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Sunshine Coast Phoenix vs Rockhampton Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 117-86
23-29 34-27 25-12 35-18
Position#2
Record9-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#8
Record7-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game94.2
AustraliaNBL1 NorthNBL1 North - Quarter-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Sunshine Coast Phoenix v Rockhampton Rockets
02 Aug 2025
SUNS117
ROCK86
21 Jun 2025
SUNS112
ROCK85
23 Apr 2023
SUNS90
ROCK82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sunshine Coast Phoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rockhampton Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
H31/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
79-114
79
114
-35
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
78-102
78
102
-24
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H19/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A26/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
17-24
19-26
20-27
22-10
20-16
23-19
14-18
24-26
27-14
33-25
14-12
32-25
17-17
15-10
21-16
38-25
27-19
17-24
30-17
15-20
20-34
21-31
23-29
36-30
31-19
22-17
19-27
16-29
22-29
18-17
22-27
18-24
18-21
25-17
27-21
17-28
18-17
17-20
19-36
177.3Avg total
87.7Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.987.7177.6+2.264%
Season at home (7)95.190.9186.0+4.371%
Season away (7)84.784.6169.3+0.157%
Last 10 (10)87.789.6177.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)84.898.6183.4-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.595.2177.8-12.812%
vs Similar (14)88.791.2179.9-2.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.879.2171.0+12.575%
This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockhampton RocketsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A06/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
117-96
117
96
+21
A07/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A08/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H15/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A21/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H12/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A19/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
97-107
97
107
-10
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
102-94
102
94
+8
H26/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
10-23
22-16
29-25
35-30
29-22
26-20
27-24
27-25
19-23
14-24
30-27
30-23
28-28
23-24
19-31
25-38
19-27
24-17
17-30
37-22
23-16
14-30
29-19
20-22
23-27
26-17
24-15
22-20
16-26
28-14
17-20
27-22
22-35
13-22
35-28
31-18
23-31
23-24
25-21
190.3Avg total
95.1Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.594.2187.7-0.750%
Season at home (7)96.790.9187.6+5.971%
Season away (7)90.397.6187.9-7.329%
Last 10 (10)95.195.2190.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)95.689.8185.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)101.1106.0207.1-4.938%
vs Similar (12)90.594.2184.7-3.733%
vs Weaker (10)101.389.4190.7+11.990%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Sunshine Coast PhoenixRockhampton Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H31/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H19/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/07
NBL1 North
91.8Avg total
45.8Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.390.3+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.545.293.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.586.8-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.846.091.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.250.292.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.947.189.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (14)45.244.990.1+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.240.591.8+10.888%-
This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockhampton RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A06/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A07/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H15/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A21/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H12/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A19/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H26/07
NBL1 North
99.0Avg total
48.6Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.051.399.2-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.350.5101.8+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)45.451.897.2-6.424%-
Last 10 (10)48.650.499.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.847.896.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.659.5111.1-7.925%-
vs Similar (12)44.148.993.0-4.825%-
vs Weaker (10)49.747.597.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
1
Rockhampton Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25ASouthern District71-101
19/07/25HBrisbane Capitals88-83
06/07/25HSouth West Metro Pirates78-102
05/07/25ALogan Thunder108-93
28/06/25ABrisbane Capitals79-114
21/06/25HRockhampton Rockets112-85
14/06/25ANorthside Wizards85-68
07/06/25ATownsville Heat98-77
06/06/25ACairns Marlins79-63
31/05/25HGold Coast Rollers79-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HMackay Meteors102-94
20/07/25ATownsville Heat97-107
19/07/25ACairns Marlins83-80
12/07/25HLogan Thunder93-81
28/06/25HIpswich Force103-87
21/06/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix85-112
15/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates100-106
08/06/25ABrisbane Capitals90-99
07/06/25ASouthern District117-96
06/06/25ANorthside Wizards81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game89.995.184.7
Allowed / game87.790.984.6
Point differential+2.2+4.3+0.1
Avg total177.6186.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rockhampton Rockets
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game93.596.790.3
Allowed / game94.290.997.6
Point differential-0.7+5.9-7.3
Avg total187.7187.6187.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals149564%99.892.6+7.2
2 Gold Coast Rollers149564%96.592.5+4.0
3 Sunshine Coast Phoenix149564%89.987.7+2.2
4 Mackay Meteors148657%96.995.2+1.6
5 Southern District148657%95.295.1+0.1
6 South West Metro Pirates147750%91.590.9+0.6
7 Rockhampton Rockets147750%93.594.2-0.7
8 Ipswich Force147750%95.897.3-1.5
9 Northside Wizards146843%87.488.4-1.1
10 Logan Thunder145936%94.895.9-1.1
11 Townsville Heat145936%90.392.4-2.1
12 Cairns Marlins1441029%90.199.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sunshine Coast Phoenix23342535117
Rockhampton Rockets2927121886
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