.546.990.4-3.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.944.191.1+2.871%-
vs Weaker (5)46.046.692.6-0.640%-
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mackay MeteorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H05/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H02/08
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/08
NBL1 North
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/08
NBL 1
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/08
NBL 1
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H03/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H10/05
NBL1 North
96.3Avg total
52.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.643.994.5+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.544.095.5+7.588%-
Last 30 away (13)49.443.893.2+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)52.044.396.3+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)52.243.896.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.042.091.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)48.240.588.8+7.875%-
vs Weaker (25)51.044.695.6+6.580%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
2
Mackay Meteors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AIpswich Force73-76
03/05/25HSouthern District95-80
13/07/24ALogan Thunder71-79
06/07/24HNorthside Wizards94-86
05/07/24ASouth West Metro Pirates81-100
29/06/24HGold Coast Rollers77-94
22/06/24HIpswich Force95-90
16/06/24ARockhampton Rockets95-99
15/06/24AMackay Meteors77-117
07/06/24HDarwin Salties92-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HTownsville Heat102-100
03/05/25HRockhampton Rockets99-79
18/08/24AKnox84-87
17/08/24HForestville Eagles95-80
16/08/24HMandurah Magic93-82
03/08/24HBrisbane Capitals102-80
02/08/24HBrisbane Capitals91-79
27/07/24HSouthern District100-90
13/07/24HSouthern District112-85
05/07/24HCairns Marlins129-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.095.073.0
Allowed / game78.080.076.0
Point differential+6.0+15.0-3.0
Avg total162.0175.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mackay Meteors
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.5100.5-
Allowed / game89.589.5-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total190.0190.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors220100%100.589.5+11.0
2 Brisbane Capitals43175%86.578.0+8.5
3 Gold Coast Rollers32167%95.091.7+3.3
4 Ipswich Force32167%85.785.7+0.0
5 Townsville Heat42250%92.883.8+9.0
6 Sunshine Coast Phoenix21150%84.078.0+6.0
7 Northside Wizards21150%88.082.5+5.5
8 Cairns Marlins42250%87.2101.5-14.2
9 South West Metro Pirates31233%88.092.0-4.0
10 Southern District31233%91.097.7-6.7
11 Logan Thunder41325%92.591.0+1.5
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sunshine Coast Phoenix41282725121
Mackay Meteors2026212794
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